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Daily Market Summary with JrKripto 23 June 2025
You can find today’s edition of “Daily Market with JrKripto” below, featuring a roundup of the most important developments from both global and local markets. Let’s analyze the broader market sentiment and latest insights together.Bitcoin faced heightened volatility over the weekend as the United States became involved in the ongoing Iran–Israel conflict. Despite global tensions, BTC managed to hold its price above the $100,000 mark.After briefly dipping to the $98,000 range, Bitcoin rebounded and tested the $102,130 resistance level once again. The $96,300–$97,900 zone is acting as a strong support area on the downside. In the short term, the next upward target is located at $103,800.On the Ethereum front, the recent market-driven decline was met with buying interest at a critical level. The $2,073–$2,115 range served as a key turning point. If ETH can hold above the $2,240 level, the short-term upside target becomes $2,380.Crypto NewsTexas Strategic #Bitcoin Reserve has become official.Tether minted $2 billion worth of USDT.Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas cited the SEC's increased involvement as a positive signal, raising the likelihood of multiple spot crypto ETF approvals to 90% or higher.Reddit is in talks regarding Sam Altman's iris-scanning orb.CryptocurrenciesTop Gainers:• MOVE → Increased by 15.7% to $0.14020405.• IP → Increased by 11.9% to $3.09.• S → Increased by 8.8% to $0.28165327.• KTA → Increased by 6.3% to $0.57939745.• BORG → Increased by 6.2% to $0.17631443.Top Losers:• TRIBE → Declined by 8.6% to $0.39085427.• SFP → Declined by 7.3% to $0.45440006.• ATH → Declined by 6.9% to $0.02971646.• TEL → Declined by 6.5% to $0.00343946.• CHEEMS → Declined by 5.0% to $0.00000132.Fear Index:• Bitcoin: 46 (Neutral)• Ethereum: 41 (Fear)Dominance:• Bitcoin: 65.69% ▼0.03%• Ethereum: 8.82% ▲0.13%Daily Total Net ETF Inflows• BTC ETFs: $6.40 million• ETH ETFs: –$11.30 millionData to Watch Today• 4:45 PM – Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) (June) Expectation: 51.1 Previous: 52.0• 4:45 PM – Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) (June) Expectation: 52.9 Previous: 53.7• 5:00 PM – Existing Home Sales (May) Expectation: 3.96 M Previous: 4.00 MGlobal MarketsWe’ve just come out of a weekend dominated by escalating tensions between Iran and Israel, with the U.S. also stepping in. While the U.S. targeted Iranian nuclear facilities, Iran has yet to issue a response. In the coming days, all eyes will be on whether Iran launches a counteroffensive or moves to close the Strait of Hormuz.We’ve also wrapped up a volatile week shaped by both geopolitical unrest and key interest rate decisions. Nvidia shares declined by 1.1% on U.S. markets, while the S&P 500 ended the week down 0.2%, and the Nasdaq closed slightly higher with a 0.2% gain.We have left behind a week in which we heard statements from some Fed members suggesting that there could be an interest rate cut in July. The VIX fear index closed at 20.6, down 1.6 points on the last official trading day of the week, but we can anticipate that this level may change today. The bearish sentiment continues in the futures markets.Most Valuable Companies and Stock Prices• Microsoft (MSFT) → Market capitalization of $3.55 trillion, share price of $477.40, down 0.59%.• NVIDIA (NVDA) → Market capitalization of $3.51 trillion, share price of $143.85, down 1.12%.• Apple (AAPL) → Market capitalization of $3 trillion, share price of $201.00, up 2.25%.• Amazon (AMZN) → Market capitalization of $2.23 trillion, share price of $209.69, down 1.33%.• Alphabet (GOOG) → Market value of $2.03 trillion, share price of $167.73, down 3.59%.Borsa İstanbulDomestically, risk perception remains elevated due to ongoing economic and political developments, compounded by global uncertainties. As a result, Borsa İstanbul may exhibit sharper reactions compared to other markets. For the BIST 100 index, the 9,000–9,100 range is being monitored as a key support zone, while resistance is seen in the 9,250–9,340 range.The Consumer Confidence Index, which has been on an upward trend for the past two months yet still lingers below its long-term average, rose 0.3% in June to reach 85.1.The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT) continues to take steps to support the Turkish Lira. While TL deposit targets have been raised, the required reserve ratio for foreign currency‑protected TL accounts has been reduced from 4% to 2.5%.After closing the previous week with a 1.2% loss, the BIST 100 is expected to have a weak start to the new week. Developments in the Middle East will continue to be closely monitored.Companies with the Highest Market Value on the Istanbul Stock Exchange• QNB Finansbank (QNBTR) → Market value of 854.25 billion TL, share price of 248.25 TL, experienced a 2.67% decline.• Aselsan Elektronik Sanayi (ASELS) → Market capitalization of 667.13 billion TL, share price of 145.70 TL, experienced a 0.41% decline.• Türkiye Garanti Bankası (GARAN) → Market value of 484.26 billion TL, share price of 115.70 TL, up 0.35%.• Koç Holding A.Ş. (KCHOL) → Market value of 370.24 billion TL, share price of 146.00 TL, 0.00% change.• Turkish Airlines A.O. (THYAO) → Market value of 354.31 billion TL, share price of 251.25 TL, experienced a 2.14% decrease.Precious Metals and Currency Prices• Gold: 4,285 TL• Silver: 46.13 TL• Platinum: 1,654 TL• Dollar: 39.72 TL• Euro: 45.71 TLWe look forward to bringing you the latest updates again tomorrow.
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23 Jun 2025
Daily Market Summary with JrKripto 20 June 2025
You Can Find Today’s Edition of “Daily Market with JrKripto” Below, Featuring a Roundup of the Most Important Developments from Both Global and Local Markets. Let’s Analyze the Broader Market Sentiment and Latest Insights Together.Bitcoin managed to stay strong despite a challenging week in terms of data and developments. BTC, which is firmly priced above $100,000, has once again reached the resistance zone of $106,600–$107,200. In addition to this horizontal resistance, a trendline resistance is also in play. A breakout above this zone could pave the way for a new all-time high (ATH), with $110,000 and then $114,000 as potential targets. On the downside, the $104,900 support level awaits us. If this support level is broken, the $102,100 and $100,900 support levels emerge as critical resistances.On the Ethereum front, the rising channel pattern we mentioned previously continues to hold. ETH, which is rebounding from the trend support, is experiencing a significant rise as we head into the weekend. The horizontal and channel support, which is around $2,500 on average, continues to hold strong. The next target will be the $2,620 level.Crypto News• An Ohio bill exempting Bitcoin payments under $200 from taxes has passed the House of Representatives.• Fetch Foundation will carry out a $50 million $FET token buyback.• Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye (CBRT) kept interest rates unchanged.• X CEO Yaccarino: Users will soon be able to invest or trade on the social media platform.• Semler Scientific has announced its three-year plan and intends to purchase 105,000 Bitcoin.CryptocurrenciesTop Gainers:• GT → Increased by 12.8% to reach $17.20.• KAIA → Increased by 12.6% to reach $0.19770911.• IP → Increased by 11.4% to reach $2.90.• HNT → Increased by 11.0% to reach $2.55.• SEI → Increased by 10.9% to reach $0.2017996.Top Losers:• CHEX → Declined by 7.3% to $0.2022507.• RAY → Declined by 6.4% to $2.14.• AB → Declined by 5.5% to $0.01467079.• MORPHO → Declined by 4.9% to $1.29.• AERO → Declined by 4.7% to $0.87750806.Fear Index:• Bitcoin: 55 (Neutral)• Ethereum: 41 (Fear)Dominance:• Bitcoin: 64.86% ▲ 0.05%• Ethereum: 9.48% ▼ 0.04%Daily Total Net ETF Inflows• BTC ETFs: $388.30 million• ETH ETFs: $19.10 millionGlobal MarketsWe previously mentioned speculation that the U.S. might intervene militarily in Iran. The White House has now issued a statement on the matter, indicating that “a decision will be made within two weeks.” This message has slightly eased tensions in global markets. However, it may also be interpreted as a political tactic. Meanwhile, tensions between Iran and Israel persist.U.S. markets were closed yesterday due to a public holiday. However, futures markets are showing a bearish tone this morning. The VIX fear index rose by 2 points to 22.2, signaling that market anxiety remains elevated.The Bank of England announced its interest rate decision yesterday, keeping its policy rate unchanged, as expected. The accompanying statement stressed that caution would be exercised with regard to potential rate cuts.Top Companies and Stock Prices• Microsoft (MSFT) → Market capitalization of $3.57 trillion, share price of $480.24, up 0.46%.• NVIDIA (NVDA) → Market capitalization of $3.55 trillion, share price of $145.48, up 0.94%.• Apple (AAPL) → Market capitalization of $2.94 trillion, share price of $196.58, up 0.48%.• Amazon (AMZN) → Market capitalization of $2.26 trillion, share price of $212.52, down 1.07%.• Alphabet (GOOG) → Market capitalization of $2.11 trillion, share price of $173.98, down 1.83%.Borsa IstanbulYesterday, the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT) kept its policy rate unchanged, as expected. Although some progress was noted on the inflation front, the statement did not provide a clear signal regarding a potential rate cut.According to recent data, short-term external debt stock declined by 2.6% in April to $168.4 billion, while housing sales rose by 17.6% in May.Following the interest rate decision, selling pressure emerged on Borsa Istanbul. However, shares of Tüpraş and Aselsan managed to close the day in positive territory. Today, a slightly bearish trend may be observed on the BIST.Companies with the Highest Market Value on the Istanbul Stock Exchange• QNB Finansbank (QNBTR) → Market value of 840.85 billion TL, share price of 251.00 TL, 0.00% change.• Aselsan Elektronik Sanayi (ASELS) → Market value of 657.10 billion TL, share price of 145.50 TL, 0.97% increase.• Türkiye Garanti Bankası (GARAN) → Market value of 471.66 billion TL, share price of 115.70 TL, 3.03% increase.• Koç Holding A.Ş. (KCHOL) → Market value of 365.17 billion TL, share price of 145.70 TL, increase of 1.18%.• Enka Construction and Industry (ENKAI) → Market value of 356.40 billion TL, share price of 61.60 TL, increase of 1.32%.Precious Metals and Currency Prices• Gold: 4,274 TL• Silver: 45.87 TL• Platinum: 1,654 TL• Dollar: 39.66 TL• Euro: 45.78 TLWe look forward to bringing you the latest updates again tomorrow.
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20 Jun 2025
Daily Market Summary with JrKripto 19 June 2025
You can find today’s edition of 'Daily Market with JrKripto' below, featuring a roundup of the most important developments from both global and local markets. Let’s take a closer look at the overall market sentiment and the latest insights together.Bitcoin continues to present a healthy outlook despite ongoing global developments. After starting the new week with an upward move, BTC pulled back upon reaching a key resistance zone. Markets—particularly Bitcoin—responded to the Fed's decision last night with anticipation and are now trending sideways around $104,800.Ethereum remains within its ascending channel and is currently trading at $2,535, just below the $2,580–$2,630 resistance zone. A breakout above this upper resistance area could signal the beginning of a new trend phase.Crypto NewsVanEck's Solana ETF listed on DTCC with ticker $VSOLCrypto Chief David Sacks said the 'Genius Act' stablecoin bill "increases consumer protections and expands the dominance of the US dollar."Tether mints $1 billion in USDTFirst spot $XRP ETF launches in CanadaTrump: Fed has done a bad job so far. We should be 200 basis points lower right now.Fed leaves interest rate steadyOhio bill exempting Bitcoin payments under $200 from taxation passes House of RepresentativesCryptocurrenciesTop Gainers:AERO → up 16.7% to $0.91917647SNT → up 13.6% to $0.05159567RAY → up 10.3% to $2.27.JTO → up 8.6% to $2.32.OKB → up 7.0% to $52.28.Top Losers:IP → down 15.4% to $2.60.KTA → down 9.5% to $0.73814101.STHYPE → down 6.3% to $38.03.WHYPE → down 6.2% to $38.04.HYPE → down 5.9% to $38.02.Fear Index:Bitcoin: 57 (Greed)Ethereum: 51 (Neutral)Dominance:Bitcoin: %64.90 ▲ 0.08%Ethereum: %9.46 ▼ 0.19%Daily Total Net ETF InflowsBTC ETFs: $388.30 MillionETH ETFs: $19.10 MillionGlobal MarketsThe Federal Reserve announced its interest rate decision last night, leaving rates unchanged as expected. However, inflation forecasts were revised upward, while growth projections were lowered. The Fed maintained its projection of two rate cuts later this year.On the Iran-Israel side, tensions remain high. Meanwhile, reports suggest potential U.S. involvement, with speculation growing that Washington may be preparing for a military intervention against Iran. These reports continue to keep tensions high.US stock exchanges closed yesterday with S&P 500 -0.03% - Nasdaq 0.1%. Selling pressure continues.Both the messages given by the Fed and the developments in the Middle East will continue to be closely monitored.The Most Valuable Companies and Stock PricesMicrosoft (MSFT) → $3.57 trillion market value, $480.24 per share price, increased by 0.46%.NVIDIA (NVDA) → $3.55 trillion market value, $145.48 per share price, increased by 0.94%.Apple (AAPL) → $2.94 trillion market value, $196.58 per share price, increased by 0.48%.Amazon (AMZN) → $2.26 trillion market value, $212.52 per share price, decreased by 1.07%.Alphabet (GOOG) → $2.11 trillion market value, $173.98 per share, down 1.83%.Borsa IstanbulThe CBRT will announce its interest rate decision in Türkiye at 14:00 today. It is expected that the interest rate will remain at 46%. Alongside the interest rate decision, housing sales and short-term external debt figures will be closely followed within the country today.The debt of the private sector's loans received from abroad increased by $2.7 billion in April, reaching $185.9 billion. With this figure, it reached its highest level since November 2019.The pressure of global tensions continues to be reflected in Borsa Istanbul. Yesterday, the BIST100 index showed a selling pressure image. With the selling pressure in the index, a pullback towards 9,000 levels may occur again.Companies with the Highest Market Value on Borsa IstanbulQNB Finansbank (QNBTR) → 845.04 billion TL market value, 252.25 TL per share, 0.00% change.Aselsan Elektronik Sanayi (ASELS) → 645.24 billion TL market value, 143.30 TL per share price, 1.27% increase.Türkiye Garanti Bankası (GARAN) → 480.90 billion TL market value, 115.80 TL per share price, 1.14% increase.Enka İnşaat ve Sanayi (ENKAI) → 364.90 billion TL market value, 62.50 TL per share price, 0.40% increase.Koç Holding A.Ş. (KCHOL) → 362.89 billion TL market value, 145.90 TL per share price, 1.96% increase.Precious Metals and Currency PricesGold: 4291 TLSilver: 46.30 TLPlatinum: 1646 TLDollar: 39.54 TLEuro: 45.36 TLWe look forward to bringing you the latest updates again tomorrow!
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19 Jun 2025
Interest Rate Decision Remains Steady, Trump Escalates Tensions: How Did Cryptocurrencies Move?
Cryptocurrency markets were eagerly awaiting the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) interest rate decision on Wednesday and the speech of Fed Chair Jerome Powell. In addition, US President Donald Trump's statements regarding the Iran-Israel tensions drew attention in the market. So, how did all this affect cryptocurrencies?The Fed's interest rate decision was announced in line with expectationsCryptocurrency markets generally maintained their resilience despite both the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) interest rate decision and the increasing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. However, there is a volatile picture beneath this calm outlook. Although major assets such as Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), XRP and Solana (SOL) experienced short-term gains after the Fed kept interest rates steady at 4.25%-4.50% in line with expectations, a clear direction for investor sentiment still remains uncertain.The Fed’s economic projections released on Wednesday showed that two interest rate cuts were still on the table by the end of 2024, but expectations for 2026 and 2027 pointed to a slower rate cut process. Chairman Jerome Powell’s “wait-and-see” approach delayed markets from finding a clear direction, while also revealing the fragility of altcoins. In particular, artificial intelligence and real asset (RWA)-themed tokens lost 4.8% and 3%, respectively. Tensions are rising in the Middle EastOn the other hand, the escalating tensions in the Middle East were another factor that increased anxiety in the markets. News that the US was considering a direct military intervention in Iran suppressed risk appetite in both traditional and cryptocurrency classes.While the tension between Iran and Israel continues, remarkable statements continued to come from US President Donald Trump. Speaking to reporters, Trump stated that he wanted to end the conflicts in the region, but avoided giving a clear answer on whether the US would make a military move against Iran.Claiming that Iran was in a defenseless position, Trump said, “I can’t say we won’t strike Iran.” He added that he had called on the Iranian side to come to the White House, but that this opportunity was not taken advantage of. He stated that the country’s air defense systems had been largely disabled and that he had a phone call with Russian President Vladimir Putin, who could also take on a possible mediation role.Trump indicated in his statements that patience with Iran was running out. He said, “We expect them to surrender, if they don’t, we will target military facilities,” and that possible scenarios were on the table. While acknowledging that no concrete gains had been made yet, he also emphasized that serious progress had been made.Trump, who drew attention to the fact that the coming days would be critical, stated that Iran had been posing a threat for years and that its desire to attain nuclear weapons capacity posed a great threat. “Next week will be very decisive, perhaps even sooner,” Trump said, signaling that developments in the region could take shape rapidly.Altcoins fell sharplyThis situation led to sharp sales, especially in altcoins. While XRP, Cardano (ADA) and Solana lost more than 1% in value in the last 24 hours, Dogecoin (DOGE) gave up its previous gains with a decline of nearly 10% on a weekly basis. Ethereum, on the other hand, erased its weekly gains and fell by 0.7%.Interest in Bitcoin ETFs continuesDespite all these developments, institutional interest in spot Bitcoin ETFs in the US drew attention. While $389 million in new inflows were recorded in just one day on Wednesday, $19 million in additional funds were flowed into Ethereum ETFs. This reveals that investors continue to seek a “digital safe haven” against volatility.Despite its 13% increase since the beginning of the year, Bitcoin has been on an indecisive course as of this week. “Bitcoin is caught between two worlds, neither responding to risk appetite nor bouncing on geopolitical risks like gold,” FxPro analyst Alex Kuptsikevich said.
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19 Jun 2025
Countdown Begins for FED Interest Rate: What Awaits the Crypto Market?
The US Federal Reserve (FED) will announce its June interest rate decision today at 22:00 Turkish time. This decision, which will come after the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting held on June 17-18, is also of great interest to the cryptocurrency market. While investors almost certainly see interest rates as being kept constant, the messages to be given by FED Chairman Jerome Powell and the economic projections to be updated will be decisive in terms of the direction of the markets. According to CME Group's "FedWatch" tool, the probability that the FED will keep interest rates constant at 4.25-4.50 percent at this meeting is 99.9 percent. The expectation of a rate cut in June is priced at only 0.1 percent. The same policy will most likely be maintained in July; the probability that interest rates will remain constant is 85.5 percent, while the expectation of a 25 basis point cut is only 14.5 percent. Source: CME Fed Watch Like former Fed chairmen Greenspan, Bernanke and Yellen, Jerome Powell has taken a more cautious stance in the latter stages of his term. According to Nicholas Colas, co-founder of DataTrek Research, Powell follows in the footsteps of previous chairmen who wanted to end their term on a “hawkish” tone, reflecting both a determination to fight inflation and a desire to maintain political independence.Impact on crypto markets: Bitcoin feels the tensionThe impact of the Fed’s interest rate decisions on the cryptocurrency market has become the norm. The decision to be announced today is expected to have a significant impact, if not directly, through the economic forecasts and “dot plot” projections that will accompany it.“Interest rates are expected to remain stable. However, markets are fixated on dot plots. If only two interest rate cuts are expected from Fed officials, the ‘high interest rates for a long time’ narrative could strengthen. This could support the dollar and suppress interest in crypto.”Indeed, Bitcoin price, which is currently struggling to hold on above the $104,000 band, is under pressure due to the geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran. The possibility of conflict in the Middle East is pushing investors to take a more cautious position, while also increasing the upward pressure on inflation both in the US and globally. According to Matteo Greco, a senior analyst at Fineqia, “A 100 basis point interest rate cut was expected as we entered 2025. However, due to the strong labor market and inflation above the 2 percent target, this expectation has decreased to 50 basis points, and even 25 basis points in some scenarios.”Could the FED decision support Bitcoin?In the short term, “hawkish” FED policies may be suppressive for volatile assets like Bitcoin. However, the fact that high interest rates increase the borrowing cost of the US may increase interest in alternative stores of value in the long term. In this context, a positive environment may arise for assets with limited supply, such as gold and Bitcoin.
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18 Jun 2025
Daily Market Summary with JrKripto 17 June 2025
You can find today’s edition of 'Daily Market with JrKripto' below, featuring a roundup of the most important developments from both global and local markets. Let’s take a closer look at the overall market sentiment and the latest insights together.Bitcoin formed a mini trading range over the weekend. With the start of the new week, BTC moved upward and reached as high as $106,600. However, it faced short-term pullbacks from this level. It's worth noting that the $106,500–$107,300 range remains a key resistance zone. Despite global market uncertainty, Bitcoin is displaying strong bullish momentum. If buying pressure continues at this pace, a breakout above this zone could lead to a move toward the next resistance at $108,900. On the downside, holding above the $105,000 level is a positive sign, with the next major support area located at $103,900.As highlighted in our technical analysis section, Ethereum continues to trade within an ascending channel. The $2,580–$2,630 range is acting as a resistance zone. Ethereum appears to have been rejected from this region, briefly dropping to $2,530. However, reactionary buying has pushed the price back up to around $2,580. A successful breakout above this level could take ETH toward the upper boundary of the channel at $2,900. In case of a pullback, the first support is seen at $2,580, followed by a secondary support at $2,500.Crypto NewsJapan kept its interest rate decision steady.Strategy acquired 10,100 BTC.Tron started working on an IPO.President Trump's Truth Social applied for the Truth Social Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF.SEC postponed the staking decision in Franklin's spot Ethereum ETF.Iran asked Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and Oman to pressure Trump to accept an immediate ceasefire with Israel. In return, Iran will show flexibility in nuclear negotiations with the US.Origin's DAO team to buy back $3 million in tokens.SEC accepts Truth Social Spot Bitcoin ETF application.CryptocurrenciesTop Gainers:WBT → up 29.3% to $51.44XCN → up 6.6% to $0.01447374BCH → up 4.2% to $475.32SYRUP → up 3.7% to $0.5457354PENDLE → up 3.5% to $3.96Top Losers:KTA → down 14.9% to $0.88758792SPX → down 13.3% to $1.45EIGEN → down 11.1% to $1.16GIGA → down 11.1% to $0.02168006GRASS → down 10.5% to $1.50Fear Index:Bitcoin: 64 (Greed)Ethereum: 54 (Neutral)Dominance:Bitcoin: 64.76% ▼ 0.17%Ethereum: 9.55% ▲ 1.71%Daily Total Net ETF InflowsBTC ETFs: -$9.61BETH ETFs: $21.40MData to Watch Today15:30 – Core Retail Sales (Monthly) (May)◦ Expected: 0.2%◦ Previous: 0.1%15:30 – Retail Sales (Monthly) (May)◦ Expected: -0.5%◦ Previous: 0.1%Global MarketsYesterday, U.S. stock markets closed higher amid hopes that tensions between Iran and Israel could ease. The S&P 500 rose 0.9%, and the Nasdaq gained 1.5%, with tech stocks leading the rally. In contrast, energy stocks declined alongside falling oil prices. The VIX fear index dropped by 1.7 points to 19.1, indicating a slight easing in market anxiety.However, unconfirmed reports concerning the Strait of Hormuz and the ongoing regional tensions are prompting caution in the markets. This morning, both European and U.S. futures markets saw slight declines.Global markets remain focused on developments along the Iran-Israel axis. As previously noted, interest rate decisions from the Fed, the Bank of England, and the Central Bank of Turkey (CBRT) will also be closely watched this week. While no rate changes are expected, the accompanying statements and updated economic projections will play a key role in shaping market sentiment. In addition, Japan has announced that it is leaving interest rates unchanged.Most Valuable Companies and Stock PricesMicrosoft (MSFT) → $3.56 trillion market cap, $479.14 per share, up 0.88%NVIDIA (NVDA) → $3.53 trillion market cap, $144.69 per share, up 1.92%Apple (AAPL) → $2.96 trillion market cap, $198.42 per share, up 1.00%Amazon (AMZN) → $2.29 trillion market cap, $216.10 per share, up 1.89%Alphabet (GOOG) → $2.15 trillion market cap, $177.94 per share, up 1.17%Borsa IstanbulAccording to the data released yesterday, Turkey's current account deficit in April was $7.9 billion. This is close to market expectations; our estimate yesterday was $7.7 billion. However, the total 12-month deficit increased to $15.8 billion. The data shows us that there is a temporary deterioration in the current account balance. However, the preliminary foreign trade data for May shows that this deterioration may be short-lived and that recovery may begin.On the Borsa Istanbul (BIST) side, pressure continues due to the Iran-Israel tension in the Middle East. Although the news that the parties were seeking a compromise yesterday provided short-term relief, a permanent recovery could not be achieved. The BIST100 index completed the day horizontally-positive at 9,350.One of the most important developments for the markets this week will be the Central Bank of Turkey’s (CBRT) interest rate decision to be announced on Thursday. According to the Market Participants Survey published yesterday, investors think that the TCMB may start reducing interest rates in the second half of the year.When we look at the BIST100 index technically, the range of 9,043–8,994 appears as a strong support area. In the scenario where these levels are maintained, upward attempts are quite healthy. Above, the range of 9,446–9,475 is followed as resistance.Companies with the Highest Market Value on Borsa IstanbulQNB Finansbank (QNBTR) → 858.44 billion TL market value, 258.75 TL per share price, increased by 0.98%Aselsan Elektronik Sanayi (ASELS) → 633.38 billion TL market value, 143.90 TL per share price, increased by 3.60%Türkiye Garanti Bankası (GARAN) → 493.08 billion TL market value, 116.30 TL per share price, decreased by 0.94%Koç Holding (KCHOL) → 371.76 billion TL market value, 145.70 TL per share price, decreased by 0.61%Turkish Airlines Inc. (THYAO) → 366.05 billion TL market value, 262.50 TL per share price, decreased by 1.04%Precious Metals and Currency PricesGold: 4,295 TLSilver: 46.20 TLPlatinum: 1,568 TLDollar: 39.39 TLEuro: 45.59 TLWe look forward to bringing you the latest updates again tomorrow!
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17 Jun 2025
Daily Market Summary with JrKripto 16 June 2025
You can find today’s edition of 'Daily Market with JrKripto' below, featuring a roundup of the most important developments from both global and local markets. Let’s take a closer look at the overall market conditions and the latest insights together.Bitcoin formed a narrow trading range over the weekend. With the start of the new week, BTC moved upward, climbing as high as $106,600. The $106,500–$107,300 range remains a key resistance zone. Despite ongoing uncertainty in global markets, Bitcoin is showing strong bullish momentum. If buying pressure continues at this pace, a breakout above resistance could pave the way toward the next target at $108,900. On the downside, holding above the $105,000 level is a positive sign. The next major support lies at $103,900.As noted in our technical analysis section, Ethereum continues to trade within an ascending channel. Currently retesting a key resistance area, ETH has entered the week with strong buying momentum. The $2,580–$2,630 range remains a crucial resistance zone, with Ethereum trading around $2,620 at the moment. A breakout above this level could open the path toward the upper boundary of the channel, around $2,900. In case of a pullback, initial support is seen at $2,580, followed by a secondary support level at $2,500.Crypto NewsVanEck filed an updated version of its spot Solana ETF S-1 application. The SEC approved the Trump Media filing, opening the door to billions of dollars in Bitcoin purchases. Trump: Iran and Israel must reach an agreement. Binance Futures will launch AAVEUSDC and UNIUSDC futures contracts. Cryptocurrencies Top Gainers:KTA → Increased by 15.0% to $0.99917686.CHEX → Increased by 14.7% to $0.24206435.JTO → Increased by 14.1% to $2.30.SYRUP → Increased by 14.1% to $0.52734284.TKX → Increased by 13.0% to $32.38.Top Decliners:XSOLVBTC → Declined by 7.3% to $100,147.47.TRIBE → Declined by 6.3% to $0.42285928.RVN → Declined by 4.6% to $0.01914205.PI → Declined by 2.0% to $0.60475777.GT → Declined by 1.7% to $16.61.Fear Index:Bitcoin: 61Ethereum: 52 Dominance:Bitcoin: 64.58% ▼ 0.18%Ethereum: 9.55% ▲ 0.71%Daily Total Net ETF Inflows BTC ETFs: $301.70 million ETH ETFs: -$2.10 million Global MarketsIsraeli Prime Minister Netanyahu announced on Friday that they had launched an attack on Iran and said that the attacks would continue until the threat was eliminated. Netanyahu's threat is interpreted as Iran being very close to producing nuclear weapons. Attacks between Iran and Israel continued over the weekend. These developments in the Middle East have significantly heightened global tensions.This rising geopolitical tension naturally triggered selling pressure across global markets. While gold and oil prices surged, equity markets experienced minor declines. The VIX index climbed 2.8 points to 20.8, signaling growing anxiety among investors.Trump stated that intensive negotiations for peace are underway and that we may see positive results soon. This week, all eyes will be on developments between Iran and Israel.In financial markets, the Fed, the Bank of England, and the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey's interest rate decisions will be closely monitored this week. No changes in interest rates are expected at any of these meetings. Another important topic at these meetings will be economic forecasts for the future.Most Valuable Companies and Stock PricesMicrosoft (MSFT) → Market capitalization of $3.53 trillion, share price of $474.96, down 0.82%.NVIDIA (NVDA) → Market capitalization of 3.46 trillion USD, share price of 141.97 USD, down 2.09%.Apple (AAPL) → Market capitalization of 2.93 trillion USD, share price of 196.45 USD, down 1.38%.Amazon (AMZN) → Market capitalization of $2.25 trillion, share price of $212.10, down 0.53%.Alphabet (GOOG) → Market capitalization of $2.13 trillion, share price of $175.88, down 0.62%. Borsa IstanbulToday, important data for the Turkish economy will be announced. The current account deficit, retail sales, number of salaried employees for April, and central government budget data for May will be monitored. In March, the current account deficit stood at $4.1 billion, while preliminary figures for April suggest it may have widened to $7.7 billion. A rising current account deficit typically signals increased demand for foreign currency.Additionally, the Central Bank of Turkey (CBRT) will publish its June Market Participants Survey today. In the previous survey conducted in May, the inflation expectation was 30.35%, while the CBRT’s official forecast remained at 24%.There is also another development that could strengthen the Central Bank's position: TCMB has extended its currency swap agreement with the People's Bank of China for another three years. The agreement allows for transactions up to 189 billion TL.On the stock market front, rising tensions between Iran and Israel have caused significant unease. The BIST100 index closed Friday at around 9,300 points, down 1.8%.As the new week begins, markets will be closely watching both global geopolitical developments and upcoming central bank interest rate decisions.Top Market Capitalization Companies on Borsa IstanbulQNB Finansbank (QNBTR) → Market capitalization of 858.44 billion TL, share price of 254.50 TL, down 0.68%.Aselsan Elektronik Sanayi (ASELS) → Market value of 645.24 billion TL, share price of 144.80 TL, up 2.33%.Türkiye Garanti Bankası (GARAN) → Market value of 492.24 billion TL, share price of 117.20 TL, no change.Koç Holding A.Ş. (KCHOL) → Market value of 368.72 billion TL, share price of 145.30 TL, and a decrease of 0.07%.Enka İnşaat ve Sanayi A.Ş. (ENKAI) → Market value of 366.66 billion TL, share price of 61.60 TL, 1.52% decrease. Precious Metals and Currency PricesGold: 4344 TL Silver: 46.20 TL Platinum: 1568 TL Dollar: 39.46 TL Euro: 45.66 TL We look forward to bringing you the latest updates again tomorrow!
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16 Jun 2025
Daily Market Summary with JrKripto 13 June 2025
You can find today’s edition of “Daily Market Recap with JrKripto,” where we compile the most important developments in global and local markets, below. Let’s analyze the overall market conditions together and review the latest updates.Bitcoin (BTC) had previously dropped below the $104,977 support level, falling to as low as $101,150 before rebounding from the $101,059–$100,063 range with strong buying pressure and breaking out of the descending channel to the upside. However, BTC has now pulled back to around $104,950, once again approaching critical support levels. If the downward move continues, the $104,977 and $101,059 supports remain important. A drop below these levels could bring the $96,914 level into focus. On the upside, it will be difficult to speak of a sustained recovery unless the $106,794 and especially $109,588 resistance levels are broken. A stable move above $109,588 could target $111,980 (ATH) and $114,500.Ethereum (ETH) also gave a positive signal earlier by breaking out of its descending channel, but it has now pulled back to around $2,525. This weakening has raised doubts about the recovery. If the downward movement continues, the $2,385 level stands out as strong support. Falling below this level could bring $2,098 and then $2,004 into play. For the upward recovery to gain momentum, ETH needs to break above $2,711 and then $2,838. However, to reestablish a positive outlook, the price must maintain above $2,711.Crypto NewsBlackRock aims to become the world's largest crypto asset manager by 2030.President Trump called the 🇺🇸🇨🇳 China trade deal "GREAT!"Trident announced a funding plan of up to $500 million for the XRP Treasury and appointed Chaince Securities LLC as a strategic advisor.Financial market giant DTCC is exploring a stablecoin.French firm The Blockchain Group raised €9.7 million to buy more Bitcoin.Coinbase to launch futures trading in the U.S.Coinbase is partnering with American Express to launch the 'Coinbase One Card' offering up to 4% Bitcoin cashback.Israeli air force carried out airstrikes on Iran.Top Gainers in CryptocurrenciesVENOM → Up 26.6% to $0.17085618AERO → Up 15.0% to $0.63056735TRIBE → Up 5.5% to $0.45062473AB → Up 5.0% to $0.01219636WBT → Up 3.2% to $33.62Top Losers in CryptocurrenciesSPX → Down 18.4% to $1.39FARTCOIN → Down 17.9% to $1.10MOG → Down 17.0% to $0.97854539POPCAT → Down 16.7% to $0.3029431BRETT → Down 16.5% to $0.04416029Fear IndexBitcoin: 66Ethereum: 58DominanceBitcoin: 64.85% ▲ 0.83%Ethereum: 9.41% ▼ 3.66%Daily Net ETF InflowsBTC ETFs: $86.30 MillionETH ETFs: $112.30 MillionGlobal MarketsThe day began with reports that Israel struck multiple targets in Iran. We had previously warned in yesterday’s bulletin of rising geopolitical tensions in the region, but the scale and speed of this development have exceeded market expectations. Reports indicate that Israel hit military, industrial, and even academic targets in over 10 cities in Iran. The scope of this strike is significant, and attention now turns to Iran’s possible retaliation. Whether Iran will target Israeli cities or U.S. bases in the region remains a closely watched matter.These developments have caused noticeable movements in asset prices. Oil prices have surged nearly 10%, while gains have also been seen in precious metals, agricultural commodities, and other safe-haven assets. Conversely, global equity markets are under selling pressure. Losses in U.S. and European futures and Asian stock markets range between 1–2%.Yesterday, U.S. stock indices closed higher. The S&P 500 gained 0.4% and the Nasdaq 0.2%, while the VIX volatility index rose 0.8 points to 18.0. In Europe, the Eurostoxx-600 index declined by 0.3% due to diminishing trade optimism and heightened geopolitical tensions.Following the Middle East crisis, Brent crude oil tested $78.50 this morning and is currently trading around $74.70, up 7.7%. Gold also hit a one-month high on safe-haven demand, rising 1.1% to $3,422 per ounce. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is up 0.4% at 98.3. Selling pressure continues in futures markets and Asian equities.On the macroeconomic front, the U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) rose 0.1% in May, falling short of the 0.2% market expectation. Year-over-year, PPI rose to 2.6% from 2.5%. The decline in airline fares and flat energy prices contributed to the lower increase.Better-than-expected CPI and PPI data, along with signs of cooling in the labor market, have increased expectations of a potential Fed rate cut in September. However, at the upcoming June 18 meeting, the Fed is expected to keep interest rates unchanged.Additionally, weekly jobless claims in the U.S. came in at 248,000 for the week ending June 7, exceeding expectations of 242,000. Continuing claims rose to 1.96 million—the highest since November 2021—indicating a slowdown in the labor market.Most Valuable Companies & Stock PricesMicrosoft (MSFT): $3.56 trillion market cap, $478.87 per share, up 1.32%NVIDIA (NVDA): $3.54 trillion market cap, $145.00 per share, up 1.52%Apple (AAPL): $2.98 trillion market cap, $199.20 per share, up 0.21%Amazon (AMZN): $2.26 trillion market cap, $213.24 per share, up 0.02%Alphabet (GOOG): $2.14 trillion market cap, $176.97 per share, down 1.02%Borsa IstanbulIn Turkey, the Industrial Production Index (IPI) for April showed a sharp 3.1% monthly decline. The calendar-adjusted annual change was 3.3%. This steep monthly drop largely reflects a correction and normalization following March's strong growth. Volatility in capital goods production continues to be the primary driver of fluctuations in industrial output.The Construction Cost Index rose 1.7% in April month-over-month, with an annual increase of 22.7%. This marks the 11th consecutive month of year-over-year decline. Seasonally adjusted figures show that the monthly increase accelerated from 1.9% to 2.3%, signaling rising construction costs.Due to heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, the BIST-100 index fell below its 100- and 200-day moving averages, ending the day down 1.7%. The biggest losses were in the banking, holding, and aviation sectors, while defense and steel stocks performed relatively better. The rise in geopolitical risk also pushed up oil and gold prices.Meanwhile, the CBRT has shifted all its funding operations to weekly repo auctions, bringing the average funding cost down to 46%—a 300 basis point drop over the last three trading days.Geopolitical tensions will continue to be the dominant factor in the short term. As such, a bearish trend may persist on the BIST today.Technical Outlook:The BIST-100 index closed at 9,520 yesterday, showing a weak trend throughout the session. The pullback, which began from 9,734—just below the 9,740–9,770 resistance band—continued throughout the day but remained relatively limited. The index staying above the 9,475–9,445 transition band indicates that the bullish expectation is still intact. If this support zone is breached, signs of weakness may strengthen, bringing the 9,255–9,148 support range back into focus. For now, as long as the index remains above this support zone, the possibility of retesting the 9,740–9,770 resistance band remains on the table.Most Valuable Companies on Borsa IstanbulQNB Finansbank (QNBTR): 876.86B TRY market cap, 258.75 TRY per share, down 1.15%Aselsan (ASELS): 659.83B TRY market cap, 144.20 TRY per share, down 0.35%Garanti Bank (GARAN): 499.8B TRY market cap, 114.20 TRY per share, down 4.03%Turkish Airlines (THYAO): 384.68B TRY market cap, 265.00 TRY per share, down 4.93%Koç Holding (KCHOL): 374.3B TRY market cap, 142.20 TRY per share, down 3.66%Precious Metals & Currency PricesGold: 4,334 TRYSilver: 46.19 TRYPlatinum: 1,617 TRYUSD: 39.42 TRYEUR: 45.45 TRYSee you again tomorrow with the latest updates!
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13 Jun 2025
Bitcoin and Altcoins Shook by Iran-Israel Tensions
Cryptocurrency markets started the last trading day of the week with sharp declines. The markets experienced a serious sell-off due to rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and inflation data from the US. Almost all major cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin and Ethereum, lost value. The total market value of cryptocurrencies fell by more than 2 percent, from $3.37 trillion to $3.32 trillion. The value of positions liquidated daily exceeded $1.1 billion. Let's take a look at the market details of the day...Major decline in the market: Bitcoin, ETH and other cryptocurrencies in the top 10 declinedDogecoin (DOGE) was one of the assets most affected by the general decline in the market. The popular meme coin lost nearly 7 percent in value in just 24 hours, falling to $0.181. While Bitcoin fell 4 percent to below $103,000, Ethereum fell 9 percent to $2,500. Solana lost more than 6%, while XRP lost nearly 4%. According to JrKripto.com data, a total of $1.04 billion worth of positions were liquidated in the last 24 hours, the vast majority of which were long (bullish) positions. A $317 million long position was liquidated on Bitcoin alone. Liquidations in Ethereum totaled $151 million.Tension between Iran and IsraelTwo main developments stand out behind this decline in crypto markets. The first is Israel's airstrike on a nuclear facility in Iran. With this news coming around 03:30 Turkish time, investors quickly exited risky assets and headed for safe havens. This move pushed the price of gold above $3,410 per ounce, while causing a sharp 13% increase in oil prices. As investors rushed to safe havens, the exit from Bitcoin and altcoins, which are considered "risky assets", increased.US inflation also affected the marketThe second factor affecting the market is the May CPI data announced in the US on Wednesday. Although the data indicating that inflation is slowing was perceived positively in the markets at first glance, many investors used this opportunity to make profits and turned to sell-side transactions. This correction, especially for Bitcoin, which exceeded the $ 110,000 level at the beginning of the week, was a turning point where excessive optimism was broken.The impact of geopolitical tensions and economic data on the markets seems to continue in the coming days. Considering the high volatility of crypto assets, investors are expected to act cautiously and give more importance to risk management. In particular, the Fed's interest rate policy and developments in the Middle East will play a critical role in determining the direction of crypto markets.
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13 Jun 2025
US PPI Falls Short of Expectations, Trump Prepares for New Tariff Move
The increase in producer prices (PPI) in the US in May fell short of economists' expectations, showing that price pressures remained limited at the beginning of summer. Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump is preparing to announce new tariffs on trading partners as July 9 approaches.According to data released Thursday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, part of the U.S. Department of Labor, the Producer Price Index (PPI) rose only 0.1 percent month-on-month in May, bringing the annual inflation rate to 2.6 percent. This rate fell short of economists' expectations of a 0.2 percent increase, according to a Bloomberg survey. The core PPI, which excludes energy and food prices, also showed a modest increase of 0.1%. Increases in service and goods prices remained limitedThe data shows that non-food and non-energy goods prices rose by 0.2%, while service prices increased by 0.1%. The increase in the service sector was supported by the recovery in wholesale sales of vehicles and machinery. The recovery in this category, which had declined in April, also led to an increase in retail and wholesale margins.As of May, it is noteworthy that inflationary pressure in the US economy has remained low for four months. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) released the day before also showed a similar picture, indicating that companies are struggling to raise prices.New tariffs from Trump: Diplomatic move before July 9The week the PPI report was released also saw some busy developments in US foreign trade. President Trump imposed new tariffs on various countries in April, but in the latest agreement with China, he kept most of the previous tariffs in place.Speaking to reporters this week, Trump announced that they would be sending new tariff letters to many countries within the next one to two weeks. These letters are expected to contain the details of the new tax regulations planned to take effect on July 9. Trump said, “We're sending the letters soon. What we did to the European Union, we're now going to do to other countries.”Fed's inflation indicator also slows downSome parts of the PPI data directly contribute to the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, which is closely monitored by the US Federal Reserve (Fed). These sub-data for May also showed a weak picture. In particular, airline ticket prices and portfolio management fees fell, while healthcare spending remained stable. The full PCE data will be released later this month.Trump's tariff announcements and weak inflation data also affected the markets. As of Thursday morning, S&P 500 futures were down 0.3%, Nasdaq 100 was down 0.2%, and Dow Jones futures were down 179 points, or about 0.4%. All these developments are causing markets and investors to turn their attention to July 9. Although Trump said that the negotiation process may take a little longer, he also stated that they would not need any additional time. “We have made a great deal with China. We are in talks with Japan, South Korea, and many other countries,” he said.The continued weak inflationary pressures in the US and the re-tightening of trade policies are among the key issues that will determine the direction of the markets in the coming period.
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12 Jun 2025
Daily Market Summary with JrKripto 12 June 2025
You can find today’s edition of “Daily Market Recap with JrKripto,” where we compile the most important developments in global and local markets, below. Let’s analyze the overall market conditions together and review the latest updates.Bitcoin (BTC) rebounded after falling as low as $101,150 below the $104,977 support level, recovering strongly from the $101,059–$100,063 range and breaking out of the descending channel to the upside, shifting its technical outlook into positive territory. However, BTC is currently experiencing a slight pullback, trading around $107,600. The $109,588 resistance is crucial for the upward move to continue. If the price holds above this level, the next targets would be $111,980 (ATH) and $114,500, respectively. On the downside, $106,794 and $104,977 should be watched as support levels. Holding these supports is essential for maintaining the positive scenario.Ethereum (ETH) similarly broke out of its descending channel, rebounding from the $2,385 support and is currently trading around $2,750. For the upward movement to gain momentum, ETH needs to surpass the $2,838 resistance. Once this level is broken, $3,004 may become the next target. In the event of a downward correction, the $2,385 level remains the most important support.Crypto NewsUkraine has officially submitted a bill proposing the establishment of a strategic #Bitcoin reserve.Interactive Strength (TRNR) has launched a $500 million facility to purchase Fetch.ai (FET) tokens, initiating a crypto treasury strategy focused on AI.Trump: “Inflation numbers are great! The Fed should cut rates by a full percentage point.”Circle's stablecoin to be launched within the #WLD project.Bank of America is developing a stablecoin.Lutnick: “Many deals are coming next week.”GameStop plans to offer $1.75 billion in convertible bonds.Top Gainers in CryptocurrenciesZBCN → Up 17.6% to $0.00445597SPX → Up 11.6% to $1.72RVN → Up 8.1% to $0.0222342WBT → Up 4.7% to $32.69KAIA → Up 4.5% to $0.16935909Top Losers in CryptocurrenciesAI16Z → Down 14.9% to $0.19085176GRASS → Down 14.8% to $1.71PENDLE → Down 12.1% to $3.93DOG → Down 11.9% to $0.00414189PLUME → Down 10.9% to $0.10564537Fear IndexBitcoin: 71Ethereum: 60DominanceBitcoin: 64.18% ▲ 0.09%Ethereum: 9.92% ▼ 0.18%Daily Net ETF InflowsBTC ETFs: $164.60 MillionETH ETFs: $240.30 MillionKey Economic Data to Watch Today3:30 PM – Initial Jobless ClaimsForecast: 242K / Previous: 247K3:30 PM – Producer Price Index (PPI) (MoM) (May)Forecast: 0.2% / Previous: -0.5%Global MarketsYesterday in the U.S., May CPI data came in below expectations for both headline and core inflation. Monthly CPI rose by 0.08%, falling short of the 0.2% forecast. Annual inflation edged up by just 4 basis points to 2.35%, also below the expected 2.5%. Price declines in energy, automotive, and clothing contributed to this mild inflation outlook. Core CPI rose 0.13% month-over-month, below the 0.3% forecast, and annual core inflation has remained flat at 2.8% for the past three months.Despite the data, market reaction was limited. U.S. stock markets closed lower yesterday. The S&P 500 dropped 0.3%, the tech-heavy Nasdaq fell 0.5%, while the Dow Jones ended flat.Meanwhile, surging geopolitical tensions in the Middle East led to a sharp increase in oil prices. WTI crude ended the day up 5.5%, positively impacting energy stocks. The S&P 500 Energy Sector Index rose 1.5%, making it the top gainer. Conversely, news that the U.S. and Mexico are discussing tariff reductions on steel exports pressured steel-related stocks. As a result, the S&P 500 Materials Sector Index fell 1.0%, becoming the biggest loser.After the close, Oracle (ORCL) reported strong financial results, but this did not significantly shift overall market sentiment. U.S. markets are expected to open slightly lower today. European markets started the day with selling pressure. Investors are closely watching the U.S. PPI data due later today. Having fallen into negative territory in April, the PPI is expected to turn positive in May and show annual growth. This data could have a stronger market impact than CPI.Most Valuable Companies & Stock PricesMicrosoft (MSFT): $3.51 trillion market cap, $472.62 per share, up 0.36%NVIDIA (NVDA): $3.49 trillion market cap, $142.83 per share, down 0.78%Apple (AAPL): $2.97 trillion market cap, $198.78 per share, down 1.92%Amazon (AMZN): $2.26 trillion market cap, $213.20 per share, down 2.03%Alphabet (GOOG): $2.16 trillion market cap, $178.79 per share, down 0.68%Borsa IstanbulDomestically, April's Industrial Production Index (IPI) will be released today. In March, the seasonally and calendar-adjusted IPI rose 3.4% monthly but fell 2.7% year-over-year. On a calendar-adjusted basis, annual growth was 2.5%. However, early indicators for April suggest continued weakness in industrial production. Notably, the April PMI for manufacturing stood at 47.3, remaining below the 50 threshold, indicating ongoing contraction.The Construction Cost Index for April is also expected today.The BIST-100 index showed a cautious rise yesterday, closing around its 100-day moving average but failing to break above the 9,700 level. With the second weekly repo auction post-holiday, the CBRT’s weighted average funding rate dropped to 48%, reinforcing expectations for a potential rate cut on June 19. Meanwhile, heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East lifted oil prices, contributing to selling pressure in both U.S. markets and VIOP's evening session. A slight pullback may be seen in Borsa Istanbul today as a result.Technical Outlook:The BIST-100 closed at 9,686 yesterday, following a predominantly positive session. The upward trend remains intact, and the index has now closed above both its 100- and 200-day moving averages for two consecutive days, supporting a bullish technical view. Although the lower limit of the 9,740–9,770 resistance band was tested, the close remained below it. This range is still being considered a “transition zone.” If the index closes above this band, a move toward the 10,000 level could begin.Most Valuable Companies on Borsa IstanbulQNB Finansbank (QNBTR): 884.4B TRY market cap, 264.00 TRY per share, unchangedAselsan (ASELS): 644.33B TRY market cap, 144.60 TRY per share, up 2.34%Garanti Bank (GARAN): 508.62B TRY market cap, 119.90 TRY per share, down 0.99%Turkish Airlines (THYAO): 400.89B TRY market cap, 282.00 TRY per share, down 2.93%Koç Holding (KCHOL): 385.46B TRY market cap, 147.60 TRY per share, down 2.89%Precious Metals & Currency PricesGold: 4,205 TRYSilver: 46.03 TRYPlatinum: 1,588 TRYUSD: 39.18 TRYEUR: 44.78 TRYSee you tomorrow with the latest updates!
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12 Jun 2025
US Inflation Data Fell Below Expectations
The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for May was below market expectations on both monthly and annual basis. This raised hopes that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) may start cutting interest rates later this year, creating a positive atmosphere in the cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin rose briefly after the release of the data.Surprise decline in headline and core inflationAccording to data released by the Bureau of Statistics of the US Department of Labor, the headline CPI rose by only 0.1% in May. This was below the market expectation of 0.2% and the 0.2% increase in April. On an annual basis, CPI rose by 2.4%. This was below analysts' expectations of 2.5% and slightly above the previous month's rate of 2.3%.Core CPI, the more widely followed component of inflation (excluding food and energy prices), rose by 0.1% in May. This was below both the market expectations of 0.3% and the 0.2% increase in April. Annual core CPI remained unchanged at 2.8%, while the expectation was for 2.9%. These data were interpreted as signs that inflation was coming under control. In particular, the weak course of core inflation has strengthened market expectations for the Fed to take looser steps in monetary policy.Bitcoin approached 110 thousand dollarsAfter the announcement of inflation data, a rapid reaction was observed in cryptocurrencies, which fall into the category of risky assets. Bitcoin climbed 0.6% to $109,800 after the data. Bitcoin, which traded up 0.3% on a daily basis, signaled that it could continue its upward movement in the short term as investors' risk appetite increased.Two interest rate cuts expected from the FedThe weak course of inflation has strengthened markets' expectations that the Fed will start cutting rates later this year. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, investors are pricing in a first rate cut in September and a second rate cut in December, for a total of two rate cuts.These developments may pave the way for positive pricing in the cryptocurrency market as well as traditional assets. Because while the low interest rate environment generally increases the tendency towards alternative and riskier assets, digital assets such as Bitcoin are among the instruments that benefit the most from this process.
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11 Jun 2025
Trump Announces Trade Deal with China: How Did Cryptocurrencies Move?
There has been a remarkable development in the long-standing trade war between the US and China. Former US President Donald Trump announced the completion of a comprehensive trade agreement between the parties as a result of negotiations with Chinese President Xi Jinping. The announcement on Truth Social follows the previously announced 90-day tariff truce.Trump: Our deal with China is finalizedThe months-long trade war between the US and China seems to have entered a new phase with official statements today. Former US President Donald Trump announced on Truth Social that the trade deal with Chinese President Xi Jinping is “complete”. According to Trump, the deal is subject only to the final approval of the two leaders.Trump's post read as follows: “Our deal with China is complete, subject to final approval by Xi and me. Full magnetics and all necessary rare earth elements will be supplied in advance by China. We get 55% tariffs, China gets 10%. Relations are excellent!” This follows a 90-day “tariff truce” between the two countries announced last month. Since then, the two sides have temporarily suspended tariffs, but the details of the agreement have not been finalized. On Thursday, June 6, following a phone call that lasted about an hour and a half, Trump announced that talks would begin in London on Monday, June 9. Most recently, the US President announced that a final agreement had been reached.Trump also stated that the agreement is not limited to trade products. He emphasized that Chinese students will continue to have access to US universities: “It has always been positive for me that Chinese students use our colleges and universities.”Recently in crypto marketFollowing Trump's statements, financial markets and especially the cryptocurrency market reacted weakly positive. Trump's deal, which is said to have been reached with tariff rates of “55% - 10%”, may ease the perception of global economic risk and provide a shift towards assets such as Bitcoin. For now, no significant change has been observed in the price of the leading cryptocurrency. During the two-day talks in London recently, US Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick told the press on his way out that “things are going great”. This led to increased optimism in the market. Now Trump's official announcement has reinforced this optimism.A new page in the trade warThe protracted trade war, which started during the Trump era, has seen many ups and downs so far. The harsh imposition of tariffs had strained global supply chains and increased inflationary pressures. Although the tariffs, which have been reduced to reasonable levels for now, have a negative impact on prices in the short term, they are welcomed by the markets in terms of reducing the risk of recession.According to experts, the deal is critical for the US to regain easy access to rare earth elements from China. These elements have a strategic role in many fields, especially in the technology and energy sectors. In addition, the US was expected to make such transition agreements in line with its goal of gradually moving production to its own territory.
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11 Jun 2025
Daily Market Summary with JrKripto 11 June 2025
You can find today’s edition of “Daily Market Recap with JrKripto,” where we compile the most important developments in global and local markets, below. Let’s analyze the general market conditions together and take a look at the latest updates.Bitcoin (BTC) dropped as low as $101,150 after falling below the $104,977 support level, but then rebounded strongly from the $101,059–$100,063 range. With this recovery, the short-term descending channel structure was broken to the upside, and BTC is currently trading around $109,200. The technical outlook has turned positive again.In the short term, the $109,588 resistance is critical. If this level is surpassed, the next targets are $111,980 (ATH) and then $114,500. On possible pullbacks, the $106,794 and $104,977 levels are strong supports. Holding these supports is key to sustaining the uptrend.Ethereum (ETH) also broke out of its descending channel to the upside, displaying a positive outlook. Rebounding from the $2,385 support level, ETH is now trading around $2,770.To continue the upward move, ETH needs to break the $2,838 resistance. If this level is breached, the $3,004 level may come into play. On the downside, $2,385 stands out as a strong support.Crypto NewsNasdaq-listed MatalphaPro purchased 18,000 $ETH ($48 million) via Binance 10 hours ago.The SEC has begun reviewing Bitwise’s Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs.The SEC requested firms applying for Solana ETFs to update their S-1 forms. Solana ETFs could be approved within 3 to 5 weeks.GameStop announced that it has purchased 4,710 Bitcoins.The U.S. and Mexico are nearing a deal to lift Trump-era 50% tariffs on steel imports up to a certain volume.The World Bank voiced agreement with President Trump, stating that countries are using unfair trade practices and called for lowering tariffs imposed on the U.S.Nasdaq has proposed a Spot SUI ETF to the SEC.Ukraine has officially submitted a bill to establish a strategic #Bitcoin reserve.Top Gainers in CryptocurrenciesKAIA → Up 19.2% to $0.16271082JTO → Up 17.9% to $2.25GIGA → Up 15.3% to $0.02752151SYRUP → Up 15.0% to $0.49653499LAUNCHCOI → Up 14.1% to $0.22357478Top Losers in CryptocurrenciesAXL → Down 13.4% to $0.49167878DEXE → Down 9.9% to $9.33ZBCN → Down 9.7% to $0.00378731KAVA → Down 6.3% to $0.43993857AI16Z → Down 6.3% to $0.22387602Fear IndexBitcoin: 70Ethereum: 58DominanceBitcoin: 64.14% ▲ 0.11%Ethereum: 9.88% ▼ 0.62%Daily Net ETF InflowsBTC ETFs: $431.20 MillionETH ETFs: $125.00 MillionKey Economic Data to Watch Today3:30 PM – Core Consumer Price Index (MoM) (May)Expected: 0.3% / Previous: 0.2%3:30 PM – Consumer Price Index (MoM) (May)Expected: 0.2% / Previous: 0.2%3:30 PM – Consumer Price Index (YoY) (May)Expected: 2.5% / Previous: 2.3%5:30 PM – EIA Crude Oil InventoriesExpected: -2.400M / Previous: -4.304MGlobal MarketsPositive developments in U.S.-China trade talks boosted risk appetite in global markets. Following this news, major U.S. indices rose between 0.3% and 0.6% yesterday. The S&P 500 closed up 0.3% at 6,038, inching closer to the all-time high of 6,147. Sector-wise, the S&P 500 Energy Index led gains with a 1.8% increase, while the Industrials Index was the only loser, down 0.4%.European markets opened flat today, and U.S. indices are expected to open slightly lower. On the macroeconomic front, the key highlight is the U.S. CPI data at 3:30 PM Turkish time. Expectations are for a 0.3% rise in core CPI and a 0.2% increase in headline CPI. These results will be crucial for the Fed's interest rate policy. Oracle (ORCL) earnings are also in focus.Technically, for the S&P 500, the first resistance level is 6,159, with 5,982 acting as support in case of a pullback.The World Bank released its June 2025 Global Economic Outlook Report, warning that rising protectionism and trade tensions are hindering global recovery. It downgraded its global growth forecast for 2025 from 2.7% to 2.3%, marking the lowest rate since the 2008 financial crisis. It also noted that the 2020s could be the weakest decade since the 1960s, with an average growth of 2.5%.On a country basis, the U.S. 2025 growth forecast was cut by 0.9 points to 1.4%. The Eurozone's was revised down by 0.3 points, and Mexico’s by 1.3 points. Turkey’s forecast was raised by 0.5 points to 3.1%, driven by stronger-than-expected Q4 2024 data and falling oil prices.In summary, the main focus today is U.S. inflation data. A lower-than-expected print could strengthen expectations for earlier Fed rate cuts, potentially supporting positive market sentiment.Most Valuable Companies & Stock PricesNVIDIA (NVDA): $3.51 trillion market cap, $143.96 per share, up 0.93%Microsoft (MSFT): $3.5 trillion market cap, $470.92 per share, down 0.39%Apple (AAPL): $3.03 trillion market cap, $202.67 per share, up 0.61%Amazon (AMZN): $2.31 trillion market cap, $217.61 per share, up 0.29%Alphabet (GOOG): $2.18 trillion market cap, $180.01 per share, up 1.34%Borsa IstanbulDomestically, the Treasury reported a cash surplus of 247.1 billion TRY in May. The cumulative budget deficit for the first five months of the year narrowed to 838.1 billion TRY. The primary balance posted a surplus of 348.6 billion TRY in May, bringing the year-to-date deficit down to 63 billion TRY—indicating strong fiscal performance.In yesterday’s auctions, the Treasury borrowed a total of 97.9 billion TRY including non-competitive bids (ROT). The 9-month T-bill auction yielded an average annual compound interest rate of 46.81%, while the 4-year fixed coupon bond saw a yield of 37.88%.Markets continue to price in a potential rate cut at the June 19 CBRT meeting. The central bank’s recent resumption of high-volume weekly repo auctions lowered the average funding cost by over 40 basis points to 48.6%, reinforcing rate cut expectations.Bond yields dropped in line with this trend. The 2-year bond yield fell to 42.7%, the lowest since March 20, while the 10-year yield dropped roughly 40 basis points to 33%. Turkey’s CDS also improved, falling to 294 basis points.Banking stocks were the biggest beneficiaries of falling rates, with the banking index rising 5.0% yesterday, making the strongest contribution to the BIST 100’s 1.8% gain. Trading volume also increased. Despite this, bank stocks still trail the main index by about 4% YTD. With the rate cut expectation in place, banking stocks are likely to maintain their strength.Today, the BIST 100 is expected to close above the 100- and 200-day moving averages in the 9,600–9,700 band. Technically, the index maintained its upward momentum after a strong open, closing at 9,659. This confirms a breakout above not only the 50-day average but also the 100- and 200-day moving averages. With the break above the 9,475 resistance, a new upward trend has begun, targeting the 9,740–9,770 range. A sustained close above this range could set the stage for a move toward the 10,000 level.Most Valuable Companies on Borsa IstanbulQNB Finansbank (QNBTR): 899.48B TRY market cap, 268.50 TRY per share, no changeAselsan (ASELS): 634.75B TRY market cap, 139.40 TRY per share, up 0.14%Garanti Bank (GARAN): 513.66B TRY market cap, 121.80 TRY per share, down 0.41%Turkish Airlines (THYAO): 401.58B TRY market cap, 290.00 TRY per share, down 0.34%Koç Holding (KCHOL): 381.91B TRY market cap, 152.30 TRY per share, up 1.13%Precious Metals & Currency PricesGold: 4,205 TRYSilver: 46.03 TRYPlatinum: 1,588 TRYUSD: 39.18 TRYEUR: 44.78 TRYSee you tomorrow with more updates and market news!
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11 Jun 2025
Crypto Markets on Alert Ahead of US Inflation Data
While the re-accelerated trade talks between the US and China have brought some relief to global markets, the focus of crypto investors has shifted to the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data to be released today. Especially in the Bitcoin and altcoin market, the directional effect of the CPI is once again on the agenda.Bitcoin and altcoin investors are watching the CPIThe inflation data to be released at 15.30 today is of great importance for cryptocurrency investors. CPI data is an important indicator for the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to shape its interest rate policy. If inflation comes in below expectations, it strengthens the expectation that the Fed will not pursue an aggressive interest rate hike policy. This may cause the dollar to depreciate and investors to turn to alternative assets.Looking at historical data, it is seen that there were serious rises in crypto markets when the CPI was low. For example, the lower-than-expected inflation in the data released in December 2023 caused Bitcoin to gain more than 7% in two days. On the other hand, inflation exceeding expectations brings with it the expectation that the Fed will postpone its interest rate cut plans or bring new increases to the agenda. This poses a risky scenario for cryptocurrencies, as rising interest rates can suppress risk appetite and accelerate capital outflows from crypto assets.Therefore, today's CPI data is a critical threshold for the short-term direction of Bitcoin, Ethereum and major altcoins. Increased volatility, especially in crypto exchanges where leveraged transactions are intense, may expose investors to the risk of sudden liquidation.Latest in the marketAlthough US 10-year bond yields have declined in recent days, the dollar index continues to move upwards. This shows that investors are waiting in a cautious position.Bitcoin price is trading at $109,471 at the time of writing. BTC, which fluctuated between $ 108,616 and $ 110,249 during the day, exhibits a neutral position for investors. However, it is worth noting that the leading cryptocurrency rose 4 percent on a weekly basis. Ethereum, on the other hand, rose nearly 4% in the last 24 hours, reaching $2,794.82. The daily trading range was shaped between $ 2,674 and $ 2,821. However, it is noteworthy that ETH gained about 5 percent in the weekly period.While a horizontal and unstable course is generally observed in altcoins, investors are waiting for the inflation data to be announced at 15:30 for direction determination.In the light of all these developments, investors are locked on the CPI data for May, which will be announced at 15.30 today. A data below expectations may lead Bitcoin to climb above $ 70,000 again. Otherwise, lower support levels may be tested again. This data may be the most critical momentum of the week for the direction of the crypto markets.
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11 Jun 2025