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Crypto Analysis
Browse all crypto analysis articles and reports. Market analysis, technical analysis, and expert insights.
BNB Comments and Price Analysis 31 May 2025
BNB Daily Chart Technical AnalysisWhen analyzing the BNB daily chart from a technical perspective, it’s clear that the price has been moving within a well-defined ascending parallel channel since the beginning of 2024. Supported by the lower boundary of the channel, the ongoing upward trend reflects a sustained medium- to long-term bullish outlook. BNB Rising Trend The current price is trading at 659.90 USDT. This level is very close to a key horizontal resistance zone at 675.29 USDT. The 675.29 level has been tested and rejected multiple times in the past, making it a highly significant technical threshold. A breakout above this resistance would be a strong bullish signal, with the next major resistance target at 721.80 USDT. This level is critically important as it represents both a horizontal resistance and the upper boundary of the ascending channel.On the downside, the first strong support is at 628.83 USDT. If this level fails, the next supports are at 610.98 and 563.51 USDT. Notably, 563.51 USDT is located very close to the lower boundary of the channel, and potential buying interest from this area could be crucial for sustaining the current trend. Below that, 504.98 and 461.93 USDT are the next support levels to watch.From a chart pattern perspective, there are no notable formations such as a symmetrical triangle, falling wedge, or broadening wedge. Price action is progressing in a clean, classic ascending channel, which allows for the application of simple and clear trading strategies.While no strong volume breakout has been observed yet, a breakout with increased volume as the price nears the upper channel boundary could accelerate the trend. In particular, daily closes above 675 USDT would serve as confirmation for continued upward movement.In summary:BNB is moving within an ascending channel.The 675 USDT resistance is critical for a breakout.721 USDT is the upper target.Channel support lies near 563 USDT.
ETH Comments and Price Analysis 30 May 2025
Ethereum – 4-Hour Chart Short-Term Technical Analysis (May 30, 2025)Ethereum is moving within an ascending parallel channel. At the moment, it has touched the lower boundary of the channel at $2,540, which acts as a significant short-term support.Key Technical Levels:Supports:$2,540 (Channel lower boundary and horizontal support)$2,467$2,397Resistances:$2,566 (Short-term horizontal resistance)$2,632$2,788 (Channel upper boundary)Technical Pattern:Ascending Channel: Price continues to move within the channel. The recent approach to the lower band increases the likelihood of a short-term bounce.Horizontal Consolidation: There is a range-bound movement between $2,540 and $2,630. A breakout from this range will determine the short-term trend direction. ETH Short Term ETH is currently attempting to hold above the support line. If it maintains support above $2,540, an upward move toward $2,632 and $2,788 could be expected. However, if it fails to hold above $2,540, a pullback toward $2,467 and lower support levels may occur. The breakout direction will be key in determining the short-term trend.
CETUS Comments and Price Analysis 28 May 2025
CETUS Technical Analysis – Strong Rebound from SupportCETUS has re-entered investors’ radar after experiencing a sharp pullback followed by a rebound from a strong support zone. In particular, buying interest emerging from the $0.11515 – $0.12119 liquidity support band quickly pushed the price upward again. Currently, CETUS is trading around $0.15262 and is approaching a critical decision point. Current Appearance Support Zones:$0.13990: Primary short-term support. The level the price is currently trying to hold above.$0.12119 – $0.11515: Strong support band from which the recent upward move began.$0.09830: Major timeframe bottom level, may come into play in case of a deeper correction.Resistance Zones:$0.16149 – $0.16996: Horizontal resistance band that must be broken in the short term.$0.19288: Previous high, a zone that faced intense selling pressure on higher timeframes.Successfully maintaining above the $0.13990 level is promising in terms of continuing the upward trend from a technical standpoint. However, the real breakout needs to occur within the $0.16149 – $0.16996 band. As long as this region is not broken, upward moves may remain limited, and selling pressure could resume.Momentum indicators like RSI signal recovery, and volume analysis shows that the recent rebound has come with strong buying pressure. This confirms renewed interest from buyers in the market.Conclusion:Technically, CETUS has demonstrated a strong recovery from a key support. However, closing above $0.16149 is crucialfor the continuation of the upward move. Otherwise, the price could pull back toward the $0.121 zone again. Therefore, the price action in the next few days will be decisive for the short-term direction.These analyses do not provide investment advice. They focus on support and resistance levels that may offer potential trading opportunities in the short and medium term, depending on market conditions. However, all trading and risk management decisions are solely the responsibility of the user. The use of stop-loss orders is strongly recommended for any trades shared.
ZK Comments and Price Analysis 27 May 2025
ZK Technical AnalysisZK has once again touched its ascending trendline and successfully bounced from that region. The $0.0579–$0.0592 range stands out as a strong support zone, intersecting both horizontal and trendline supports. After testing this level, the price has reversed upward and is currently trading around $0.0643. Rising Trend The structure on the chart highlights $0.0629 as a key short-term resistance level. As long as this level remains unbroken, further upside could be limited. However, a clear breakout above $0.0629 may pave the way for a move toward the $0.0668–$0.0683 resistance zone — an area where price previously faced sharp rejections.Support Levels:$0.0629: Currently acting as short-term resistance; a breakout may trigger upside continuation$0.0592–$0.0579: Key support area combining trendline and horizontal support$0.0542: Deeper support in case of a strong breakdownResistance Levels:$0.0668–$0.0683: Critical resistance zone that may define the next price direction$0.0721: Next major resistance levelThe ascending trend remains intact, and the current price structure shows a series of higher lows. What matters now is whether ZK can sustain upward momentum and break above recent resistance levels. A confirmed breakout and hold above $0.0668 would likely indicate the beginning of a new bullish leg.Disclaimer: This analysis does not constitute investment advice. It focuses on support and resistance levels that may present potential short- to mid-term trading opportunities depending on market conditions. However, all responsibility for trading decisions and risk management lies entirely with the user. The use of stop-loss orders is strongly recommended for any trade setup shared.
RENDER Comments and Price Analysis 27 May 2025
When analyzing the daily chart of RENDER (RNDR) from a technical perspective, it is observed that the price has been moving within a long-standing descending channel structure, and recently, it has begun to tighten near the upper boundary of this channel. The current price is trading at $4.729, a level that is technically quite close to a critical decision point.The first key horizontal support level highlighted on the chart is at $4.159. The price has managed to hold above this level, forming a short-term uptrend. Below this level, the $3.132 and $2.831 zones stand out as critical support areas. In particular, the $2.831 – $3.132 band has previously seen strong buying reactions, so it could serve as support in case of pullbacks.On the upside, the $5.523 level emerges as the first major resistance point. This level coincides with the upper band of the descending channel, making it particularly critical from a technical standpoint. If $5.523 is broken, the next resistance levels will be $6.110, followed by $7.846. A breakout of these levels would confirm the end of the long-standing downtrend and could potentially push the price above $10 in the medium term. Symmetrical Triangle Additionally, the chart reveals a contracting symmetrical triangle structure. The price approaching the apex of this triangle suggests that a breakout may occur in the coming days. In the event of an upward breakout, the first target would be $6.110. However, in the case of a downward breakout, sustained movement below $4.159 could drag the price down to $3.132, and then to $2.071.Volume analysis also shows that trading volume has decreased as the price approaches the narrowing region, which is typical behavior in triangle formations before a breakout. The direction of the breakout will determine the short- and medium-term trend.In summary: RENDER is at a technical decision point. The price is very close to the apex of the contracting triangle, and the direction in which it breaks out is crucial. A break above $5.523 may trigger further upside, while a drop below $4.159 could deepen the decline. Investors are advised to closely monitor price action between these two levels. If accompanied by a spike in volume, the breakout direction will be confirmed.
SOL comment and Price Analysis 26 May 2025
When analyzing SOL on the daily chart from a technical perspective, it is evident that the price has been maintaining the uptrend that began in mid-April. The current price is around $175.44, with a limited daily pullback of 0.26%. This pullback can be interpreted as a short-term correction. The price is currently trading near a critical resistance zonebetween $175 and $185. This area has previously acted as both support and resistance, making it a strong horizontal resistance zone.Looking at technical levels, the nearest support level is at $167.79, which also stands out as a retracement area of the previous upward move. If the price falls below $167.79, it could retrace further towards the $146.78 – $139.96 range. This zone has previously attracted significant buying interest and may act as strong support. Additionally, the $124.40level remains an important long-term support on broader timeframes. Current Supports and Resistances On the upside, if the price breaks above $175, the first target will be $191.80. Just above this lies $201.15, a strong resistance level. The $191.80 – $201.15 range is a horizontal resistance zone where the price has faced multiple rejections and reversals in the past. A breakout above this zone could signal a continuation of the strong bullish trendin Solana. If such a breakout occurs, medium-term targets could be $233.09 and eventually $295.73.When examining the candlestick patterns on the chart, it is clear that the price has been facing resistance at the $175 level in recent days, yet bullish momentum remains intact. This may indicate that investors are consolidating strength to break through this level. If the price continues to hold above $167.79, the probability of an upward breakout increases.In summary: Technically, SOL is in a strong recovery phase. In the short term, a break above the $175–$185 zonecould push the price above $200. However, if this zone fails to break, the price may pull back to $167.79 or even $146. Therefore, it is crucial for investors to closely monitor the price action between the $167.79 support and the $191.80 resistance. These breakouts will be key in determining the next direction.
AVAX Comment and Price Analysis 25 May 2025
When AVAX is examined from a technical perspective on the daily chart, it is seen that the price has broken the downward trend it has been in for a long time and has started to move within an ascending channel after this break. This situation can be evaluated as a signal of a change of direction in the medium term. The current price level is $ 22.25, showing a decrease of 3.09% on a daily basis. This price level is also just above the short-term support line. Technically, this level is a critical threshold in terms of the direction of the price. Significant support and resistance levels are clearly observed on the chart. While the closest support levels stand out as $ 22.00 and $ 20.10, these levels are important because they are areas where the price has reacted many times in the past. In particular, the $ 20.10 level is in a strong horizontal support position and it is predicted that the declines may accelerate if this level is dropped below. In upward movements, the first strong resistance level is $ 23.09. If this level is maintained, $ 24.43 and then $ 28.50 levels can be targeted. The $28.50 resistance is critical as it has been a strong level that has determined the direction of the price in the past. If this resistance is broken, the price may show an accelerated rise to the $33.48 - $35.42 band. In the longer term, the $42.14 and $55.79 levels stand out as major resistance points. Avax current trend When the trend lines are examined, it is seen that the falling trend that previously suppressed the price has been broken and that an ascending parallel channel has been formed with this break. Within the channel structure, the price occasionally touches the lower band and reacts, while the upper band shows resistance. In recent movements, it is noteworthy that the price tested the lower band of the channel and reacted upwards again, but was rejected from the $23.09 resistance. This shows that the market is currently in the decision phase.In terms of possible scenarios, if the $22.00 level works as support in the positive scenario, the price can be expected to test the $23.09 and $24.43 resistances. If it is sustained above $24.43, there may be a movement towards the $28.50 resistance. In the negative scenario, daily closings below $22.00 may lead to pullbacks to the $20.10 support. If this level is broken, selling pressure will increase and a trend towards lower support levels may be seen. As a result, AVAX is trading in the technical decision zone. The $22.00 - $23.09 band is critical and investors are advised to follow the price movements in this region carefully. While upward breaks can confirm the continuation of the uptrend, downward breaks can trigger a new downward wave. Therefore, reactions and volume movements at both support and resistance levels will be decisive in terms of direction determination.
SUI Comment and Price Analysis 20 May 2025
SUI 4H Technical Analysis – Descending Channel Pattern Formation and Price Compression ContinueWhile SUI maintains its overall uptrend, a series of short-term corrections have formed a technically significant pattern. On the 4-hour chart, two consecutive descending channel pattern stand out. The first flag was broken to the upside, resulting in a strong rally. The second flag, however, is still active, with price currently moving within a tightening range.SUI is trading around $3.80, and the upper boundary of the flag is being tested. A confirmed breakout above this level could indicate a continuation of the previous bullish leg. However, volume confirmation will be critical to validate the move. SUI Flag Formation Key Support Levels:$3.5621: Important short-term horizontal support$3.1589–$3.0386: Strong liquidity zone and previous consolidation range$2.7247: Mid-term support$2.4433–$2.3503: Key demand area in case of a deeper correctionKey Resistance Levels:$3.85–$3.90: Upper boundary of the flag, immediate breakout zone$4.00+: Psychological and technical target upon breakoutThe formation of back-to-back descending channel patterns in SUI reflects a market structure where price consolidates before continuing upward. These patterns often indicate trend continuation, but as of now, the second flag has not been confirmed. If SUI breaks above $3.85 with rising volume, targets above $4.00 may quickly come into play.In a bearish scenario, if the flag breaks downward, the price could first revisit the $3.56 support. Sustained movement below this level could push SUI toward the $3.15–$3.03 range.Conclusion: SUI is at a critical decision point in the short term. A bullish breakout from the flag pattern could reignite upward momentum. On the other hand, increased selling pressure could lead to a test of key support zones. The $3.56 and $3.03 levels should be closely monitored for confirmation.Disclaimer: This analysis does not constitute investment advice. It focuses on support and resistance levels that may present potential short- to mid-term trading opportunities depending on market conditions. However, all responsibility for trading decisions and risk management lies entirely with the user. The use of stop-loss orders is strongly recommended for any trade setup shared.
WLD Comments and Price Analysis 13 May 2025
Worldcoin (WLD) Technical AnalysisWLD has recently demonstrated a highly impressive upward performance. This movement, which began in early April, gradually climbed from the $0.60 level and pushed the price above $1.30. During this period, both the rising trendline and Fibonacci support levels functioned effectively. It is currently holding within the $1.162–$1.226 range, which it initially failed to break, later did so, and then confirmed as support via a retest and SR flip. WLD Current Outlook The rising trendline seen on the chart indicates that WLD is ascending in a healthy, step-by-step fashion and carries strong buying momentum. The current pullback can be interpreted as a technically normal and healthy breather.Support Levels:$1.226 – $1.162: Critical support zone$1.000: Strong psychological and technical support$0.861 – $0.816: Supports that may come into play in the event of deeper correctionsResistance Levels:$1.300 – $1.330: Short-term price resistance currently being tested$1.446: A resistance level that may be targeted in the medium termVolume-backed breakouts in these zones will be critical to triggering the next leg of the price rally. Otherwise, WLD could pull back into the $1.16 – $1.00 range. However, the overall trend structure remains positive.In conclusion, WLD presents a strong outlook both in terms of technical structure and rising trend. As long as it maintains support above $1.226, new highs are within reach. Especially closes above $1.30 could position $1.446 as the next target for WLD. The key risk in this process is a breakdown of the rising trend. However, the current structure indicates that this scenario has not yet materialized.These analyses do not constitute investment advice and focus on support and resistance levels believed to potentially create trading opportunities in the short to medium term based on market conditions. However, all responsibility for trading and risk management lies entirely with the user. The use of stop-loss orders in all shared trades is strongly recommended.
ZK Comments and Price Analysis 13 May 2025
ZK (zkSync) Technical AnalysisZK (zkSync) has finally broken out of its long-standing downtrend to the upside. In particular, after the strong breakout above the $0.0551 resistance level with significant volume, the price accelerated rapidly, climbing to $0.0796. This suggests that buyers have regained control in the short term. As of now, the price is consolidating at $0.0744, and it is being monitored whether previous resistance levels are now being tested as support. ZK Current Breakdown The structure formed after this breakout may technically indicate the beginning of a new upward wave. However, for this uptrend to be sustainable, the price needs to hold the $0.0675–$0.0637 zone and also break above the $0.0796 resistance with strong volume.Support Levels:$0.0675 – $0.0637: Support-resistance flip (SR Flip)$0.0551: Major supportResistance Levels:$0.0796: Current strong resistance and the area where the price has stalled$0.0938 – $0.0995: Medium-term target zone$0.1193: Major long-term resistance to watchThe breakout on the chart followed by a strong rally reveals that buyers have stepped in aggressively. While the RSI indicator supports the upward movement, a short-term correction should not be ruled out. Therefore, it is advisable for investors to closely observe price behavior around the support levels.In conclusion, ZK has clearly broken above its descending trendline, giving a technically positive signal. Movement above the $0.0551 level suggests that higher targets may come into play in the medium term. If we see sustained closes above $0.0796, the price could potentially move toward $0.0938 and then above $0.10. Otherwise, the $0.0675 – $0.0630 range may be retested. However, the current structure indicates that the bullish scenario is more likely.This analysis does not constitute investment advice. It focuses on support and resistance levels that are considered to potentially offer trading opportunities under current market conditions in the short to medium term. However, the responsibility for making trades and managing risk lies entirely with the user. The use of stop-loss orders in any shared trades is strongly recommended.
ARB Comments and Price Analysis 7 May 2025
ARB Technical AnalysisARB has finally broken out of its long-standing downtrend, marking a significant technical milestone. Following this breakout, the price climbed to $0.3529, but failed to sustain that level and pulled back toward the $0.30 zone — a key test area for market participants.The current level at $0.3016 serves as both a psychological and technical support. Holding this area could open the door for a renewed bullish wave. However, if it fails, the breakout may be seen as a false move, increasing selling pressure once again. Support Levels:$0.3012–$0.2892: Current support zone and post-breakout retest area$0.2560: Main support if downside continues$0.2430: Liquidity zone and major long-term supportResistance Levels:$0.3128–$0.3228: First major resistance and decision area$0.3529: Previous high and short-term market structure break (MSB)$0.3858–$0.3982: Mid-term resistance target zoneThe chart shows that while the downtrend has been broken, buyers haven’t yet shown strong follow-through volume. RSI indicates a recovery from oversold territory, but momentum needs confirmation. If ARB holds above support and breaks $0.3228, it could build a more bullish structure. Otherwise, the price may fall back into the previous channel.Conclusion: ARB has delivered a positive technical signal by breaking its descending trendline. However, sustaining this breakout depends heavily on maintaining support above $0.30. If it holds, short-term targets include $0.35, followed by $0.40. If support fails, stop-loss strategies may become essential for risk management.Disclaimer: This analysis does not constitute investment advice. It focuses on support and resistance levels that may present potential short- to mid-term trading opportunities depending on market conditions. However, all responsibility for trading decisions and risk management lies entirely with the user. The use of stop-loss orders is strongly recommended for any trade setup shared.
TOTAL, ETH/BTC: Comments and Price Analysis 7 May 2025
Crypto Market at the 2025 Peak: Will the Bull Continue After the FOMC? [Detailed TOTAL Analysis]Technical Structure: Historical Resistance Zone and 5-Year TrendThe 2.85T – 2.95T USD region is the peak of the 2021 bull season. This zone acts as a macro resistance line that has not yet been broken. Currently, we are seeing weekly closes just below this line. This indicates that the market is at a critical decision point regarding this level. TOTAL Below that, around 2.15T USD, lies the ascending trend support that has been in place for 5 years. This trend line is essentially the backbone of the bull cycle that started after the pandemic and is still valid today.This structure tells us two things:a) Either the market will clearly break through the 2021 peak and initiate a new super bull,b) Or it will once again get rejected in this region and pull back to major supports to regain strength.Despite short-term declines, the weekly structure shows that ETH is still preparing for a mid-term upward move.Post-FOMC Expectations on May 7: Blue and Red ScenariosBlue Scenario (Positive FOMC → New Bull Wave)In this scenario, if the FED uses a non-hawkish tone in the May 7 meeting, leaves the door open for rate cuts, and emphasizes that "sufficient tightening has been achieved" in the fight against inflation, risk markets could respond with great enthusiasm.In this case, the 2.85T region on the chart would be clearly broken, followed by a healthy retest of that region. Then, the market could head toward the 3.35T USD and higher targets. If this is supported by developments like the Ethereum Pectra Upgrade and spot altcoin ETF applications, we could witness the strongest rally since 2021.Let’s not forget: historically, low volatility + positive divergence after an FOMC has often been the trigger for major bull runs.Red Scenario (FOMC Uncertainty or Short-Term Pressure)In this scenario, even if the FED keeps rates steady, if it uses cautious language regarding inflation, or if markets interpret that "rate cuts are not imminent", or if the 2.85T – 2.95T line cannot be decisively broken; rejection and correction become more likely.Here, the market could first pull back to the 2.65T region, and possibly to the 2.15T – 2.00T zone around the main ascending trend. Such pullbacks often generate high demand in POI (Point of Interest) regions. Especially the trend line zone could, as in the past, serve as an accumulation zone for large funds.However, even in this scenario, the bull structure remains intact. We’re merely talking about a correction to regain balance and market saturation.Macro Trend Continues: 5-Year Support Still IntactThe most important positive signal is that the 5-year ascending trend is still valid.There hasn’t been a single weekly close below this trend.Even in the harshest sell-offs of the 2022 bear season, this trend was preserved.Where we stand today, there’s a structure squeezed between this trend and the 2021 peak. This structure typically indicates an “expansion after compression” model. By nature, such squeezes in bull markets usually break to the upside. If the fundamental triggers listed above (ETFs, rate cut signals) come into play, this breakout could initiate a new ATH wave.ETH/BTC Chart: Historical Lows in Favor of Ethereum ETH/BTC Now let’s look at this structure from the ETH/BTC perspective. The ETH/BTC ratio is currently at levels seen before Ethereum’s major surge in 2021. This ratio is at historical low levels, meaning Ethereum has high potential to gain value against BTC.Considering both Ethereum’s technical structure and ETF speculation, this structure suggests that the altcoin season may start under Ethereum’s leadership. In summary, we are in a structure where Ethereum may gain value not only in USD terms but also against BTC in the coming weeks.Conclusion: A Market Awaiting Bull ConfirmationThe market is still within a macro upward trend.Price is struggling with historical resistance.If the blue scenario kicks in post-FOMC, a new super bull season may begin.The red scenario still points to a healthy correction; as long as the trend isn't broken, the bull structure remains.ETH/BTC is open to strengthening in favor of Ethereum.Therefore, the market is closer to the positive scenario. With a breakout above this region, which represents the 2021 peak, we could see a total market cap of first 3.35T and then 4.0T in the short term.These analyses, which do not provide investment advice, focus on support and resistance levels where short and medium bid trading opportunities can be created according to market conditions. However, the user is solely responsible for trading and risk management. In addition, it is strongly recommended to use stoploss in relation to replacement transactions.
ALT Comments and Price Analysis 6 May 2025
AltLayer (ALT) Technical AnalysisAltLayer (ALT) continues to move within a descending channel pattern, with the price currently trading near the lower boundary at $0.02608. Following a period of low-volume selling pressure, ALT has once again slipped toward the channel base — marking a technically crucial level. ALT Falling Channel The lower band of the channel, which has historically served as a strong bounce zone, is being closely monitored by traders. The $0.02600–$0.02100 range stands out as both a psychological and technical support zone. If the price manages to hold this area, a rebound toward the channel’s upper boundary becomes more likely, signaling a potential short- to mid-term recovery.However, if the channel support fails and the price closes below $0.02100, the market may enter a deeper correction phase with possible new lows.Key Technical LevelsSupport Zones:$0.02600–$0.02100: Major support zone near the channel bottom$0.01750: Final support line within the descending channelResistance Zones:$0.03760: Short-term resistance and liquidity zone$0.04748–$0.05217: Mid-term resistance band$0.06798: Short-term market structure break (MSB) level$0.08859–$0.09734: Resistance-turn-support (SR Flip) region$0.13030: Potential reaction zone after a confirmed breakoutPrice action over the coming days will likely be defined by how ALT reacts within the $0.02600–$0.02100 support zone. A strong bounce with volume could revive bullish momentum, while a failure to hold this range might lead to a breakdown below the channel.Conclusion: AltLayer is currently positioned at a technically sensitive area. Proximity to the channel’s lower boundary presents a potential reversal opportunity, but also carries the risk of deeper downside if support fails. The $0.02100 level acts as a last-resort threshold. On the upside, if the price bounces, the first target is $0.03760, followed by $0.04748–$0.05200 as a mid-term objective. For buyers, this zone offers a compelling risk-reward setup.Disclaimer: This analysis does not constitute investment advice. It focuses on support and resistance levels that may present potential short- to mid-term trading opportunities depending on market conditions. However, all responsibility for trading decisions and risk management lies entirely with the user. The use of stop-loss orders is strongly recommended for any trade setup shared.
ETH Comments and Price Analysis 5 May 2025
Ethereum Technical Analysis (May 5, 2025): Long and Medium-Term Outlook Ahead of the Pectra Upgrade1) Long-Term (1W) Chart Analysis: Positive Compression at Structural SupportsOn the weekly chart, Ethereum appears to have broken below the main ascending trendline (and even the parallel channel structure) that began in March 2020. After the trend breakdown at the 2350 level, the price retraced to the 1800–1700 range, which can be interpreted as a macro-level S/R Flip and POI test.The most striking detail is that the price turned upwards before reaching the very high-volume demand block located in the 1234 to 1041 dollar range, coming from previous bear market lows. This indicates that market participants are buying again at higher levels and positioning for a trend reversal without the need for deep sell-offs. ETH Current Trend When analyzed on a weekly basis, Ethereum’s:1,800 USDT level is currently the main short-term defended level.The 2,085 – 2,350 range is the resistance zone where weekly liquidity is clustered and the first area the price will aim to reach.1,740 is the last line of defense; below it, weekly POIs come into play.The weekly structure shows that despite short-term declines, ETH is still preparing for a medium-term uptrend.2) Short-Term (1D) Chart Analysis: Microstructure Liquidity Sweep and RecoveryOn the daily chart, during the drop starting from the 2100 level, the price first broke the S/R Flip zone around the 2000–2100 range, then pulled back to the micro POI located at 1740. This zone is also an area where liquidity had accumulated in the past and strong buys took place, and the current price behavior shows a new upward structure is being built from this zone. ETH Short Term Notable technical details:1) 2,004–2,098 Range: A significant S/R Flip zone on the daily. A breakout above this area and consolidation there is critical for the structure to turn into positive momentum.2) EMA20 and EMA50: The narrowing between these two moving averages indicates that the price is about to choose a direction. If it breaks upward, a gap may form toward the 2,385 – 2,741 range.3) RSI: Currently giving a bullish divergence signal on the daily and has exited the oversold zone. This supports the idea that the previous drop was for “liquidity sweep” purposes.This structure indicates that ETH is preparing for a “secondary upward wave” and is repositioning toward upper liquidity areas.Pectra Upgrade and FOMC Meeting Creating SynergyBoth long- and short-term charts suggest that Ethereum may have completed its bearish structure and is technically laying the groundwork for an upward reversal. At this point, two major events could act as macro triggers and accelerate a bullish breakout:FOMC (May 7, 2025): The Fed holding rates steady is almost priced in. However, the tone Powell adopts (e.g., signaling more patience against rising inflation) could lead to a sudden liquidity inflow into risk assets. Assets like ETH could directly benefit from this. Especially short-term closes above 2100 would confirm Ethereum’s “macro reversal” signal.Pectra Upgrade: Ethereum’s Pectra upgrade, set to go live in mid-2025, will increase validator efficiency, accelerate Layer 2 integrations, and improve gas optimization. This implies a significant improvement in on-chain usage metrics. As with previous upgrades (e.g., Merge and Shanghai), such structural developments create delayed but strong impacts on price.The long-term positive expectation created by Pectra makes investors more resistant to short-term FUD. This enhances ETH’s resilience to downward pressure and increases the strength of upward reactions. As a result, when all structures are considered together, in Ethereum:1) In the short term, the 2,000–2,100 zone will be retested.2) If sustained movement occurs above this region, a rally toward 2,385 and 2,741 can be expected.3) With the effect of the Pectra upgrade, the 3,269 level may become a target as summer approaches.Short-term closes below 1,740 may trigger drops toward 1,234, but this is not the main scenario.
BTC Comments and Price Analysis 3 May 2025
Bitcoin at New Thresholds — Markets Enter a Critical Fed WeekBitcoin has completed the first quarter of 2025 with significant volatility. The rally that began from the $73,000–$74,000 range extended up to the $96,000 level and still largely maintains its upward structure. However, at this point, the chart structure is starting to show signs of saturation. Selling pressure from the upper band of the ascending parallel channel has created a short-term resistance zone.Ahead of the May 7 FOMC meeting (Fed Interest Rate Decision), a cautious wait-and-see mood dominates global markets. In this context, it is crucial to evaluate both macroeconomic developments and Bitcoin’s technical structure together. Let’s begin. Current Outlook of BTC 1. Critical POI Levels and S/R Flip ZonesThe first notable feature on the chart is the clear marking of two key POI (Point of Interest) levels:$96,000 Level (Resistance POI): This level coincides with the previous local top and represents a resistance zone that the current price is testing but struggling to break. This area is also important in terms of “liquidity sweep,” as many short positions are stopped out here, which increases the potential for a short-term fake breakout. A sustained breakout of this level could trigger the liquidity between the $99,000–$104,000 range.$88,600–$86,200 S/R Flip Support Block: This zone was confirmed after a strong retest following a previous breakout. The support area has held well and triggered an aggressive response due to a “short trap” effect. As long as there are no 4H or daily candle closes below this zone, the bullish structure can be considered active.These two regions are highly significant in terms of both volume and structural transformation. Traders should closely monitor these areas as POIs and structure their trading plans with appropriate risk management.2. Trend Structure, Channel Support, and Rising Low FormationThe chart shows that the price is moving within a long-term ascending trend channel. The lower band of the channel has been tested multiple times and received strong reactions, while upward breakouts have faced profit-taking at the upper boundaries.a) Trend Continuity: The clearly visible higher high and higher low pattern on the chart confirms the continuation of the bull trend. Especially the major low in March (around $73,000) and the higher low in April suggest a healthy price structure.b) Mid-Channel Line Acting as Support: After the price bounced from the $80,200 level, the middle line of the channel has acted as a support. These inner lines often serve as pivot points in intra-channel micro-wave movements. Holding above this area has allowed the price to climb back up to the $96,000 resistance.c) Breakdown Risk: However, if the lower band of the channel is tested again, it could lead to a structural breakdown. The $74,600 and $72,700 levels are critical supports in this context. A break below these levels might bring a bearish trend scenario into play.3. Liquidity Zones and Manipulation RisksOne important observation on the chart is the clear pricing around liquidity clusters. In particular:a) Liquidity Sweep Around $96,000: There’s a build-up of buy-side liquidity in this zone. Wick formations and low-volume price spikes suggest that large players are pushing price up to liquidate shorts and then driving it back down.b) Dips Below $88,600 Showing “Fakeout” Behavior: This region likely acts as a POI where algorithmic buy orders are triggered. Volume indicators show increased buying pressure around this level.c) The Way Liquidity Zones Function Offers This Insight: Key support/resistance zones should not only be evaluated technically but also from a liquidity-hunting perspective.4. May 7 Fed Decision and Potential ScenariosThe FOMC decision on May 7, 2025, stands out as the most significant macro factor that will determine the direction of this technical structure. Potential scenarios include:a) Rate Cut (0.25% or More): In this case, a sharp upward move can be expected in all risk assets, especially Bitcoin. A strong breakout of the $96,000 level could target the $99,000–$104,000 range. Traders should watch for the sustainability of momentum, keeping an eye on indicators like RSI and MACD.b) Rate Hold (4.50%): In this scenario, the market may initially react neutrally, but Powell’s tone during the press conference will be decisive. A hawkish stance could pull the price back to the $88,600 support, while a dovish tone may strengthen upward momentum.5. Summary and Strategic TakeawaysThe POI levels ($96,000 and $88,600) are the main areas to watch for trading decisions. The trend structure is upward, but being near the upper boundary of the channel may trigger profit-taking. Liquidity zones conceal the true intentions of market participants. Therefore, avoiding the “panic on dips” and “euphoria on pumps” trap is essential. The May 7 Fed decision will test not only Bitcoin’s technical but also its psychological levels. For long-term investors, the $72,700–$74,600 range may offer accumulation opportunities, while short-term traders should consider POI breakouts for trades with well-defined stop-loss levels.This analysis does not constitute investment advice. It focuses on support and resistance levels that may present potential short- to mid-term trading opportunities depending on market conditions. However, all responsibility for trading decisions and risk management lies entirely with the user. The use of stop-loss orders is strongly recommended for any trade setup shared.
