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Standard Chartered’s Ethereum Analysis: $40,000 Target

Standard Chartered’s Ethereum Analysis: $40,000 Target

<p class="text-left mb-4 ">Standard Chartered Bank argues that Ethereum’s sharp price decline in recent months has fallen far behind what on-chain data suggests. The bank compares ETH’s current situation to Amazon stock during the 2001 dot-com crash.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">Geoffrey Kendrick, Global Head of Digital Assets Research at Standard Chartered, referred to a 2018 speech by Jeff Bezos in a report shared on Thursday. Bezos had said that Amazon’s stock fell from $113 to $6 at the time, while the company’s internal metrics continued to improve throughout the same period. Kendrick makes the same point for ETH: the price is falling, but what is happening in the background has little to do with that.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">“AMZN stock has risen 1,000x from its 2001 lows on a split-adjusted basis. ETH will also catch up with its internal metrics sooner or later. It is only a matter of timing,” Kendrick said.</p><h2 class="text-left text-foreground text-3xl font-bold mb-3 mt-1">Transaction volume and TVL hit records despite price decline</h2><p class="text-left mb-4 ">ETH has lost around 57% of its value since its August 2025 peak and is currently trading around $2,000. The ETH/BTC ratio has also declined by 37% over the same period. However, Ethereum’s transaction count and total value locked (TVL) measured in ETH remain close to all-time highs. In other words, the network is being used; the price is simply masking that activity.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">According to Kendrick, this divergence is not permanent. Strong metrics will eventually be reflected in the price. The bank maintains its targets of $4,000 by the end of 2026 and $40,000 by the end of 2030. It also expects the ETH/BTC ratio to move back toward its 2021 highs, near the 0.08 level, by the end of this decade.</p><h2 class="text-left text-foreground text-3xl font-bold mb-3 mt-1">Stablecoin and RWA growth could support Ethereum</h2><p class="text-left mb-4 ">At the center of Kendrick’s bullish scenario are stablecoins and the growth of real-world asset (RWA) tokenization.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">Currently, 54% of all stablecoins are on Ethereum. Since the beginning of 2026, one-third of Ethereum transactions have consisted of stablecoin transfers, while 60% of gross TVL also falls into this category. The bank forecasts that the total stablecoin market cap could rise from the current $321 billion to around $2 trillion by the end of 2028, representing sixfold growth. Such expansion would also proportionally increase Ethereum’s weight within the ecosystem.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">The picture is even more striking on the tokenized RWA side. Ethereum accounts for 62% of non-stablecoin RWAs and 68% of active on-chain credit. Kendrick expects this sector to grow 50x by the end of 2028 and reach $2 trillion. “If RWAs multiply as we expect, the importance of this sector for Ethereum will become much more visible. Transaction counts and TVL will continue to break records, which will push the price higher,” he said.</p><h2 class="text-left text-foreground text-3xl font-bold mb-3 mt-1">Ethereum Economic Zone and regulatory groundwork</h2><p class="text-left mb-4 ">Kendrick also sees the upcoming Ethereum Economic Zone (EEZ) project as an important catalyst. EEZ is expected to allow assets to move more freely across the Ethereum ecosystem and reduce composability problems between protocols. It is also expected to reduce reliance on bridges, which have historically been vulnerable to cyberattacks. This could mark a step forward in both security and usability.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">On the regulatory front, progress on the Clarity Act in the United States, the crypto market structure bill, also stands out. Kendrick believes a clearer legal framework would support decentralized finance (DeFi) growth and Ethereum activity.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">In short, the picture is clear: the Ethereum network has become an infrastructure capable of carrying transactions and value at this scale. The price has not yet reflected this. Standard Chartered believes it is only a matter of time before this divergence closes. Here's <a href="https://jrkripto.com/tr/coin/eth" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer" class="text-primary underline">Ethereum's </a>current price:</p><p class="text-left mb-4 "> <figure class="my-6"> <img src="https://minio-api-1.jrkripto.com/blog/ethusdt-2026-05-28-17-35-44-453dd6e4.webp" alt="ETHUSDT_2026-05-28_17-35-44.png" width="auto" height="auto" class="w-full rounded-lg border" /> </figure> </p>

28 May 2026
VanEck’s Tokenized U.S. Treasury Fund Goes Live on Euler

VanEck’s Tokenized U.S. Treasury Fund Goes Live on Euler

<p class="text-left mb-4 ">VanEck’s tokenized U.S. Treasury fund, VBILL, has gone live on the Euler lending platform. Securitize, which issues the fund and provides its tokenization infrastructure, announced on Thursday that the product is now available across Euler’s lending markets.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">Investors can now use tokenized Treasury bills as on-chain collateral to borrow and deploy liquidity elsewhere. Compliance restrictions remain in place throughout the process.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">The tokenized Treasury market has gained strong momentum in recent months. According to RWA.xyz data, total assets in this segment have surpassed $15 billion, marking growth of around 150% over the past year. Major asset managers such as BlackRock, Franklin Templeton and Janus Henderson have already launched Treasury and money market products for institutional investors seeking on-chain yield.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">So how large can this market become? Standard Chartered expects tokenized assets to reach $2 trillion by 2028. A joint projection from BCG and Ripple points to $18.9 trillion by 2033.</p><h2 class="text-left text-foreground text-3xl font-bold mb-3 mt-1">DeFi Protocols Open the Door to Institutional Capital</h2><p class="text-left mb-4 ">Euler initially operated as a fully permissionless lending protocol. Earlier this year, the platform began shifting toward institutional use cases. Euler, which currently holds more than $320 million in assets, has integrated Securitize’s DS Protocol into its system. This integration allows tokenized securities to interact with lending markets while preserving investor eligibility requirements and transfer restrictions. Price data for VBILL is provided through RedStone oracles.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">Rival platform Aave has followed a similar path. Aave launched Horizon, a real-world asset platform focused on institutional borrowers and tokenized collateral.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">Graham Ferguson, head of ecosystem at Securitize, commented on the development: “There are now protocols that are eager to integrate permissioned assets. That wasn’t really the case before.”</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">According to Ferguson, the main issue is balancing crypto’s open infrastructure with the compliance expectations of traditional financial institutions. As serious institutional investors enter the space, they need certain protection and permission structures they are already familiar with. “DeFi protocols are finally realizing that if they want to attract this capital, they need to change the way they operate,” Ferguson said.</p><h2 class="text-left text-foreground text-3xl font-bold mb-3 mt-1">The Structure Is Changing</h2><p class="text-left mb-4 ">The VBILL-Euler integration is part of a broader trend in which DeFi protocols originally designed for permissionless crypto assets are making architectural adjustments to open the door to the institutional world. For institutional investors seeking yield-bearing on-chain collateral, tokenized Treasury bills have become an attractive option. Yet this interest is also forcing DeFi to confront a fundamental tension: openness or compliance?</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">For now, platforms such as Euler and Aave appear to be answering that question with both. They are reshaping their infrastructure to support permissioned assets, but how this will affect protocol architecture and the principle of decentralization in the long run remains unclear.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">In contrast to the VanEck development, the <a href="https://jrkripto.com/tr/coin/eul" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer" class="text-primary underline">EUL price</a> is declining. Bitcoin fell below $73,000 in the early hours of the morning, starting the day under pressure. Most altcoins were also affected by this move. EUL lost 10.27% in the past 24 hours and traded in the $1.14–$1.35 range. Despite the positive atmosphere created by the news, the token could not escape the broader market pressure.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 "> <figure class="my-6"> <img src="https://minio-api-1.jrkripto.com/blog/eulusdt-2026-05-28-15-46-08-d3a4f3a1.webp" alt="EULUSDT_2026-05-28_15-46-08.png" width="auto" height="auto" class="w-full rounded-lg border" /> </figure> </p>

28 May 2026
$733 Million Exits in One Day: Three Forces Dragging Bitcoin Lower

$733 Million Exits in One Day: Three Forces Dragging Bitcoin Lower

<p class="text-left mb-4 ">Bitcoin fell below $73,000 between Wednesday night and Thursday, as U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded their largest daily outflow in recent months and macroeconomic pressure showed little sign of easing.</p><h2 class="text-left text-foreground text-3xl font-bold mb-3 mt-1">Bitcoin Drops 3.6%</h2><p class="text-left mb-4 ">According to market data, <a href="https://jrkripto.com/tr/coin/btc" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer" class="text-primary underline">Bitcoin </a>fell 3.6% over the past 24 hours to $72,842. Ethereum dropped 4.8% to $1,974. XRP and Solana also took a hit, each losing around 3.5%.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 "> <figure class="my-6"> <img src="https://minio-api-1.jrkripto.com/blog/btcusdt-2026-05-28-13-55-50-051ec99e.webp" alt="BTCUSDT_2026-05-28_13-55-50.png" width="auto" height="auto" class="w-full rounded-lg border" /> </figure> </p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">Nick Ruck, director at LVRG Research, described the situation as a combination of profit-taking after recent highs, rising U.S. Treasury yields and macro caution fueled by geopolitical developments. Together, these factors pushed markets into risk-off mode.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">Zeus Research analyst Dominick John pointed to another side of the decline. According to John, institutional capital shifting into traditional equity markets, along with heavy derivatives liquidations triggered after key BTC and ETH levels were broken, helped drag prices lower. He also said geopolitical uncertainty kept investors defensive and weakened dip-buying.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">Peter Chung, head of research at Presto Research, said Bitcoin has shown an “unusual trading pattern” since mid-May. After trading above $80,000, the price gradually weakened over the past two weeks and underperformed both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq during that period. Chung linked this weakness directly to spot Bitcoin ETF outflows, noting that weekly redemptions reached levels seen during the October 2025 and February 2026 corrections.</p><h2 class="text-left text-foreground text-3xl font-bold mb-3 mt-1">BlackRock’s IBIT Sees Its Second-Largest Outflow Ever</h2><p class="text-left mb-4 ">On Wednesday, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw a total net outflow of $733.4 million. According to SoSoValue data, this was the highest daily outflow recorded since January 29.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">The most striking figure came from BlackRock’s IBIT. The fund saw $527.8 million in net outflows, marking its second-largest daily exit since launch. Grayscale’s GBTC followed with $104.8 million in outflows. Four ETFs managed by Grayscale, Fidelity, Bitwise and Ark & 21Shares also closed the day with negative flows. The only fund to end the day in positive territory was Morgan Stanley’s MSBT, which recorded just $4.3 million in inflows.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">John said most of the outflows were driven by the unwinding of arbitrage basis trades and institutional risk-reduction strategies. In IBIT’s case, a large block trade from the previous day also comes into focus. Bloomberg senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas said that on Tuesday, a block trade involving 29.2 million IBIT shares, worth around $1.3 billion, took place. That transaction pushed total Bitcoin ETF volume on Tuesday to $4.4 billion, the highest daily volume since April 17.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">Ruck said investors are closely watching ETF flow momentum and support levels around $70,000. Continued outflows could signal that institutional capital is moving away from the crypto market.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">Asian markets also opened lower on Thursday morning. Renewed attacks between the U.S. and Iran, which threatened a fragile ceasefire, sent Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index down 1.9% and Japan’s Nikkei 225 down 1.25%.</p><h2 class="text-left text-foreground text-3xl font-bold mb-3 mt-1">Treasury Operations Could Add More Pressure</h2><p class="text-left mb-4 ">Another warning has now been added to the bearish market backdrop. Michael Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management, expects upcoming U.S. Treasury bond and bill operations to drain roughly $150 billion in liquidity from the financial system.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">“In my experience, Bitcoin gives a more reliable signal as a liquidity indicator than most instruments. If Treasury payments drain liquidity, Bitcoin could move much lower,” Kramer said.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">The logic behind Treasury bond and bill sales works like this: newly issued securities pull cash from investors, and that money is transferred into the Treasury’s account at the Federal Reserve. As a result, a significant amount of liquidity is withdrawn from the banking system, reducing the free cash available for other investments.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">According to Kramer’s calculations, Treasury operations between May 28 and June 5 are lined up as follows: $15 billion in short-term bill payments on Thursday, $47 billion in coupon-bearing bond payments on Friday, $68 billion on Monday, $16 billion on Tuesday and an additional bill payment estimated between $5 billion and $15 billion on June 4.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">The first signs of this pressure have already appeared in prices. Bitcoin has fallen around 11% from this month’s peak above $82,500 and has lost the critical support level near $75,000. Kramer sees this breakdown as a clear sign that liquidity conditions are tightening.</p>

28 May 2026
Mastercard Secures Crypto License in New York

Mastercard Secures Crypto License in New York

<p class="text-left mb-4 ">The New York State Department of Financial Services (NYDFS) has approved a BitLicense for Mastercard, granting the company authorization to conduct digital asset activities. The license is valid under one of the strictest crypto regulatory regimes in the United States.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">The company announced on Wednesday that Mastercard Transaction Services (U.S.) LLC had received the license. The move aligns with Mastercard’s broader strategy around blockchain-based payment and settlement infrastructure.</p><h2 class="text-left text-foreground text-3xl font-bold mb-3 mt-1">Companies have been subject to BitLicense rules since 2015</h2><p class="text-left mb-4 ">New York introduced the BitLicense framework in 2015, imposing strict standards on crypto companies in areas such as capital requirements, cybersecurity, compliance, and consumer protection. Licensed firms are also required to operate under the ongoing supervision of NYDFS.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">Although the framework has drawn criticism from the industry due to high compliance costs and lengthy approval processes, supporters argue that it provides institutional players with a clear foundation for operating digital asset businesses.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">With this decision, Mastercard joins a relatively short list of companies that have received the license recently. <a href="https://jrkripto.com/tr/analytics" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer" class="text-primary underline">Crypto </a>financial services firm Galaxy obtained a BitLicense earlier this month, while Bitcoin payments app Strike received approval in March. Since the regime was launched, around two dozen companies have been granted approval for virtual currency licenses.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">Mastercard Chief Product Officer Jorn Lambert commented on the development, saying: “Clear regulatory frameworks play a critical role in building trust as new forms of digital value move from experimentation to practical application.”</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">Mastercard’s push into stablecoin infrastructure has taken concrete shape in recent months. In March, the company agreed to acquire stablecoin payments firm BVNK for $1.8 billion. Analysts interpreted the deal as a sign that stablecoins are no longer a niche crypto product, but are increasingly becoming part of mainstream financial infrastructure.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">These digital tokens, pegged to fiat currencies such as the U.S. dollar, are being used more widely in cross-border payments, treasury management, and institutional settlement. Blockchain transfers can take place around the clock and, in many cases, are completed much faster than transactions through the traditional banking system.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">Mastercard said the BitLicense approval supports its strategy for digital currencies, including stablecoins and tokenized deposits. The company emphasized that it will maintain the compliance and operational standards adopted across its global payment network.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">Investment by major payment networks in blockchain infrastructure is part of a broader transformation across the sector. Traditional banking and blockchain-based payment systems are beginning to take shape not as competing structures, but as parts of an interconnected ecosystem. With this move, Mastercard has positioned itself among the institutions moving early in that transformation.</p>

27 May 2026
Bitcoin Fails to Break Resistance as Options Price in $55K

Bitcoin Fails to Break Resistance as Options Price in $55K

<p class="text-left mb-4 ">The crypto market is hovering just above a critical threshold on Wednesday. <a href="https://jrkripto.com/tr/coin/btc" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer" class="text-primary underline">Bitcoin </a>(BTC) failed to break the $78,000 resistance on Tuesday and is now stuck above the $75,000 support, but below $76,000. That distinction is not trivial. Bitmine Chairman Tom Lee had said the end of the bear market could only be confirmed if BTC closed May above $76,000. For now, we are below that line.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 "> <figure class="my-6"> <img src="https://minio-api-1.jrkripto.com/blog/btcusdt-2026-05-27-15-19-29-b32a619b.webp" alt="BTCUSDT_2026-05-27_15-19-29.png" width="auto" height="auto" class="w-full rounded-lg border" /> </figure> </p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">Ethereum is not showing a very different picture. After being rejected from the $2,150 resistance on Tuesday, ETH slipped toward the $2,000 support. On Wednesday morning, it bounced from $2,050 and was trading around $2,080. The technical outlook, however, raises doubts. ETH has broken the uptrend line it had held since February, opening the door to deeper losses.</p><h2 class="text-left text-foreground text-3xl font-bold mb-3 mt-1">AI Tokens Give Back Their Gains</h2><p class="text-left mb-4 ">After Tuesday’s rally, closely watched AI tokens RENDER, FET and NEAR lost between 1% and 3% since midnight. The move has not created broad panic, but the overall altcoin picture remains cautious.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">Two exceptions stand out. Hyperliquid’s HYPE token rose 5.5% after hitting a record high this week. Monero also gained 5%, retesting the $400 level. Both have become bright spots in an otherwise thin altcoin market in recent days.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">The broader picture contrasts with equities. S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures tested record levels on Wednesday, rising around 0.3%. As U.S. stocks continue to diverge from crypto, questions about the correlation between these two asset classes are moving back to the top of the agenda.</p><h2 class="text-left text-foreground text-3xl font-bold mb-3 mt-1">There Is a Quiet Warning in Futures</h2><p class="text-left mb-4 ">After the holiday weekend, futures trading volumes rose 54% to $201 billion on a 24-hour basis, while liquidations jumped 87%. These large percentage increases can primarily be explained by the end of the holiday lull; they do not necessarily reflect a structural shift.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">Still, there is a more striking picture in the background. Bitcoin fell 1% over the past 24 hours, while open interest climbed from 704,000 BTC to 740,000 BTC. When price falls while open interest rises, the combination is usually interpreted as confirmation of a downtrend. Negative cumulative volume delta (CVD) also shows that market participants are selling aggressively, while funding rates remain neutral for now.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">There is also a concerning signal on the Ethereum side. ETH open interest has reached an all-time high of 15.57 million ETH. When this appears alongside negative CVD, it may suggest that traders are positioning for deeper price declines.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">Zcash (ZEC) is showing the opposite setup. Open interest in ZEC futures has fallen for a third consecutive day, while the price has dropped to $564. When price and open interest decline at the same time, it is often driven by the closing of existing long positions rather than the opening of new short positions.</p><h2 class="text-left text-foreground text-3xl font-bold mb-3 mt-1">Deribit Data Points to Downside Bets</h2><p class="text-left mb-4 ">Bitcoin’s 30-day implied volatility index, BVIV, rose by around 3% to 37.35, breaking a 10-day losing streak. This recovery from yearly lows may indicate that the market is starting to seek protection against a potential price shock.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">The options market sends a clearer signal. According to Deribit data, the most traded contract over the past 24 hours was a put option pointing to Bitcoin falling to $55,000 by the end of September. Overall activity is concentrated around downside hedges at various strike prices between $70,000 and $76,000.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">In short, the market still does not know where it wants to go. Bitcoin is holding just above the $75,000 support, but Tom Lee’s $76,000 line remains out of reach. Futures, implied volatility and options positioning all point in the same direction: investors are preparing for downside.</p>

27 May 2026
Standard Chartered’s Ethereum Analysis: $40,000 Target
Standard Chartered’s Ethereum Analysis: $40,000 Targetabout 1 hour ago
VanEck’s Tokenized U.S. Treasury Fund Goes Live on Euler
VanEck’s Tokenized U.S. Treasury Fund Goes Live on Eulerabout 3 hours ago
$733 Million Exits in One Day: Three Forces Dragging Bitcoin Lower
$733 Million Exits in One Day: Three Forces Dragging Bitcoin Lowerabout 5 hours ago
Mastercard Secures Crypto License in New York
Mastercard Secures Crypto License in New York1 day ago
Bitcoin Fails to Break Resistance as Options Price in $55K
Bitcoin Fails to Break Resistance as Options Price in $55K1 day ago
Standard Chartered’s Ethereum Analysis: $40,000 Target
Standard Chartered’s Ethereum Analysis: $40,000 Targetabout 1 hour ago
VanEck’s Tokenized U.S. Treasury Fund Goes Live on Euler
VanEck’s Tokenized U.S. Treasury Fund Goes Live on Eulerabout 3 hours ago
$733 Million Exits in One Day: Three Forces Dragging Bitcoin Lower
$733 Million Exits in One Day: Three Forces Dragging Bitcoin Lowerabout 5 hours ago
Mastercard Secures Crypto License in New York
Mastercard Secures Crypto License in New York1 day ago
Bitcoin Fails to Break Resistance as Options Price in $55K
Bitcoin Fails to Break Resistance as Options Price in $55K1 day ago

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