Fidelity Investments, one of the world’s largest asset managers, has published a striking analysis on the cryptocurrency markets. The giant investment company, which manages nearly $5 trillion in assets, predicts that Bitcoin could reach an all-time high before the end of 2025.
This forecast is based on technical and macro analyses conducted by the company’s digital asset research unit. According to Fidelity, the market is currently in a critical phase known as the “acceleration stage,” where the upward potential is strengthening.
Bitcoin Is Approaching the Peak of This Cycle
Fidelity’s analysis draws attention to the effects of the strong upward trend that began in late 2024. Bitcoin has surpassed $100,000 and set historical records due to increasing institutional demand for spot ETFs and new capital entering the markets.
This momentum is expected to continue until the second half of 2025. The firm states that it is highly likely the price will reach new highs.
Pay Attention to Expansionary Policies
Fidelity’s Global Macro Director Jurrien Timmer stated that current macroeconomic conditions are extremely favorable for digital assets with limited supply such as Bitcoin. Particularly during this period when the U.S. Federal Reserve is signaling interest rate cuts and expansionary fiscal policies are continuing, demand for Bitcoin is expected to strengthen further.
The fact that inflation continues to remain above expectations increases interest in alternative stores of value. At this point, Bitcoin stands out especially for long-term investors.
Fidelity’s Long-Term Bitcoin Strategy
Chris Kuiper, research director of Fidelity Digital Assets, says investors should approach Bitcoin with a long-term perspective. According to Kuiper, higher price volatility and aggressive rallies may be seen in the second half of bull markets.
Therefore, it is emphasized that investors should adopt strategies based on risk management, regularly rebalance their portfolios, and be prepared not only for upside expectations but also for potential volatility.
$1 Million by 2040?
Fidelity’s most striking prediction is for the long term: The company estimates that Bitcoin could reach $1 million between the years 2038 and 2040. This view is based on Metcalfe’s Law, which states that the value of a network is proportional to the square of the number of its users.
Fidelity argues that if the Bitcoin network continues to grow and adoption increases on a global scale, the price could rise proportionally as well.
Summary in Brief Notes
- According to Fidelity, Bitcoin may reach new record levels within this market cycle.
- Increasing demand for spot ETFs and institutional investor interest supports this forecast.
- Macroeconomically, a low interest rate environment and inflation pressure create a positive ground for BTC.
- In the long term, a $1 million level for Bitcoin is being mentioned.
- Long-term strategy and risk management are recommended to investors.
