Ethereum
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Ethereum News
Ethereum News
Browse all Ethereum related articles and news. The latest news, analysis, and insights on Ethereum.
$8.7 Billion Worth of Bitcoin and ETH Options Expires
The biggest derivatives market event of February has arrived: a total of $8.72 billion worth of Bitcoin and Ethereum option contracts have expired. While the crypto markets are hovering at a delicate balance point with this critical development, both technical indicators and investor sentiment paint an interesting picture. Bitcoin accounts for the majority of this figure. With 114,705 contracts and a value of approximately $7.74 billion, BTC leads by a wide margin, while Ethereum has 478,992 contracts and a share of $975 million. This combined volume of the two assets represents approximately twenty percent of the total open positions; this makes the potential impact of the expiration on the market significant. Maximum pain levels are creating pressureBoth assets are trading significantly below their "maximum pain" thresholds. This concept refers to the price level at which the greatest number of options become worthless. Bitcoin is trading at $68,052, approximately $7,000 below the $75,000 threshold, while Ethereum is hovering around $2,035, below the $2,200 threshold. Historical patterns suggest that spot prices tend to approach these levels before expiration; this could create upward pressure in the short term. In the options structure, call contracts outweigh put contracts. The buy/sell ratio is 0.73 for Bitcoin and 0.78 for Ethereum. While this theoretically presents an optimistic picture, it takes on a different form in terms of volatility indicators. According to Deribit data, Bitcoin's implied volatility index is at 87.7% of its historical range, while Ethereum's volatility is approximately 15-20 points higher than Bitcoin's throughout the entire expiration curve.Anxiety persists in derivatives marketsBitcoin managed to retest the $70,000 level in recent days; however, this recovery was not enough to alleviate the deep anxiety in the market. There was a net inflow of $764 million into licensed Bitcoin ETFs in the US in the last two days. While this figure partially offset the $1.2 billion outflow in the previous eight trading days, it did not revive the appetite for leveraged buying in the futures market. The fact that the Bitcoin futures premium is hovering well below the neutral threshold of 5%, at only 2%, confirms this picture.What's behind the decline?Questions remain unanswered regarding the main factor that caused Bitcoin to fall by 32% in eight weeks. It is known that the major crash in October led to a $19 billion forced liquidation, coinciding with the US tariff increases on Chinese goods. Binance's payment of $283 million in compensation to users, citing internal pricing errors, was also among the notable developments. On the other hand, the controversy deepened when an analyst from Jefferies removed Bitcoin from their model portfolio, citing the risks of quantum computing. In response, the developer community prepared the BIP-360 proposal, which aims for a transition to post-quantum cryptography, while some market participants viewed Jane Street's large positions in Bitcoin ETFs with curiosity and suspicion. With all these developments in mind, Bitcoin's monthly price movement was as follows:
Ethereum Announces New Roadmap: Here Are the Key Details
The Ethereum Foundation has released a comprehensive roadmap that will shape the long-term future of blockchain. Called the "Strawmap," this plan outlines its approach along three main axes: scalability, quantum resilience, and native privacy at the base layer.Transaction finality in secondsCurrently, it can take minutes for a transaction to be finalized on Ethereum. The Strawmap aims to dramatically shorten this time. The roadmap highlights the goal of "1-slot finality," meaning each transaction will be finalized within a single slot, or a few seconds. This development will make the network a much more attractive environment for application developers while maintaining decentralization and security. 10,000 TPS target: zkEVM comes into playPerhaps the most striking part of the Strawmap is its targets for transaction capacity. Through zkEVM solutions based on zero-knowledge proof-of-stake technology, the Foundation plans to reach 10,000 transactions per second at layer 1 (L1) and 10 million transactions per second at layer 2 (L2). Improvements to blob data processing, sampling, and calldata efficiency are also part of this process.Taking precautions against the quantum threatThe threat that quantum computers could pose in the crypto world has long been a topic of discussion. According to figures like Michael Saylor, founder of Strategy, a serious quantum threat is still years away. However, Ethereum founder Vitalik Buterin warns that the risk could emerge as early as 2028. Ripple's technical director, David Schwartz, also expresses similar concerns, drawing attention to the need for a quantum-resistant fork of Bitcoin.Strawmap offers concrete answers to these concerns: Hash-based cryptography, quantum-resistant confirmation mechanisms, and quantum-resistant transaction schemes are included in the roadmap. In the same vein, the Bitcoin community has also brought up the BIP-360 upgrade; this upgrade, when implemented on the network, will bring post-quantum cryptography to Bitcoin. Privacy is now in the protocol itselfUntil now, Ethereum has largely relied on external tools and third-party solutions for privacy. Strawmap could change this equation. The roadmap includes native hidden transfers at the L1 level and advanced cryptographic principles. This means users can hide their balances and transaction history on the underlying protocol; without requiring an external tool.The foundation is structuring the upgrades through three main components:Consensus Layer (CL): Confirmation and validator efficiencyData Layer (DL): Transaction throughput and blob scalingExecution Layer (EL): zkVM, computational abstraction, and sustainabilityThe roadmap envisages a total of seven Ethereum forks by the end of 2029.Vitalik's ETH sales and price movementThe release of Strawmap coincided with Vitalik Buterin's gradual reduction of his portfolio. According to on-chain data, Buterin sold between 11,000 and 17,000 ETH (worth approximately $23-43 million) in the last month; leaving him with approximately 224,000 ETH. Buterin is carrying out these transactions in small batches, aiming to limit any potential sharp pressure on the price.On the market front, ETH is trading at $2,106 as of February 26, with a daily increase of 13.78%.
Pressure on Ethereum is Mounting: Vitalik Buterin Sold 1,869 ETH
Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin's recent large-scale ETH sales have increased pressure on an already weak market. According to on-chain data, Buterin sold a total of 1,869 Ether in two days, creating approximately $3.67 million in liquidity. The sales coincided with a period when the price was approaching a technically critical breakout point. Data shared by the blockchain analytics platform Lookonchain shows that before the sale, Buterin withdrew 3,500 ETH from the decentralized finance protocol Aave. The subsequent sales made the already ongoing downward trend in the market even more visible. Market data shows that the Ethereum price has fallen by approximately 3 percent in the last 48 hours, dropping to $1,844 on Monday morning. This marks ETH's lowest level in 20 days. Vitalik Buterin's sales are not new. On January 30th, he announced that he would be gradually withdrawing and selling a total of 16,384 ETH through his organization, Kanro. It was stated that these funds would be used to develop the Ethereum ecosystem, open-source software, and finance long-term projects. During the same period, it was also stated that the Ethereum Foundation was undergoing a "moderate austerity process." According to data from the on-chain analytics company Arkham Intelligence, Buterin has sold off approximately 9,000 ETH in installments since the beginning of February. With sales accelerating in the last two days, the total amount has increased further. Despite this, Buterin still holds over 224,000 ETH in his wallets; the current market value of these assets is approximately $429 million.Vitalik Buterin's sales are impacting the marketIt is known that founder-related sales have had an impact on the market in the past. In May 2021, following a transfer of 35,000 ETH linked to the Ethereum Foundation, the price fell by approximately 50 percent within weeks. The 20,000 ETH transferred to the Kraken exchange in November 2021 coincided, in retrospect, with ETH reaching its peak of $4,700. On the other hand, there are also actors moving in the opposite direction in the market. ShapeShift founder Erik Voorhees and some large investors reportedly linked to Matrixport are said to be absorbing the selling pressure. However, the increase in supply stemming from the founder and the general risk-aversion trend indicate that pressure on the Ether price may continue in the short term. All these developments make the question of whether Ether will test the $1,500 band in the coming days even more critical. The market is closely monitoring both technical levels and Buterin's remaining potential sales.
Billionaire Peter Thiel Has Completely Exited His Ethereum Investment
Peter Thiel, acting alongside entities affiliated with technology investor Founders Fund, has divested his entire 7.5% stake in Ethereum treasury company ETHZilla. A 13G filing with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) formalized the divestment. The news of the sale had a sharp impact on the share price before the market opened. ETHZilla shares fell approximately 7% to around $3 in pre-market trading. This represents a loss of about 97% compared to the peak of over $107 seen when the company announced its transition to a digital asset treasury model last August.From biotech to Ethereum treasuryThe company restructured in August 2025, dropping the name 180 Life Sciences Corp. and becoming ETHZilla. At the same time, Thiel and affiliates, including Founders Fund Growth Management, acquired a 7.5% stake, a development that boosted the share price by more than 90% in a single session. ETHZilla officially launched its Ethereum treasury strategy on August 18, 2025, following a $565 million capital increase. The company positioned itself as an "Ethereum-focused accumulation vehicle," aiming to offer direct ETH exposure to public market investors and generate additional returns through staking. Over 60 investors, including Electric Capital, Polychain Capital, and GSR, participated in this funding round. However, a significant shift in the company's strategy has been observed in recent months. The rhetoric of accumulating ETH has given way to asset sales. In October, approximately $40 million worth of ETH was sold; this was reportedly used to finance a $250 million share buyback program approved by the board.In December, the company sold another 24,291 ETH to redeem its outstanding collateralized convertible bonds. The value of this sale at the time was $74.5 million. Thus, the company significantly reduced its Ether holdings in a short period. Focus on RWA TokenizationIn a statement in December, ETHZilla management emphasized that the company's future value would be shaped by revenue and cash flow growth from its RWA (real-world asset) tokenization business. Several steps have been taken in this regard in recent weeks.On February 5th, the company purchased a portfolio of 95 prefabricated and modular housing loans for approximately $4.7 million. These assets are planned to be tokenized on an Ethereum Layer 2 protocol; the targeted annual yield rate is stated as 10.36 percent. In addition, the company purchased two CFM56-7B24 aircraft engines to be tokenized through the Liquidity.io platform. This platform operates as an alternative transaction system subject to SEC regulation.Sixth Place in Ethereum ReservationsAccording to current data, ETHZilla ranks sixth among institutional Ethereum holders. The company holds 69,802 ETH; the current market value of this amount is approximately $139 million. Bitmine Immersion Technologies, a sector leader, holds 4,371,497 ETH, representing approximately $8.7 billion. In total, the top 10 Ethereum treasury companies hold 6,101,560 ETH, corresponding to a market capitalization exceeding $12 billion. Peter Thiel's complete departure coincides with a period where confidence in ETHZilla's Ethereum-focused treasury model is being questioned. The company's new focus on RWA tokenization appears likely to be a key factor in investors' performance expectations in the coming period.
Bitmine Acquired Another 45,000 ETH: Total Assets Reached 4.37 Million
Bitmine Immersion Technologies, Inc. announced that its total crypto assets, including cash reserves and "moonshot" investments, have reached a size of $9.6 billion. The company's balance sheet includes 4.37 million Ethereum (ETH), 193 Bitcoin (BTC), $670 million in cash, and various strategic investments. As of February 17, 2026, the 4,371,497 ETH held by the company is calculated at a unit price of $1.998, and the total value of these assets corresponds to approximately $8.7 billion. The amount of ETH held by Bitmine corresponds to 3.62% of the total circulating supply. The company has completed 72% of its strategic goal, which it calls "the alchemy of 5%," in just 7 months. Over 3 million ETH stakedBitmine's total staked ETH has reached 3,040,483. This figure represents a value of approximately $6.1 billion at the current price. According to company management, the annualized staking revenue from these staked assets is at the level of $176 million. The company's 7-day annualized return rate on staking operations was announced as 2.89%. The CESR (Composite Ethereum Staking Rate), which is considered a benchmark in the market, is at 2.84%. Bitmine aims to expand its staking activities through the Made in America Validator Network (MAVAN) infrastructure, which it plans to launch in the first quarter of 2026. Chairman Thomas "Tom" Lee stated that the company is currently working with three different staking providers and that a "best-in-class" staking infrastructure will be created with the launch of MAVAN. "2026 will be a decisive year for Ethereum"In his assessment after the Consensus event held in Hong Kong, Tom Lee stated that 2026 could be a turning point for Ethereum. According to Lee, three main long-term themes are strengthening Ethereum's use case.The first is Wall Street's shift towards Ethereum through tokenization and privacy solutions. The second is the use of Ethereum as a payment and verification infrastructure by artificial intelligence and autonomous agents. The third is content creators' preference for Ethereum Layer-2 solutions by adopting standards such as "proof of human."Lee stated that current investor sentiment is quite weak, reminiscent of the 2018 crypto winter and the 2022 lows. However, he emphasized that there will be no large-scale crashes similar to FTX in the 2025-2026 period. According to the company, the current weakness stems from a "mini-winter" period following the price shock on October 10th and the liquidation of leveraged positions.45,759 ETH Purchase in the Last WeekBitmine announced that it purchased 45,759 ETH in just the last week. The company states that it is maintaining its long-term Ethereum strategy regardless of the price trend and considers pullbacks as opportunities. The company's total asset composition also includes a $200 million investment in Beast Industries and $17 million in Eightco Holdings shares. These items are described as "moonshot" investments.Bitmine ranks first in the world in terms of Ethereum treasury and second among global crypto treasury companies. First place is held by Strategy Inc., which has approximately $49 billion in Bitcoin assets with 714,644 BTC.The company also stands out among the highest-volume shares on US exchanges. BMNR shares are the 158th most traded stock in the US with an average daily trading volume of $0.9 billion over the last five days.Strong support continues on the institutional side. Prominent names such as Cathie Wood, founder of ARK Invest, Founders Fund, Pantera, Kraken, DCG, and Galaxy Digital are among the company's investors.At the time of writing, the ETH price is trading at $1,992.42.
Harvard Reduced Its Bitcoin Holdings, Opened an Ethereum Position
Harvard Management Company (HMC), which manages Harvard University's endowment fund exceeding $50 billion, revealed a significant change in its crypto asset strategy in its fourth-quarter 2025 SEC filing. The institution significantly reduced its Bitcoin ETF position while investing in an Ethereum ETF for the first time.Bitcoin ETF Position Decreased by 21%According to the 13F report submitted to the SEC, HMC reduced its stake in the iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) fund, issued by BlackRock, by more than 21% compared to the previous quarter. The fund, which held 6.81 million shares at the end of the third quarter, reduced this amount to 5.35 million shares at the end of the fourth quarter. The market value of this position as of December 31 was recorded as $265.8 million. In the previous quarter, the value of the IBIT position was $442.8 million. Both the decrease in the number of shares and the pullback in Bitcoin price contributed to the overall decrease in value. Despite this, Bitcoin remained Harvard's largest publicly declared single investment. A new chapter opened on the Ethereum side. HMC purchased 3.87 million shares of the iShares Ethereum Trust (IETH) fund, also issued by BlackRock. The amount paid for this investment was announced as $86.8 million. Thus, the Harvard foundation fund took a position in an Ethereum-based exchange-traded fund for the first time. As a result of these transactions, Harvard's total cryptocurrency exposure through Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs reached $352.6 million. This shows that the university has not completely abandoned digital assets, but has adjusted its portfolio allocation. The quarter in question was quite volatile for the crypto markets. After peaking at approximately $126,000 in October 2025, Bitcoin experienced a sharp pullback towards the end of the year, falling to $88,429 on December 31st. Ethereum, meanwhile, lost approximately 28% of its value during the same period. Currently, Bitcoin is trading around $68,600 and Ethereum around $1,900.Despite the reduction in Bitcoin positions, Harvard's $265.8 million investment in IBIT still surpasses its holdings in tech giants like Alphabet, Microsoft, and Amazon. This indicates that the university's appetite for digital assets remains strong.On the other hand, Harvard's crypto strategy has sparked debate in academic circles. Andrew F. Siegel, a retired finance professor from the University of Washington, described the Bitcoin investment as "risky," pointing to its approximately 22.8% decline in value since the beginning of the year. Siegel argued that Bitcoin's risk profile stems partly from its "lack of intrinsic value."Avanidhar Subrahmanyam, a finance professor from UCLA, stated that the addition of an Ethereum position has increased his reservations about digital assets. Subrahmanyam stated that he views cryptocurrencies as an unproven asset class with an as-yet-unclear valuation methodology, and that his doubts about Harvard's previous Bitcoin investment have been strengthened by recent performance.
$3 Billion Worth of BTC and ETH Options Expiration Completed: What's Next?
Attention in the crypto derivatives markets is focused today on the large options expiry on Deribit. Approximately $3 billion worth of Bitcoin and Ethereum options contracts expire at 11:00 AM Turkish time (08:00 UTC), raising expectations of short-term volatility in the market.Critical Threshold After ExpirationAccording to data, approximately $2.5 billion worth of Bitcoin and over $400 million worth of Ethereum options are expiring today. Closings of this magnitude can create short-term fluctuations in the spot market, especially when prices are near certain strike levels. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $66,372, with its maximum pain point around $74,000. The total open interest exceeds $2.53 billion. On the Ethereum side, the price is near $1,950; with approximately $425 million in open interest, the maximum pain level is $2,100. The maximum pain level refers to the price point where the greatest number of option contracts expire worthless. Theoretically, this level represents the area where option sellers gain the most advantage. The market doesn't always have to go to this point; however, due to dense clustering of open positions, hedging transactions, and market makers' gamma positions, prices may be "pulled" towards these areas.The sharp sell-off in the last week and the rapid drop below $70,000 led to significant liquidations in the derivatives market. This movement sharply increased demand, especially for put options. Risk reversal (RR) indicators are still significantly in negative territory. The fact that the 1-week and 1-month 25-delta risk reversal values remain at negative levels shows that investors' demand for downside protection continues.The risk reversal metric sheds light on market sentiment by measuring the premium difference between call and put options. Negative values indicate that investors are paying higher premiums to protect against declines and are pricing in downside risks. According to Greeks.live analysts, over $1 billion worth of put options were traded on Bitcoin today, representing 37% of the total volume. It's noteworthy that a large portion of these positions are concentrated in the out-of-the-money range of $60,000-$65,000. This suggests that institutional players, in particular, remain cautious regarding the medium term. However, with volatility receding from panic levels in recent days, some investors are starting to turn to call options again. This indicates a fragile balance in the market. On one hand, there is continued demand for downward hedging, while on the other, expectations of a short-term recovery are gaining strength.Large option expiry dates generally open the door to two different scenarios. In the first scenario, hedging pressure decreases with the closing of contracts, and the market may experience temporary relief. In the second scenario, due to the clustering of large open positions, prices may exhibit sharp movements towards critical levels.The current prices of Bitcoin and Ethereum are relatively close to their maximum pain levels. This increases the likelihood of intraday price “pinning,” sudden increases in volatility, and liquidity-driven movements. However, macroeconomic flows, spot demand, and overall risk appetite will continue to be decisive in determining the post-expiration direction.In conclusion, today’s approximately $3 billion in options expiring represents a short-term stress test in the market. Derivative investors, still remaining defensive after the liquidation shock, have not yet reached a clear consensus on the direction. Therefore, it will not be surprising to see sharp and rapid fluctuations in intraday price movements.
JPMorgan and Standard Chartered Make Critical Bitcoin and ETH Predictions
Assessments from two global banks in the cryptocurrency market indicate a cautious outlook in the short term, while optimism remains in the long term. US financial giant JPMorgan lowered its estimate for Bitcoin's production cost, while British banking group Standard Chartered revised its price expectations. According to JPMorgan analysts, the production cost, which historically served as a "soft support level" for Bitcoin, has fallen from $90,000 at the beginning of 2026 to $77,000. This decline was influenced by a decrease in hashrate, which represents the network's total processing power, and a drop in mining difficulty. The bank emphasized that the recent decline is the sharpest difficulty drop since China's mining ban in 2021. The cumulative decrease in mining difficulty since the beginning of the year has reached approximately 15 percent. Mining difficulty on the Bitcoin network is adjusted approximately every two weeks, aiming to keep the block time stable at an average of 10 minutes. When the hashrate drops, the system automatically lowers the difficulty. According to JPMorgan, this situation is leading to the exit of high-cost miners from the market and allowing more efficient players to gain market share.Bank analysts pointed out that there are two main reasons for the decrease in production costs. First, the decline in Bitcoin price made operations unprofitable for miners with high energy costs or those using outdated equipment. Some of these companies were forced to shut down their machines. Second, severe winter storms in the US, particularly in Texas, caused large mining facilities to temporarily cease operations.JPMorgan notes that historically, sharp drops in mining difficulty signal a "capture" period. During such periods, high-cost miners may sell their Bitcoins to cover operating expenses, reduce debt, or shift to different areas such as artificial intelligence. This selling pressure has increased the downward pressure on prices since the beginning of the year. However, the bank believes that the picture has become more balanced after inefficient players exited the market. Indeed, analysts state that signs of a recovery in hashrate are being seen, and this could push production costs up again in the next difficulty adjustment. JPMorgan maintains its positive outlook for the crypto markets for the whole of 2026. The bank cites increased institutional investor inflows and clarification of the regulatory framework in the US as potential catalysts. It also reiterated its long-term target of $266,000 for Bitcoin. Standard Chartered also shared its Bitcoin and Ethereum forecastOn the other hand, a more cautious short-term outlook emerges from Standard Chartered. The bank's head of crypto assets, Geoff Kendrick, stated that "captivation selling" may continue in the coming months. According to Kendrick, Bitcoin could fall to $50,000 and Ethereum to $1,400. The analyst also drew attention to outflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs. Kendrick emphasized that the amount of assets held in ETFs has decreased by approximately 100,000 BTC since the peak in October, noting that the average purchase price was around $90,000, meaning many investors have incurred significant losses on paper. On the macroeconomic front, the postponement of interest rate cut expectations to June is limiting risk appetite. Despite this, Standard Chartered remains optimistic in the long term. The bank expects a recovery towards the end of 2026 and predicts that Bitcoin could reach $100,000 again. The $4,000 target for Ethereum remains unchanged, although a downward revision has been made compared to previous estimates. At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading around $67,000.
Bitmine Has Collected 3.6% of the Ethereum Supply
As Ethereum-centric institutional treasury strategies gain momentum, US-based Bitmine Immersion Technologies has once again drawn attention with its latest move. The company announced that its Ethereum reserves have reached 4.326 million ETH, bringing its total portfolio size, including crypto assets, cash, and other investments, to $10 billion. Bitmine Back in the Spotlight with Ethereum PurchaseBitmine Immersion Technologies, which has attracted attention with its Ethereum-focused treasury strategy, has once again become the center of attention in the crypto markets with its latest announcement. The company announced that its Ethereum reserves have reached 4.326 million ETH. Its total portfolio size, including crypto assets, cash, and other investments, has reached $10 billion. This figure makes Bitmine the company with the largest Ethereum treasury globally.Thomas Lee, Chairman of the Board of the Las Vegas-based company, confirmed that more than 40,000 ETH were purchased in the last seven days. These purchases were made during a period when Ethereum prices experienced a pullback exceeding 60% compared to their 2025 peaks. Bitmine management notes that despite price weakness, on-chain activity remains at historical levels, viewing this as a long-term opportunity. The company holds 4.3 million ETH, representing approximately 3.58% of the total circulating Ethereum supply. Bitmine actively stakes 2.87 million ETH of this amount. Current staking activities generate approximately $202 million in annual revenue. Management expects the "Made in America Validator Network" (MAVAN) infrastructure, scheduled for rollout in the first quarter of 2026, to further boost these returns. Thomas Lee defines the company's long-term goal as "Alchemy of 5%," aiming to reach 5% of the total circulating Ethereum supply. Lee emphasizes that they have already approached over 70% of this goal in just six months, and states that bridging the gap between the Ethereum ecosystem and traditional capital markets is a strategic priority. According to the company, while the number of transactions and active addresses on the chain are at all-time highs, the fact that prices do not reflect these fundamentals creates a striking divergence.Bitmine's balance sheet is not limited to Ethereum. The company holds 193 Bitcoin, while its cash position is at $595 million. In addition, a $200 million investment in the AI infrastructure company Beast Industries constitutes a significant part of its portfolio. This strong liquidity structure allows the company to continue its purchases despite market fluctuations.The implemented high-trust treasury strategy has also increased interest in Bitmine shares. With an average daily trading volume of $1.3 billion, the company ranks 107th among the most traded stocks in the US. This level positions Bitmine in the same league as many global blue-chip companies. In pre-market trading, BMNR shares are priced at $19.56.
ETH Commentary and Price Analysis - February 9, 2026
ETH Technical Outlook ETH Triangle Structure On the ETH side, the large triangle structure dating back to 2021 remains a critical reference. Price had previously moved above this structure and entered an accumulation phase, but with the latest sharp decline, it has returned back inside the triangle and made a clear touch to the lower trend line.This zone is technically the main area where a reaction is expected.As long as the triangle’s lower band ($1,800 – $1,850) is preserved, it is difficult to say that the structure is broken. In this scenario, the main expectation is for price to reclaim the $2,250 – $2,300 band and then move toward the $3,000 region.Especially daily closes above $2,250 – $2,300 would confirm that the return into the triangle was a fake break and would strengthen the upside scenario.On the downside risk side:Sustained price action below $1,800 → triangle structure weakensIn this case, the $1,550 – $1,500 band becomes the next major support area.In summary:Triangle lower band is holdingUpside scenario: $2,300 → $3,000Downside scenario: $1,550 regionThe strength of the reaction at this level will be decisive for the medium-term direction.These analyses do not provide investment advice and focus on support and resistance levels that are considered to offer short- and medium-term trading opportunities depending on market conditions. However, responsibility for execution and risk management lies entirely with the user. In addition, the use of stop loss is strongly recommended.
Alarm in ETH: Vitalik Buterin Sales on the Agenda
The recent surge in selling pressure on the Ethereum market is centered directly on Vitalik Buterin. Onchain data reveals that Buterin has made significant sales of his Wrapped Ethereum (WETH) positions, further increasing pressure on the already fragile ETH price. According to the Arkham data, Vitalik Buterin transferred WETH via Cow Protocol in recent hours, receiving PYUSD stablecoin in return. The size of these sales, which occurred in just a short period, reached approximately $2.5 million. The transactions, spread throughout the day, suggest that these sales may not be a one-off event, but rather part of a planned and gradual process of reducing positions. Buterin's wallet movements are being monitored in real-time by on-chain analytics platforms, reinforcing the perception of a "founder sell-off" in the market. Ethereum price falls.These developments coincide with a period when the ETH price has fallen below the $2,000 level. Ethereum's native asset, ETH, has lost approximately 60% of its value since August and over 40% since the beginning of the year. While Bitcoin and some large-scale altcoins experienced more limited declines during the same period, ETH's negative divergence is noteworthy. The selling pressure doesn't appear to be limited to Vitalik Buterin alone. Onchain data shows that tens of thousands of ETH have been released into the market in recent days to pay off loans on the decentralized lending platform Aave. As the price of ETH falls, its collateral value weakens, forcing borrowers to sell more ETH to avoid liquidation risk. Thus, the price drop becomes a feedback loop that triggers further selling. However, Vitalik Buterin's sales have a separate symbolic significance within this picture. While the reduction of positions by founding figures technically creates limited volume, its psychological impact can be much greater. Market participants interpret the selling by an "insider" as a strong signal of weakening risk appetite. On the other hand, the picture isn't bright for ETH on the institutional side either. Companies that emerged in the last year, dubbed the "ETH treasury," added ETH to their balance sheets as a long-term strategic asset. One of the best-known proponents of this approach, Tom Lee, has long maintained an optimistic stance on ETH. However, the sharp price drop has left a significant portion of these companies facing substantial unrealized losses. The general market perception is clear: the buying side for ETH is weak. Sales aren't solely driven by leveraged positions or fear of liquidation; founder sales, unraveling in derivative markets, and long-term investors incurring losses are all at play simultaneously. Ethereum's technical superiority or its leading position in the ecosystem is not being questioned in this process. However, pricing is shaped more by market psychology than fundamental data. Vitalik Buterin's WETH sales have further exacerbated this psychology. While it remains uncertain whether sales will continue, finding a strong short-term recovery narrative for ETH is becoming increasingly difficult. In the current landscape, ETH is acting less like an asset held by strong hands and more like an asset that nobody wants to get their hands on.
ETH Commentary and Price Analysis - February 1, 2026
ETH Technical Analysis ETH Fibonacci 618 Theme On the ETH side, a clear touch of the 0.618 Fibonacci region and a subsequent reaction are observed. This indicates that the current decline has at least slowed down in the short–to–medium term.The 2136 – 2253 dollar band is currently the critical support area. As long as the price stays above this region, the upside probability remains stronger. In this scenario, the 2619 dollar level stands out in the first stage. If this region is surpassed, the move is expected to expand toward the 3045 – 3212 dollar band.On the downside risk side, if sustainability below 2136 dollars occurs, the structure weakens and the possibility of a deeper correction comes into play.In summary;Above 2136 – 2253 → reaction and upside reversal probability is highTargets: 2619 → 3045 / 3212Below 2136 → structure weakensThese analyses, which do not provide investment advice, focus on support and resistance levels that are thought to create short- and medium-term trading opportunities depending on market conditions. However, the responsibility for trading and risk management belongs entirely to the user. In addition, it is strongly recommended to use stop loss for the positions shared.
$2.3 Billion Worth of Options on Bitcoin and Ethereum Are Expiring
The cryptocurrency markets are entering a critical day today due to approximately $2.3 billion worth of Bitcoin and Ethereum options expiring. This high-volume expiration sets the stage for renewed volatility in the short term, especially as prices tend to concentrate at certain levels. According to experts, price movements before and immediately after expiration may be shaped more by technical and mechanical hedging transactions than by fundamental developments.Large amounts of Bitcoin and ETH options are expiringBitcoin accounts for the majority of the total expiration amount, with a volume of approximately $1.94 billion. Bitcoin is trading around $89,700 before expiration, while the level known as "maximum pain" in the options market is $92,000. The maximum pain level is known as the price point where the most option contracts expire worthless, and price movements towards this level are frequently monitored.The total open interest on Bitcoin is at 21,657 contracts. Of these positions, 11,944 are call options and 9,713 are put options. The resulting put/call ratio of 0.81 indicates cautious optimism in the market. However, this optimism is not strong, and it still leaves room for sharp price movements in both directions. On the Ethereum front, the total nominal value of expiring options is approximately $347.7 million. Ethereum is trading in the $2,950–$2,960 range before expiry, with a maximum price of $3,200. The number of open positions in Ethereum options is higher in absolute terms; there are a total of 117,513 contracts. Of these, 63,796 are call options and 53,717 are put options. The put/call ratio of 0.84 shows that Ethereum investors also have a similar cautious bullish expectation. It is noteworthy that this week's options expiry is more limited compared to the approximately $3 billion in options volume that expired last week. Nevertheless, the main reason for the high market sensitivity is the concentration of positions around key strike prices.Deribit, one of the leading derivatives platforms, points out that the clustering of open positions at certain price levels increases short-term price sensitivity. According to analysts, geopolitical risks, uncertainties regarding trade policies, and question marks regarding global monetary policy are driving investors towards hedging options rather than directional positions. This causes the implied volatility to remain high even if spot prices appear calm.As the expiry time approaches, price levels called "strike magnets" can create a magnetic field in the market. Hedging transactions carried out by market makers to remain delta-neutral can push prices towards these levels. On the other hand, if the price moves sharply away from these bands, the rapid readjustment of hedge positions can further increase volatility. With the expiration of options, the accumulated gamma risk in the market is expected to be resolved, and volatility is expected to be repriced. This could trigger a new directional movement in Bitcoin and Ethereum as we head into the weekend. This movement could take the form of a relief rally as selling pressure decreases, or it could turn into a downward move as macro risks resurface.
$3 Billion Options Expires: BTC and ETH Under Scrutiny
The fact that approximately $3 billion worth of Bitcoin and Ethereum option contracts are set to expire on the same day has drawn attention to derivatives in the cryptocurrency markets. Bitcoin's recent positioning above critical technical levels has made this large option expiry even more significant. However, data from the options market shows that the rise is not yet universally accepted as a strong bull breakout.According to Deribit data, as of January 16th, the total volume of options expiring is approximately $2.84 billion. The majority of this amount is Bitcoin-related. While the total size of Bitcoin options is around $2.4 billion, this figure is limited to approximately $437 million for Ethereum. The resulting picture clearly shows that market interest and risk perception are predominantly focused on Bitcoin.Cautious optimism on the Bitcoin frontThe Bitcoin price is trading above $95,000 at the time of writing. This level is significantly above the $92,000 threshold, known as the "maximum pain" in the options market. The maximum pain level is considered the price point at which most contracts will become worthless at expiry, and prices often tend to move towards this level. A move away from this threshold indicates that volatility may increase before the expiry date. Despite this, the option position distribution suggests that investors are still taking downside risks seriously. On the Bitcoin side, the number of put contracts exceeds the number of call contracts. The put/call ratio remaining above 1 indicates that hedging positions outweigh other upward movements.From a technical perspective, if Bitcoin makes a sustained daily close above $94,300, the psychological $100,000 level could come back into play. However, if this support is lost, there is a risk that the price will return to the long-standing horizontal band.Ethereum shows a calmer pictureOn the Ethereum side, a more balanced and uncertain picture is evident. The ETH price is hovering around $3,300 and is only slightly above the maximum pain level of $3,200. In the options market, call and put contracts are almost equally distributed, revealing that the market has not reached a clear consensus on a specific direction.Ethereum's difficulty in breaking the $3,400 resistance level shows that this indecision is reflected in its price movements. Although there are attempts at upward movement, it is difficult to speak of a strong and sustainable trend yet.Institutional interest focused on BitcoinInstitutional activity in derivative markets also highlights the difference between the two assets. According to data shared by the market analysis platform Greeks.live, a significant portion of large-scale transactions occur on the Bitcoin side. Institutional block transactions constitute more than 40% of the total volume in Bitcoin, while this rate remains more limited in Ethereum.Analysts point out that despite this activity seen in Bitcoin, futures trading volumes have not shown a strong increase. In addition, the fact that implied volatility has not increased significantly strengthens the interpretation that a structural bull period has not yet begun in the derivatives market. Possibility of post-expiration volatilityFollowing today's large option expiration, there is a possibility that prices may head towards their maximum levels in the short term. Market volatility during this period would not be surprising. However, as in past examples, it is also likely that the market will calm down relatively after the expiration and begin searching for a new equilibrium.
ETH Treasury Company Bitmine Invests in MrBeast's Company
Ethereum-focused treasury company BitMine Immersion Technologies has decided to make a strategic $200 million investment in Beast Industries, founded by MrBeast, known as one of YouTube's biggest content creators. The deal, announced on Thursday, directly connects one of the largest Ethereum treasuries in the crypto world with a content and consumer brand ecosystem that reaches millions globally.What is Beast Industries?Beast Industries, led by Jimmy Donaldson, manages a broad business structure that extends beyond content creation. The company brings together consumer brands like Feastables, the MrBeast Burger initiative, licensed products, and new commerce-focused projects under one roof. Donaldson's main YouTube channel has over 460 million subscribers, the highest number of followers for a single content creator across the platform.This capital investment by BitMine is seen not only as a financial partnership but also as a move by crypto capital to engage more directly with popular culture. Beast Industries' Chairman, Tom Lee, described the company as "the most powerful content platform of its generation," highlighting its unique reach, particularly among Gen Z and Gen Alpha audiences. According to Lee, this scale offers a significant advantage in bringing Ethereum's financial infrastructure potential to the mainstream consumer world.Beast Industries CEO Jeff Housenbold described the investment as strong support for the company's growth plans. Housenbold stated that the capital provided will be used to finance new ventures and that integrating decentralized finance (DeFi) elements into planned financial service products is also on the agenda. The deal is expected to be finalized around January 19th, according to reports.This development stands out as part of BitMine's aggressive Ethereum strategy. The company continues to both increase the amount of ETH on its balance sheet and take an active role on the chain through staking. Current data shows that BitMine holds over 4 million ether, which corresponds to a value of over $13 billion at current prices. Furthermore, the company has locked over 1.25 million ETH in staking contracts. This contributes to Ethereum being increasingly perceived as a "yield-generating, programmable financial layer."The increase in institutional interest in the market is also noteworthy. Approximately 30% of the Ether supply is currently locked through staking, with a total value exceeding $120 billion. Previously, Standard Chartered analysts suggested that 2026 could be a critical year for Ethereum with the convergence of staking, institutional products, and real-world use cases.BitMine shares closed the week higher following the investment news and have gained over 300% year-to-date. This performance significantly exceeds the price increase in Ethereum during the same period.
