This page lists the latest Politics news and market analysis. Browse articles, expert insights, and updates in this category on JrKripto. Stay informed with in-depth coverage of cryptocurrency trends and developments.
News
Politics News
Browse all Politics related articles and news. The latest news, analysis, and insights on Politics.
The United Kingdom, United with the United States, is preparing to sign a new trade agreement this week. This step shows that despite the Trump administration's publicly perceived attitude as far from compromise, his team is conducting negotiations with 17 of the 18 major trading partners behind the scenes. According to the Financial Times, the new agreement between the US and the UK will be signed this week. Dec.What Does the Agreement Bring?The new trade package is aimed at reducing the effects of steel and automobile tariffs, especially those introduced during the Trump era. The UK had suffered losses in car and steel exports due to US tariffs of up to 25%. London hopes to reach a compromise by the end of this week to eliminate these harmful effects.Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent had previously stated in a statement that a tariff agreement for a major economy could be signed "as early as this week." The FT confirms that this country is the UK.Strategic Effects: Change of Direction in Trade?Sunday Sunday statements from the U.S. side,"we do not need our market, they want access to our market" draws attention to the emphasis. Trump has said in various press conferences that "we don't lose anything by not doing trade," arguing that the United States has the upper hand at the bargaining table.The UK's attitude towards the upcoming agreement with the United States is associated with the country's flexibility in the digital services tax and tariffs on US agricultural products. However, this situation may also set the stage for conflicts that may arise, especially in veterinary agreements with the European Union.Impact on the Cryptocurrency MarketThe signing of this trade agreement will show that the United States is not isolated and is open to compromise. This may trigger the perception that "uncertainty has been lifted" in the market. It is observed that such positive foreign trade news pushes up the price. For the cryptocurrency market, this agreement may be critical both for the recovery of the general market mood and for the legitimization of digital assets.
Trump: “We’re Not Losing Anything by Not Trading with China”U.S. President Donald Trump made statements regarding trade negotiations with China, saying, “China wants to negotiate with us, but we are waiting for the right time.” Speaking during a meeting at the White House with Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney, Trump noted that while China wants to engage in talks, such a meeting has not yet taken place.“We’re not losing anything by not trading with China,” said Trump, emphasizing that China has significantly benefited from the U.S. and that the suspension of trade is currently hurting the Chinese economy.“We’re Not Interested in Their Market”Trump stressed that the U.S. does not need to sign trade deals with other countries, stating, “They are the ones who need to make deals with us. They want access to our market. We don’t want access to theirs; we don’t care about their market.” With these remarks, Trump highlighted the advantage the U.S. holds due to its strong consumer market.Recalling that the U.S. was running multibillion-dollar trade deficits daily when he took office, Trump claimed they had reversed this situation. He mentioned that following the imposition of tariffs on the automotive, aluminum, and steel sectors, many companies had returned to the U.S. with trillions of dollars in investment.“We Could Sign 25 Trade Deals Right Now, But We Don’t Have To”When asked, “When will you sign a trade deal?” Trump replied, “If we wanted to, we could sign 25 trade deals right now. But we’re not obligated to sign anything. Even under current conditions, everyone wants to make a deal with us because our market is attractive.”Trump added that, together with Vice President JD Vance, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, and Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, they would be evaluating trade deal matters over the next two weeks. He stated that they would proceed with fair, low, and enforceable figures.“We Want to Be Friends with Countries, Not Cause Harm”Trump emphasized that their trade strategy is not harsh but flexible: “We’re not chaotic, but we’re adaptable. The numbers we set will be fair. We don’t want to harm countries; we want to help. We want to build friendly relations,” he said.Trump’s remarks underscore the U.S.’s strong bargaining position in trade, signaling that while negotiations with China will continue, they will not be made under pressure. The global trade order continues to evolve under the firm direction of Trump’s trade policies.
You can find today’s “Daily Market with JrKripto,” where we compile the most important developments in global and local markets, below. Let’s analyze the general market conditions together and take a look at the latest updates.Here’s the updated version, aligned with current prices and presented as a single, cohesive text:Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading at $94,300. Following an upward trend that began at the $75,930 support level, the price has managed to hold above the $94,000 mark. BTC continues to test the resistance zone between $95,000 and $96,000. If this level is broken to the upside, $101,000 could emerge as the next target. However, if profit-taking occurs around current levels, the first support lies at $90,500. Below that, $86,500 is considered a stronger support level.Ethereum (ETH) is trading at around $1,800. The recovery that started from the $1,486 support has pushed ETH back above the $1,800 level. Should the upward momentum continue, the resistance levels to watch are $1,888 and $1,950. On the downside, $1,790 will be the first support point in case of a pullback. If ETH drops below this level, $1,700 could act as the next support. Staying above $1,790 is key for ETH to maintain its current upward trend.Crypto NewsChinese President Xi stated: “We are ready to work with EU leaders to expand mutual openness and properly manage frictions and disagreements.”Tether minted $1 billion worth of USDT.Strategy announced the purchase of 1,985 BTC.Binance founder CZ stated that he proposed BNB and BTC as the initial reserve currencies for Kyrgyzstan’s national crypto fund. Previously, CZ had joined Kyrgyzstan’s National Crypto Committee upon the invitation of President Sadyr Japarov.VanEck submitted an S-1 filing for a BNB ETF.President Trump said, “I want crypto. Crypto is important because if we don’t do it, China will.”Top Gainers:DAKU → Up 28.6% to $0.1833SAROS → Up 14.8% to $0.1510TURBO → Up 14.1% to $0.0060MOVE → Up 11.4% to $0.1870SAFE → Up 10.7% to $0.4922Top Losers:LAYER → Down 37.6% to $1.96RAY → Down 13.4% to $2.31DEEP → Down 9.0% to $0.1734BRETT → Down 8.4% to $0.0505FLR → Down 8.4% to $0.0180Other Metrics:24-Hour Volume: $64.06BMarket Cap: $2.92TFear & Greed Index:Bitcoin: 57 (Greed)Ethereum: 51 (Neutral)Dominance:Bitcoin: 64.87% ▲ 0.05%Ethereum: 7.54% ▼ 0.45%Daily Net ETF Flows:BTC ETFs: $425.50 MillionETH ETFs: $0.0 MillionGlobal MarketsU.S. stock indices ended the first trading day of the week with minor losses after nine consecutive days of gains. The S&P 500 fell by 0.64%, the Dow Jones by 0.24%, and the Nasdaq by 0.74%. The consumer staples sector stood out with a slight increase, while energy (-2.02%), consumer discretionary (-1.32%), and tech (-0.85%) were the weakest.The drop in energy stocks was triggered by OPEC+ announcing an additional daily output of 411,000 barrels. Following the announcement, oil prices dropped by 1.85%. Furthermore, former President Donald Trump’s proposal to impose a 100% import tariff on foreign films led to selling pressure in media and entertainment stocks.Looking at economic data, the U.S. ISM services PMI rose to 51.6 in April, beating expectations of 50.2 and March’s 50.8, indicating accelerated activity in the service sector. The new orders index rose to 52.3, suggesting increased demand. However, the employment index remained in contraction territory at 49. The prices index surged to 65.1, the highest since January 2023, reflecting mounting cost pressures. The delivery times index rose to 51.3, suggesting slower deliveries.On the other hand, the S&P Global Services PMI for April was revised down from 51.4 to 50.8, indicating slight weakness. Today, the U.S. will release its March trade balance data; in February, the trade deficit was $122.7 billion.In global markets, China’s Caixin services PMI came in at 50.7, below the expected 51.7, creating a mixed outlook across Asian markets, while European markets are expected to open flat.Markets are now focused on the Fed’s interest rate decision and Chair Powell’s remarks. The Fed is expected to hold rates steady. U.S. weekly crude oil inventory data is also on today’s economic agenda.Most Valuable Companies and Stock PricesMicrosoft (MSFT) → $3.24T market cap, $436.17 per share, up 0.20%Apple (AAPL) → $2.99T market cap, $198.89 per share, down 3.15%NVIDIA (NVDA) → $2.78T market cap, $113.82 per share, down 0.59%Alphabet (GOOG) → $2T market cap, $166.05 per share, up 0.14%Amazon (AMZN) → $1.98T market cap, $186.35 per share, down 1.91%Borsa IstanbulIn Borsa Istanbul, weak momentum and capital outflows persist. Due to high interest rates, poor earnings reports, and ongoing political risks, the pressure on BIST is expected to continue. Technically, the 9000–9100 range serves as support, while the 9250–9280 zone is resistance. About 35% of companies have reported Q1 2025 results, and only 15% showed positive outcomes across six key metrics: revenue, gross profit, EBITDA, EBITDA margin, net profit, and return on equity. This is likely to lead to downward revisions in 12-month average targets and keep the index in a narrow range.Today, PMI and PPI data from Europe will be monitored. Turkey’s 5-year CDS started the day at 349 basis points.In April, Turkey’s CPI rose by 3.0% monthly, slightly below the 3.2% forecast. Annual inflation dropped to 37.86%, down 0.2 points. Core inflation indicators — the B index at 36.8% and the C index at 37.1% — showed minor declines. Due to currency movements, PPI increased by 2.76% month-on-month and fell to 22.5% year-on-year. This trend suggests an upward pressure on inflation, driven by TL depreciation and regulated price adjustments.Today, Turkey’s real effective exchange rate for April will be released. The Treasury will also conduct auctions for 2-year fixed coupon and 7-year floating rate bonds.Following the inflation report, Finance Minister Mehmet Şimşek stated that the year-end inflation is still expected to remain within the Central Bank’s forecast range. He also mentioned that due to new U.S. trade policies, some American companies are in talks to manufacture in Turkey, and efforts to combat the informal economy will be intensified. He will meet with investors in London and Doha next week.Data shows that demand for automobiles, especially imported ones, hit record highs in April. Externally, risk-off sentiment prevails ahead of the Fed meeting. Domestically, Central Bank Governor Fatih Karahan will present to the Parliament’s Planning and Budget Committee today.The BIST 100 index climbed to 9241 yesterday but closed at 9112 after selling pressure. The rebound from 9058 confirms that the 9044–8870 band is a strong support zone. As long as the index stays above this range, recovery may continue. However, sustained trading below this level could lead to a sharper decline toward the 8618–8500 zone. On the upside, 9490–9594 is the next resistance zone, and if breached, the 9740–9895 band may come into play. The index is expected to remain flat in the short term.Most Valuable Companies on Borsa IstanbulQNB Finansbank (QNBTR) → 900.31B TL market cap, 270.00 TL per share, up 0.47%Aselsan (ASELS) → 591.89B TL market cap, 136.90 TL per share, up 5.47%Garanti Bank (GARAN) → 425.88B TL market cap, 102.80 TL per share, up 1.38%Turkish Airlines (THYAO) → 405.72B TL market cap, 293.75 TL per share, down 0.09%ENKA Construction (ENKAI) → 373.70B TL market cap, 64.35 TL per share, up 0.94%Precious Metals and Currency RatesGold: 4,165 TLSilver: 41.06 TLPlatinum: 1,216 TLUSD: 38.60 TLEUR: 43.73 TLLooking forward to seeing you again tomorrow with the latest updates!
The U.S. Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy has once again become the focal point of global markets.After keeping rates steady at the last two meetings, the Fed has now begun signaling potential cuts.A slowdown in inflation, a drop in the pace of economic growth, and public calls from President Trump have strengthened expectations of a rate cut.Markets broadly expect no change at the May meeting, but anticipate that cuts could begin as early as June.Signals Point to JuneCleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said that the May meeting would be too early for a rate cut, while highlighting June as a key threshold.If the relative decline in inflation continues and the slowdown in economic activity deepens, rate cuts are expected to be on the agenda at the June 17–18 meeting.This expectation has already been reflected in the markets.Interest rate futures are now pricing in a 25 basis point cut in June.The Fed’s continued emphasis on “economic activity remaining strong” signals that they will time the move with caution.Trump Increases PressureU.S. President Donald Trump has intensified his calls for rate cuts.In a White House statement, he said,“Overall prices are falling, energy prices are declining. I hope the Fed lowers rates,” delivering a direct message.Trump’s bid for re-election increases the risk of the Fed’s rate policy becoming more politicized.Especially a White House looking to boost economic activity may see inflation nearing the 2% target as sufficient justification for a rate cut.Gold, Bonds, and Market ReactionsMarkets have already started pricing in expectations.Gold has reached its highest levels in recent times.Rate cut expectations are pulling down bond yields, while interest in risk assets is once again rising.Recovery signals are also visible in Bitcoin and the Nasdaq.Investors Watching June CloselyNo changes are expected in May, but June represents a critical turning point for the Fed.The direction of inflation and other economic data suggest that rate cuts may not be far off.The Fed is likely to enter the summer of 2025 with a rate cut.As the economy starts signaling a rebound, this move could define the new trajectory for financial markets.
US President Donald Trump has caused repercussions in the cryptocurrency market with his recent statements. Speaking to NBC News, Trump said that digital assets are no longer just an investment vehicle, but have become a national priority. “I want crypto, crypto is important because China will do it if we don't,” he said, adding that the United States cannot remain passive in the digital finance race.Digital Finance Is Now a Strategic Issue For the United StatesTrump's exit is not only at the level of rhetoric. The USD1 stablecoin, which was launched through his family-owned World Liberty Financial, will be used by Abu Dhabi-based MGX for a $2 billion investment. This step reveals that the Trump family intends to shape the digital dollar on its own initiative.Given the aggressive steps China has taken on the digital yuan, Trump's words take on even more meaning. The president draws attention to the risk that the United States will lose leadership in this area and argues that competition in the digital economy no longer has a technological, but a geopolitical dimension.The Markets Got The MessageAnalysts say that this clear stance of Trump may create an atmosphere of confidence for institutional investors in the long run.Although it seems to have had a limited impact on prices in the short term, Trump's cryptocurrency-friendly messages are the kind that could determine the direction of regulations in the future. This attitude may trigger developments such as relaxing SEC policies, accelerating ETF approval processes, and increasing public-private cooperation in next-generation stablecoin infrastructures.Trump's words ”I want crypto, because if we don't, China will," are not just a political outlet. This statement is a reemergence of the US's claim to leadership in the digital economy. While the world is talking about crypto, now the White House is also in this game.
You can find our article “Daily Market with JrKripto” below, where we have compiled the most important developments in global and local markets. Let's analyze the general market conditions together and take a look at the latest assessments.Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading at $95,300. With a strong bullish movement starting from the $75,930 support, the price has settled in the $95,000 – $96,000 resistance band. If this region is exceeded, it can be expected that the rise in BTC will continue to the level of $ 101,000. However, the first support point for profit sales that may occur at current levels will be $ 90,500. If it hangs below this level, it is possible for the decline to deepen to the level of $ 86,500.Ethereum (ETH) is trading at $1,810. With the rise that started at the level of $ 1,486, the price continues to stay above $ 1,800. If the upward movement continues, the resistance levels of $1,888 and $1,950 can be targeted. However, $1,790 will be followed as the first support in possible withdrawals. If persistence is achieved below this level, the $1,700 level for ETH will be the next strong support. Persistence above $1,790 is critical for the continuation of the short-term upward trend.Crypto NewsDonald Trump's son Eric has said that banks that do not adopt crypto will disappear within 10 years.Coinbase has added WLD to its listing roadmap.The United States has contacted China for talks on customs tariffs, Chinese media have confirmed this.North Carolina has passed a bill to create a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve.Canary has applied for a spot ETF for SEI.CryptocurrenciesThose Who Have Risen The Most:VIRTUAL →increased by 42.4% to $ 1.77.BEAM →increased by 23.0% to $0.0088351.PRIME →increased by 22.8% to $3.33.AI16Z →increased by 20.8% to $0.30912477.AERO →increased by 20.7% to $0.71983165.The Ones Who Fell The Most:DRIFT → fell by 7.7% to $0.67915288.LAYER → fell 6.7% to $3.01.DCR → fell 5.6% to $13.13.QGOLD → fell 2.3% to $3,225.41.XAUT → fell 2.1% to $3,234.26.Other Data:Fear Index:Bitcoin: 55Ethereum: 49Dominans:Bitcoin: 64.57% ▲ 0.11%Ethereum: 7.48% ▲ 0.08%Total Net ETF Inflows Per Day BTC ETFs: -56.30 Million$ ETH ETFs: -2.30 Million$ Data to Follow TodayMay 1 - Turkish Labor DayApplications for Unemployment BenefitsExpectation: 224KPrevious: 223KManufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) (April)Expectation: 50.7Previous: 50,2ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) (April)Expectation: 48.0Previous: 49.0Global MarketsUS stock markets ended the day yesterday with a mixed and low volume course. However, the strong technology balance sheets announced after the session close, especially Microsoft's 6.9% and Meta's 5.4% increases, caused positive pricing in futures. Nasdaq futures indices were at a premium of up to 1.5%. While positive expectations in the negotiations with the US trading partners are also influential in this optimism, the fact that China has not yet officially participated in this process continues the cautious approach in the markets.The macroeconomic data showed a weak picture. Private sector employment in the US increased by only 62 thousand people and remained well below expectations. This situation shows that companies are being more cautious in hiring, especially due to tariff-related uncertainties. In addition, the US economy contracted by 0.3% in the first quarter of the year. This contraction was based on a higher-than-expected increase in imports and a weakening in personal consumption. While PCE inflation gave mixed signals, it registered a decrease on an annual basis, indicating an easing in price pressures.The ISM Manufacturing PMI data for March has moved back into contraction territory with 49 points. The index, which can only stay in the expansion zone for two months, showed that the contraction in new and accumulated orders slowed down, but employment losses increased. Supply shortages have accelerated price increases, while inventories have grown and delivery times have extended. This index is expected to decline to 48 points in April. Such data is critical for interpreting the impact of tariffs on businesses.On the international front, while the Bank of Japan left its policy rate unchanged, its failure to give clear signals about an interest rate hike led to the weakening of the Japanese Yen. Oil prices, on the other hand, tested 4-year lows with the news that OPEC+ may increase production. The OPEC+ meeting on May 5 will be critical in this sense.In addition, an agreement was signed between Ukraine and the United States on access to Ukraine's natural resources Dec. This development is interpreted as an effort to get support from Kiev's Trump wing before the upcoming elections in the United States.For the rest of the week, the data calendar is quite busy. In particular, the non-agricultural employment data to be announced on Friday is of great importance for the Fed's monetary policy and may be decisive on the direction of the markets. Apple and Amazon balance sheets will be announced today, and the general mood in the technology sector will be clarified with these data.The Most Valuable Companies and Their Stock PricesApple (AAPL) → market capitalization of $3.19T, price per share of $212.50, an increase of 0.61%Microsoft (MSFT) → market capitalization of $2.94T, price per share is $395.26, an increase of 0.31%NVIDIA (NVDA) → market capitalization of $2.66T, price per share of $108.92, down 0.09%Amazon (AMZN) → market capitalization of $1.96T, price per share of $184.42, down 1.58%Alphabet (GOOG) → market capitalization of $1.94T, price per share of $160.89, down 0.72%Precious Metals and Foreign Exchange PricesGold: 3961 TL Silver: 39.31 TL Platinum: 1191 TL Dollar: 38.44 TL Euro: 43.62 TL Hope to meet you again tomorrow with the latest news!
Below is today's "Daily Market Update with JrKripto," where we compile the most significant developments in global and local markets. Let's analyze the general market conditions together and review the latest assessments.Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading at $95,090. Following a strong upward movement from the $75,930 support level, the price has settled above $94,000. BTC is now testing the resistance band between $95,000 and $96,000. If this area is surpassed with significant volume, the next target could be $101,000. However, if profit-taking occurs at current levels, the first support is at $90,500. Sustained movement below this level could lead to a correction down to $86,500.Ethereum (ETH) is trading at $1,820. The recovery process that began from the $1,486 support level has maintained the price above $1,800. In the continuation of the upward movement, the $1,888 and $1,950 levels can be monitored as resistance. However, a pullback from the $1,820 level highlights $1,790 as the first support. Below this, a stronger support at $1,700 can be observed. To maintain ETH's current upward trend, staying above $1,790 is critically important.Crypto NewsThe SEC has concluded its investigation into PayPal's PYUSD stablecoin without enforcement action.Trump: "India is doing great; I think we will have an agreement on tariffs."The UK Chancellor states that the United Kingdom aims to be a "world leader in digital assets."The UK will collaborate with the US to increase cryptocurrency adoption.China has lifted the 125% tariff on imported ethanol from the US.CryptocurrenciesTop Gainers:DRIFT → Increased by 31.8% to reach $0.7651.AKT → Increased by 14.7% to reach $1.53.PLUME → Increased by 12.8% to reach $0.1925.AIC → Increased by 10.5% to reach $0.2011.FLOKI → Increased by 10.3% to reach $0.00009251.Top Losers:SAFE → Decreased by 13.9% to $0.5254.PENGU → Decreased by 13.3% to $0.0106.VIRTUAL → Decreased by 10.5% to $1.32.AI16Z → Decreased by 7.2% to $0.2799.DEEP → Decreased by 6.9% to $0.1942.Other Data:Fear Index:Bitcoin: 57Ethereum: 49Dominance:Bitcoin: 64.50% ▲ 0.10%Ethereum: 7.46% ▼ 0.14%Daily Total Net ETF Inflows:BTC ETFs: $172.80 MillionETH ETFs: $18.40 MillionData to Watch TodayADP Non-Farm Employment (April):Expectation: 114K | Previous: 155KGross Domestic Product (GDP) (Quarterly) (Q1):Expectation: 0.2% | Previous: 2.4%Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index (Monthly) (March):Expectation: 0.1% | Previous: 0.4%Core PCE Price Index (Annual) (March):Expectation: 2.6% | Previous: 2.8%Energy Information Administration Crude Oil Inventories:Expectation: -0.600M | Previous: 0.244MGlobal MarketsUS stock indices closed higher following optimistic statements on tariffs by Commerce Secretary Lutnick, marking the sixth consecutive positive trading day. The S&P 500 rose by 0.58%, the Dow Jones by 0.75%, and the Nasdaq by 0.55%. All sectors in the S&P 500, except for energy, closed in positive territory. The strongest performing sectors were financials (0.97%), materials (0.92%), consumer staples (0.77%), and real estate (0.74%).On the economic data front, a weak outlook persisted. The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index fell from 93.9 in April to 86.0, reaching its lowest level in five years. The expectation was 87.7. The expectations index dropped by 12.5 points to 54.4, the lowest since October 2011, remaining below the 80-point level considered a recession indicator for the third consecutive month. The current conditions index declined to 133.5, while consumers' 12-month inflation expectations rose from 6% to 7%, the highest since November 2022. The JOLTS job openings data came in at 7.19 million, below the expectation of 7.49 million, marking the lowest level in four years. The housing price index also recorded a lower-than-expected increase.Asian markets showed mixed trends, while European markets are expected to start the day flat. Today, US markets will focus on Q1 GDP data, PCE inflation data, and ADP private sector employment data.Most Valuable Companies and Stock PricesApple (AAPL) → Market Cap: $3.17T, Share Price: $211.21, ▲ 0.51%Microsoft (MSFT) → Market Cap: $2.93T, Share Price: $394.04, ▲ 0.74%NVIDIA (NVDA) → Market Cap: $2.66T, Share Price: $109.02, ▲ 0.27%Amazon (AMZN) → Market Cap: $1.99T, Share Price: $187.39, ▼ 0.17%Alphabet (GOOG) → Market Cap: $1.95T, Share Price: $162.06, ▼ 0.22%Borsa IstanbulA weak outlook and capital outflows continue in Borsa Istanbul. Yesterday, the BIST 100 index fell below the 9,250 support level, with technical indicators showing clear sell signals. This decline positions the 9,000 – 9,100 range as the next support area. On the upside, the 9,250 – 9,300 band now serves as resistance. Given that today is the last trading day of April, the closing of arbitrage positions in VIOP share contracts and the stock market may create additional selling pressure on BIST.The Central Bank's weighted average funding cost (WAFC) remains close to 49%. Q1 financial results have generally been weak, though some stocks like ASELS and TABGD have shown positive performance. However, the expected strong outlook for the earnings season has not been achieved. Today's agenda includes Koç Holding (KCHOL) financial results, domestic foreign trade data, growth data in Europe, and employment, housing, and consumption-focused data in the US.Turkey's 5-year CDS premium has risen to 362 basis points, showing an upward trend contrary to the average of emerging markets. This indicates an increased risk perception specific to TL assets and the continuation of foreign sales in BIST.The unemployment rate fell to 7.9% in March, seasonally adjusted, reaching the lowest level in the series. However, the underemployment rate increased over the past three months, reaching 28.8%, the highest since June 2023. The labor force participation rate stood at 53.4%. The Economic Confidence Index for April decreased by 4.2% monthly to 96.6, marking the sharpest decline since August 2023. The subcomponents of the index indicate weakened expectations on both the consumer and producer sides.Yesterday, sales in aviation stocks determined the direction of the index, and the BIST 100 closed the day with a 0.9% loss. Generally weak earnings and rising interest rates are increasing pressure on the index. A selling trend is expected to continue in Borsa Istanbul today.The BIST 100 index fell to 9,217 yesterday before closing at 9,225. The 9,221 level is being monitored as short-term support, while the 9,044 – 8,870 range serves as a stronger support area due to previous lows. As long as the index stays above this region, rebound buying may occur. Otherwise, a stronger decline towards the 8,618 – 8,500 band could be experienced. On the upside, the 9,494 – 9,594 band stands out as near-term resistance. If this band is surpassed, movement towards the 9,740 – 9,895 range may be seen. Support levels for BIST 100: 9,221 – 9,044 – 8,870 – 8,725 – 8,618; resistance levels: 9,494 – 9,594 – 9,740 – 9,895 – 9,953.Most Valuable Companies in Borsa Istanbul (According to Visual Data):QNB Finansbank (QNBTR) → Market Cap: 938 billion TL, Share Price: 270.50 TL, ▼ 3.39%Aselsan Elektronik Sanayi (ASELS) → Market Cap: 626.54 billion TL, Share Price: 132.90 TL, ▼ 3.28%Türkiye Garanti Bankası (GARAN) → Market Cap: 430.08 billion TL, Share Price: 101.70 TL, ▼ 0.68%Türk Hava Yolları (THYAO) → Market Cap: 410.89 billion TL, Share Price: 289.00 TL, ▼ 2.94%ENKA İnşaat ve Sanayi (ENKAI) → Market Cap: 373.11 billion TL, Share Price: 63.80 TL, ▲ 0.24%Precious Metals and Exchange RatesGold: 4091 TLSilver: 39.97 TLPlatinum: 1201 TLUSD: 38.50EURO: 43.90
South Korea Set to Take Major Steps in the Digital Asset SpaceAhead of the early presidential elections scheduled for June 3, the ruling People Power Party (PPP) has unveiled reform plans aimed at energizing the crypto market.Single Bank Requirement to Be RemovedThe PPP intends to remove the current rule that allows crypto exchanges to operate with only one bank.The new regulation would enable exchanges to partner with multiple banks, a move expected to increase investor access and boost competition.Legal Framework for Spot Crypto ETFsOne of the most notable pledges: Spot Bitcoin and altcoin ETFs are expected to become legally approved within this year.The PPP argues that such products would offer a safe entry point for institutional investors.Citing the growing interest in the U.S., the party believes South Korea must not fall further behind in this area.Digital Assets Promotion Act in the WorksThe PPP also plans to introduce a new legislative framework titled the “Basic Act for the Promotion of Digital Assets.”Key goals include:Clarifying listing criteriaStrengthening transparency regulationsCreating a legal foundation for security tokens (STOs)Ensuring international compliance for stablecoinsA special Digital Assets Committee, directly reporting to the president, is also under consideration to oversee the entire process.Crypto Policies Take Center Stage in Election CampaignPPP’s presidential candidate Hong Joon-pyo is campaigning on a promise to liberalize crypto regulations.He drew attention with his statement: “We will roll back regulations just like the Trump administration did.”Crypto is now not only an economic issue but a central theme in the broader political message.Parallel Announcements from RegulatorsThe Financial Services Commission (FSC) is also preparing new regulations.In January, it was announced that restrictions on institutional investors' crypto activities would be eased.The upcoming regulations will cover areas such as stablecoins, listing rules, and market transparency.Digital Transformation to Be Shaped by Election OutcomeSouth Korea is entering a new phase in crypto reform.With spot ETFs, flexible banking rules, and legal frameworks, the country could become one of Asia’s leading crypto hubs.However, the future of this transformation hinges on the election outcome.If the PPP wins, reforms could be implemented rapidly — the opposition’s stance, however, remains unclear.
You can find today’s “Daily Market with JrKripto” article below, where we compiled the most important developments in global and local markets. Let’s analyze the general market conditions together and take a look at the latest evaluations.Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading at $94,700. The price has strongly continued the upward trend that started from the $75,930 support level and has now surpassed the $94,000 levels. Currently hovering near the $95,000 – $96,000resistance zone, a breakout from this region could bring $101,000 into focus. However, if profit-taking occurs around $95,000, the first support lies at $90,500. If this level is broken downward, $86,500 will be the next support level to watch.Ethereum (ETH) is trading at $1,824. The price continues its recovery that began from the $1,486 support. If the upward movement continues from the current level, the resistance levels to watch will be $1,888, followed by $1,950. On possible pullbacks, $1,790 will act as the first defense level. If that level fails, $1,700 will be the stronger support. To maintain the uptrend in ETH, staying above $1,790 is important.Crypto NewsCircle ($USDC) received approval to operate as a money services provider in Abu Dhabi, UAE.South Korea plans to approve spot crypto ETF trading later this year.Arizona became the first U.S. state to pass a $BTC reserve bill allowing 10% of public funds to be invested in virtual assets like Bitcoin. The bill now awaits Democratic Governor Katie Hobbs’ signature to become law.Standard Chartered predicts a new all-time high (ATH) for Bitcoin in Q2.U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent says the first trade deal may be finalized this week or next.MicroStrategy purchased 15,355 BTC.Tether minted $1 billion in USDT.Top Gainers in Cryptocurrencies:SAFE → up 27.9%, now at $0.5898LAYER → up 15.0%, now at $3.12BABY → up 10.8%, now at $0.0926VIRTUAL → up 10.3%, now at $1.44MOCA → up 8.3%, now at $0.0968Top Losers:POPCAT → down 14.6%, now at $0.3684DEEP → down 11.1%, now at $0.2071WIF → down 10.3%, now at $0.5922TRUMP → down 9.7%, now at $13.75KAITO → down 9.6%, now at $0.9009Other Metrics:Fear Index:Bitcoin: 58Ethereum: 49Dominance:Bitcoin: 64.23% ▼ -0.25%Ethereum: 7.51% ▲ +1.25%Daily Total Net ETF Inflows:BTC ETFs: $591.20 millionETH ETFs: $64.10 millionData to Watch Today:Conference Board (CB) Consumer Confidence (April): Forecast: 87.7 | Previous: 92.9Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) (March): Forecast: 7.490M | Previous: 7.568MGlobal MarketsU.S. stock markets started the week positively with a heavy flow of economic data and earnings reports but couldn’t maintain gains and ended the day flat.S&P 500: +0.06%Dow Jones: +0.28%Nasdaq: -0.10%8 out of 11 major sectors closed in the green. The top performers were:Infrastructure: +0.70%Real Estate: +0.68%Energy: +0.63%Sectors underperforming included:Technology: -0.30%Consumer Staples & Discretionary: -0.15% eachEuropean markets also ended the day mostly flat to slightly positive.Today, company earnings will be the focus, especially from Visa, Coca-Cola, Spotify, and Mondelez, which will be key in assessing consumer trends and corporate outlooks.On the data side, the U.S. will release:Consumer confidenceJOLTS (Job openings)Trade balanceHousing pricesIn March, the trade deficit fell by $7.7B to $147.9B. JOLTS showed open jobs declined by 194K to 7.57M, with a hiring rate of 3.4%. Layoff and quit rates were stable at 1.1% and 2.0%, respectively.ECB will release March inflation expectations today. Asian markets showed mixed performance, while European indexes are expected to open higher.Most Valuable Companies & Stock PricesApple (AAPL) → $3.16T market cap, $210.14/share, ▲ 0.41%Microsoft (MSFT) → $2.91T, $391.16/share, ▼ 0.18%NVIDIA (NVDA) → $2.65T, $108.73/share, ▼ 2.05%Amazon (AMZN) → $1.99T, $187.70/share, ▼ 0.68%Alphabet (GOOG) → $1.97T, $162.42/share, ▼ 0.87%Borsa Istanbul (BIST)Rising interest rates, weak earnings, and ongoing risks have kept the BIST 100 index tightly ranged between 9250–9500for nearly a month.Yesterday, the index dropped 1.3%, closing at 9307, with banking stocks falling 3.2%, diverging negatively.Technical levels to watch:Support: 9250 → 9100/9000 → 8870/8618Resistance: 9390 → 9500 → 9580 → if broken, a move to 9740–9895 is possibleUpcoming Turkish data:March unemployment rateApril economic confidence index (previous: 100.8, decline expected)CDS risk premium started the day at 357 bps.Both technical and fundamental indicators suggest staying cautious on BIST.Top Companies by Market Cap in BISTQNB Finansbank (QNBTR) → ₺927.95B, ₺281.00/share, ▲ 1.44%Aselsan (ASELS) → ₺632.02B, ₺138.20/share, ▼ 0.29%Turkish Airlines (THYAO) → ₺431.60B, ₺301.75/share, ▼ 3.52%Garanti Bank (GARAN) → ₺425.46B, ₺101.90/share, ▲ 0.59%ENKA (ENKAI) → ₺376.33B, ₺63.55/share, ▼ 1.01%Precious Metals & FXGold: ₺4,086Silver: ₺41.18Platinum: ₺1,227USD/TRY: ₺38.43EUR/TRY: ₺43.82Looking forward to seeing you again tomorrow with the latest updates!
A New Era in U.S. Trade Policy: Deal with India Expected SoonA new chapter in U.S. trade policy is unfolding. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced that a trade agreement with India could be finalized as early as next week.Bessent’s remarks signal that Washington is now pursuing a more aggressive trade strategy in the Asian market.Rapid Progress with India, Japan, and South KoreaBessent noted that significant progress is being made not only with India but also in ongoing trade talks with Japan and South Korea.These developments highlight the swift implementation of the U.S. strategy to expand its trade network across Asia and reduce economic dependence on China.A potential deal with India, in particular, could elevate economic cooperation between the world's two largest democracies to an unprecedented level.Negotiations with China: A Tough Road AheadHowever, the same level of success has yet to be achieved in negotiations with China.Bessent emphasized that China must take more concrete steps, warning that the current state of trade tensions is unsustainable.He stressed that efforts to ease tensions would require China to adopt a more constructive attitude.The slow pace of talks with China has led the U.S. to place greater emphasis on strengthening economic partnerships elsewhere in the Indo-Pacific region.Critical White House Press Conference ScheduledThe White House has announced that Scott Bessent will hold a press conference on April 29, 2025.During the event, Bessent is expected to share key details about the potential trade agreement with India, steps regarding tariff adjustments, and the broader outline of America’s new trade strategies.Although the official agenda has not yet been released, the press conference is anticipated to deliver crucial messages concerning U.S. policies in Asia and global trade dynamics.The U.S. Pursues a New Balance in Trade StrategyBessent’s statements suggest a shift toward a more pragmatic and results-oriented U.S. trade policy.While aiming for quick, tangible gains with partners like India, Japan, and South Korea, Washington appears to be adopting a more patient and strategic approach toward China.This strategy is likely to have not only economic but also geopolitical consequences.The future of U.S.-China tensions will impact not just bilateral relations but also the stability of global financial markets.A New Trade Push in Asia BeginsAs the U.S. accelerates its trade initiatives in the Indo-Pacific region, it is preparing to take a more cautious stance with China.Scott Bessent’s comments are a strong indication that major developments in international trade may unfold in the coming weeks.The details of the potential agreement with India — and how negotiations with China evolve — will be among the key forces shaping the future of the global economy.
China Denies Trump’s Claims of Progress on Trade TalksRecent statements from U.S. President Donald Trump regarding progress in trade negotiations with China have been swiftly and firmly denied by Beijing.At a press conference on April 28, 2025, Chinese Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Guo Jiakun announced that there had been no recent phone calls or tariff negotiations between the two countries.China’s Firm Response: “Threats Will Not Solve Anything”Guo Jiakun accused the Trump administration of trying to exert pressure through threats and misinformation.“If the U.S. truly seeks a resolution, it must abandon the language of threats and demonstrate a willingness to negotiate,” Guo said.China’s comments came in response to Trump’s recent interview with Time magazine, where he claimed to have spoken directly with Chinese President Xi Jinping and suggested that the two sides were close to a tariff agreement.Beijing, however, categorically rejected these claims, labeling them as attempts to mislead the public and clarified that no new negotiation process has been initiated.Trump’s Claims vs. RealityPresident Trump recently announced that the U.S. had raised tariffs on Chinese imports to 145%, claiming it was benefiting the American economy.However, China strongly refuted Trump’s assertions, emphasizing that no new negotiations concerning tariffs are currently underway.The conflicting narratives underscore that a resolution to the long-running U.S.-China trade war remains a distant prospect.Mounting Pressures on the Global EconomyThe ongoing trade tensions between the U.S. and China continue to disrupt global economic stability.Tariffs exceeding 100% on both sides have led to increased costs across numerous industries and caused significant supply chain disruptions.According to a recent Reuters report, China has temporarily exempted certain critical U.S. imports from the steep 125% tariffs.Nevertheless, broader economic relations remain strained, with Chinese officials warning that U.S.-imposed tariffs are jeopardizing the fragile global economic recovery.Trust Is Low, But Hope Remains in Trade TalksChina’s firm stance highlights the fragile state of trust between the two nations.The deep divide between Trump’s aggressive tariff policies and China’s rebuttals suggests that tensions could escalate further in the near future.However, the fact that both sides are publicly acknowledging the seriousness of the situation may eventually lay the groundwork for more stable and reliable negotiations.The coming weeks will be critical — positive steps from both parties could gradually reduce uncertainty and bring much-needed stability to global markets.
US President Donald Trump expects a trade deal with China in the next three to four weekshe explained that he was waiting for the result. However, the Chinese government quickly denied these statements, denying,he announced that no negotiations were held with the United States on customs duties. Thus twothe ongoing trade tension between the countries has gained a new dimension.Dec.US Claims and China's ReactionPresident Trump said in an interview with Time magazine that he had met with Chinese President Xi Jinping andhe said that trade negotiations will be concluded soon. Also imported from Chinastating that they have increased the customs duties they apply to products to 145%, Trump said that this policyHe argued that it reflected positively on the US economy.The Chinese Foreign Ministry, on the other hand, rejected Trump's claims. In the official statement made, with the USAit was stated that no negotiations were conducted on customs duties. China also includes the United Stateswhile inviting the public to refrain from misinformation, we believe that unilateral tariff increaseshe stressed that it had a negative impact on the negotiations.Both Countries Have Turned to Partial ExemptionsThe US has recently temporarily imposed duties on some technology products imported from Chinahe suspended it. Smartphones and computers stand out Decently among these products. But in the general frameworkthe application of high customs duties continues.In October, China imposed additional duties of 125% on some products imported from the United States in responsehe is considering temporarily removing it. This move is an attempt to relieve economic pressureit is being interpreted. USA and China The Global Economy Is Under PressureThe uncertainty created by the trade war between the United States and China continues to affect global markets Decis doing. While investors are being more cautious in this uncertain environment, cost increases in many sectorsand supply chain disruptions are happening. The International Monetary Fund (IMF), on the other hand, by making a call to the leaders,he noted that trade tensions should be resolved quickly, and if the process is prolonged, the globalhe warned that economic growth would suffer.The Uncertainty ContinuesThe future of trade negotiations between the US and China remains uncertain. Dec. Trump's dealdespite the recent statements, the harsh Decrees from China indicate that the tension between the two countries is shortit may be a sign that the term will not end. Investors and the business world are taking these critical developmentswatching closely, he is waiting for when and how the tension will be resolved.
US President Donald Trump has called for interest rate cuts again to accelerate economic growth. Describing Fed Chairman Jerome Powell as a "big loser," Trump argued that if interest rates are not cut immediately, the economy could slow down. According to Trump, now is the time for quantitative easing.What is Trump Saying?Trump lashed out at Fed Chairman Powell in his latest statement with very harsh terms. Reminding us that the European Central Bank has cut interest rates seven times this year, he claimed that the US is lagging behind. Trump, who particularly implies that interest rate moves made during election periods have political purposes, has the following prominent messages:Things are going well in customs negotiations.The US will make a lot of money from this process.Inflation is under control and is almost at zero.Interest rate cuts have now become inevitable.How Will Quantitative Easing Affect the Market?Trump's call for a rate cut actually sends a clear signal to the markets: Quantitative easing. Such policies usually mean more liquidity in the markets. As a result:It may create effects such asUpward movements in stock markets,Increase in demand for risky assets,A new wave of rise in cryptocurrencies. This call, especially made at a time when the US is entering an election atmosphere, may signal an early bull period to the markets.Will the Fed Respond to Trump's Call?The Fed, chaired by Jerome Powell, has been taking cautious and careful steps recently. However, with the permanent decline in inflation and signals of a possible slowdown in economic growth, it may open the door to interest rate cuts. These statements by Trump will increase public pressure on the Fed.Is It the Beginning of a New Era for the Markets?Trump's interest rate cut request means much more than a political statement. The desire for monetary expansion behind this call may bring a positive atmosphere to the markets. However, the response the Fed will give will be the most critical factor in determining how financial markets will shape in the coming period.
The long-running trade war between the United States and China has reached a new flashpoint in the spring of 2025. Following U.S. President Donald Trump’s decision to raise tariffs on Chinese goods to a staggering 145%, Beijing has responded with retaliatory measures. As of April 12, 2025, China announced it will increase tariffs on U.S. imports to 125%.A New Wave of Tension Between Two Global PowersLast week, President Trump accused China of continuing to "exploit" the U.S. economy and announced sweeping tariff hikes. The newly announced 125% tariff, when combined with an earlier 20% penalty tied to fentanyl-related imports, brings the total tariff burden to 145%.In a statement on social media, Trump said, “Hopefully China will now realize that exploiting the United States and other nations is unsustainable.” He also noted that additional tariffs on other countries have been temporarily suspended for 90 days, during which over 75 countries have reportedly entered talks for new trade deals with the U.S.China Hits Back: “These Policies Lack Economic Credibility”China wasted no time in issuing a forceful response. The Ministry of Finance criticized Washington’s actions, stating that such trade moves are “economically irrational” and “will be remembered as a joke in the history books.”The Chinese Ministry of Commerce confirmed the tariff increase on U.S. goods from 84% to 125%, effective April 12. The official statement warned, “If the U.S. continues to blatantly violate China’s interests, we will not hesitate to take stronger measures.”President Xi Jinping: “China Will Not Bow—Our Strength Comes from Within”Speaking publicly for the first time on the issue, Chinese President Xi Jinping addressed the trade dispute during a meeting with Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez. “China has never relied on the mercy of other nations. The more pressure we face, the stronger we become,” Xi said. He also called on the European Union to unite in defending global economic stability and resisting unilateral coercion.How Are Global Markets Reacting?Although Asian markets initially responded with optimism, financial experts warn that prolonged trade tensions could significantly increase the risk of a global recession.Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan also weighed in with a striking statement: “A storm is coming that will affect everyone, large or small. The deeply rooted global system is cracking at its core,” he said, highlighting the potential for widespread economic disruption.Are We Entering a New Era of Global Trade?The U.S.-China trade conflict has clearly entered a new phase. These escalating measures are not just about economics—they’re reshaping international alliances, diplomatic relations, and global market dynamics.While the future of this economic showdown remains uncertain, one thing is clear: this trade war may play a defining role in the future of the global economy.
Digital assets are steadily carving out a more prominent place within the global financial system—and the latest spotlight is on the northeastern U.S. state of New Hampshire. In a historic move, the state’s House of Representatives has approved a groundbreaking bill that would allow public funds to be invested in Bitcoin and precious metals. Known as HB302, the bill passed on April 10, 2025, with 192 votes in favor. All eyes are now on its fate in the state Senate.Bitcoin in Public Funds: A First in the MakingIf HB302 passes the Senate and receives the governor’s signature, New Hampshire could become one of the first U.S. states to officially recognize Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset. This isn’t just a symbolic gesture—it’s a powerful indication that digital assets are gaining legitimacy in the realm of public finance.The bill allows up to 5% of the state’s general fund to be allocated toward “qualified assets,” a category that includes traditional commodities like gold and silver, as well as digital assets with a market capitalization exceeding $500 billion. At present, Bitcoin is the only digital asset that meets this threshold.What Does It Mean?New Hampshire’s annual budget stands at approximately $3.6 billion. Should the bill be enacted, up to $181 million in public funds could be directed toward Bitcoin and precious metals. Based on current prices, this amount could translate to a potential acquisition of around 2,269 BTC—a striking figure for a government institution.Other U.S. States Are Moving TooNew Hampshire’s initiative is part of a broader national trend as more U.S. states begin to explore digital assets as part of their fiscal strategies. Here’s a snapshot of what other states are doing:Texas has already passed a Senate bill allowing public fund investments in Bitcoin.Florida has introduced similar legislation in its state House.Arizona is considering allocating up to 10% of its funds to Bitcoin.Oklahoma is drafting a strategic reserve bill.Minnesota and Kentucky are working on proposals that include investment permissions and tax incentives.Maryland is exploring a plan to build Bitcoin reserves using gaming revenue.These developments suggest that digital assets are no longer just tools for individuals or private companies—they're becoming recognized as legitimate instruments for public financial management.A New Era for Government Finance?New Hampshire’s move could signal a major shift in how governments manage their finances. As states look to diversify portfolios, hedge against inflation, and enhance economic resilience, Bitcoin and other digital assets are emerging as viable options.Whether this will inspire similar moves from other U.S. states—or even from governments abroad—remains to be seen. But one thing is clear: Bitcoin is no longer confined to the private sector. It’s officially on the public policy agenda.Are We on the Brink of a New Financial Era?What’s unfolding in New Hampshire reflects a broader trend: cryptocurrencies are moving beyond the realm of experimentation and into the domain of policymaking. If this process moves forward smoothly, it may only be the beginning.Governments are starting to recognize and embrace the opportunities brought by the digital age. As digital assets become more embedded in financial governance, we may be witnessing the dawn of a new era in public finance.
