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Fed Rate Decision Looms: Three Scenarios for Bitcoin and the Crypto Market

Fed Rate Decision Looms: Three Scenarios for Bitcoin and the Crypto Market

<p class="text-left mb-4 ">The crypto market is focused on the Fed rate decision due Wednesday, September 16. Investors expect the U.S. central bank to raise interest rates for the first time in nearly three years. The direction of Bitcoin and altcoins will also depend on what the Fed says about the months ahead.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">At its July meeting, the Fed kept its policy rate at 3.50%–3.75%. Nine members supported the decision, while three favored a 25-basis-point increase. Expectations of a rate hike have strengthened ahead of the September meeting.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">CME FedWatch data, based on futures prices, shows that markets view a 25-basis-point increase as the most likely outcome. Such a move would lift the policy rate to 3.75%–4.00%. These probabilities can change during trading, so the latest pricing should be checked before the decision.</p><h2 class="text-left text-foreground text-3xl font-bold mb-3 mt-1">Why does the Fed rate decision matter for crypto?</h2><p class="text-left mb-4 ">U.S. consumer prices rose 3.4% year over year in August, with a monthly increase of 0.4%. <a href="https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" class="text-primary underline">Data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics</a> shows that inflation remains above the Fed’s 2% target.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">Higher interest rates can encourage investors to favor assets that offer yields and carry relatively lower risk. This could limit the capital flowing into Bitcoin, which does not generate interest income. Rising Treasury yields and a stronger dollar could also weigh on risk appetite across the crypto market.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">Still, an expected rate hike does not necessarily mean prices will fall. Markets may have already priced in much of a 25-basis-point increase. Investors would then turn their attention to whether the Fed plans further hikes.</p><h2 class="text-left text-foreground text-3xl font-bold mb-3 mt-1">What are the scenarios for Bitcoin and altcoins?</h2><p class="text-left mb-4 ">If the Fed raises rates by 25 basis points but takes a cautious approach to future moves, the initial crypto market reaction could be volatile. The widely expected hike would carry less surprise. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s remarks at the press conference could then set the direction.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">If the Fed signals further tightening to combat inflation, risk assets could come under pressure. Such a message could support Treasury yields and the dollar. Altcoins may move more sharply because they are sensitive to liquidity and investors’ willingness to take risks.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">Keeping rates unchanged could initially support crypto assets. However, any gains might fade if the Fed describes the decision as a temporary pause. A larger-than-expected rate hike would be a more pronounced negative surprise for the market.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">According to the official schedule, the decision will be announced at 9:00 p.m. Turkish time. Warsh’s press conference will begin at 9:30 p.m. The Fed will also publish updated economic projections. The projected path for interest rates could matter as much as the decision itself for Bitcoin and altcoins.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">At the time of writing, <a href="https://jrkripto.com/tr/coin/btc" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" class="text-primary underline">Bitcoin</a> is trading around $76,000.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 "> <figure class="my-6"> <img src="https://minio-api-1.jrkripto.com/blog/btcusdt-2026-09-16-15-50-11-4e36a4cf.webp" alt="BTCUSDT_2026-09-16_15-50-11.png" width="auto" height="auto" class="w-full rounded-lg border" /> </figure> </p>

16 Sep 2026
Bitcoin ETF Flows Reverse: $450 Million Leaves Funds in One Day

Bitcoin ETF Flows Reverse: $450 Million Leaves Funds in One Day

<p class="text-left mb-4 ">U.S. spot <a href="https://jrkripto.com/tr/bitcoin-etfs" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" class="text-primary underline">Bitcoin ETFs</a> recorded $450.4 million in net outflows on Tuesday, September 15. The funds had attracted $159.9 million in the previous trading session. That marked a $610.3 million swing in daily flows.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">The figures, published on September 16, cover the most recent completed trading session. Farside Investors has not yet reported results for the September 16 session.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">Fidelity’s FBTC accounted for the largest share of the outflows, losing $214.8 million. BlackRock’s IBIT followed with $161.7 million in outflows. Together, the two funds lost $376.5 million, or about 84% of the day’s net outflows.</p><h2 class="text-left text-foreground text-3xl font-bold mb-3 mt-1">Five Bitcoin ETFs Recorded Outflows</h2><p class="text-left mb-4 ">According to Farside, Grayscale’s GBTC recorded $44.1 million in net outflows. Another $17.4 million left Ark and 21Shares’ ARKB, while Bitwise’s BITB lost $12.4 million. The other seven funds in the dataset ended the day with zero net flows.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">Monday’s figures told a different story. BlackRock’s IBIT attracted $134.3 million, and Fidelity’s FBTC took in $53.3 million. Spot Bitcoin ETFs finished that session with net inflows despite a $42 million outflow from ARKB. On Tuesday, flows at both IBIT and FBTC reversed, pulling the overall total into negative territory.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">Recent data shows how sharply ETF flows have shifted. The funds recorded net outflows on each of the four trading days from September 8 through September 11. Monday’s $159.9 million inflow ended that streak, but Tuesday’s $450.4 million outflow more than erased it.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">ETF flow figures show the daily net amount of money entering or leaving the funds. On their own, they do not reveal every investor’s Bitcoin position or explain why Bitcoin’s price moves. They do, however, offer a measure of demand for Bitcoin exposure through U.S. exchange-traded funds.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 "> <figure class="my-6"> <img src="https://minio-api-1.jrkripto.com/blog/btcusdt-2026-09-16-15-36-13-feb9a95a.webp" alt="BTCUSDT_2026-09-16_15-36-13.png" width="auto" height="auto" class="w-full rounded-lg border" /> </figure> </p><h2 class="text-left text-foreground text-3xl font-bold mb-3 mt-1">New Flow Data in Focus Ahead of Fed Decision</h2><p class="text-left mb-4 ">The reversal came as markets awaited the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision. According to the <a href="https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" class="text-primary underline">Fed’s calendar</a>, its monetary policy meeting runs from September 15 to September 16. Investors will also watch the economic projections released alongside the decision.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">The completed September 16 ETF data will offer a clearer indication of whether demand recovered after Tuesday’s outflows. Figures reported before the U.S. session ends should not be treated as final daily net flows.</p>

16 Sep 2026
CLARITY Act Stalls in Senate: $633 Million in Crypto Positions Liquidated

CLARITY Act Stalls in Senate: $633 Million in Crypto Positions Liquidated

<p class="text-left mb-4 ">The CLARITY Act, a bill aimed at establishing comprehensive rules for the US cryptocurrency market, failed to advance in a key Senate vote. A procedural motion to move the bill forward received 49 votes in favor and 50 against, falling short of the 60 votes required.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">Bitcoin fell toward $76,000 following the decision. Ethereum approached $2,400, while XRP lost nearly 10%. JrKripto’s liquidation data showed $633.1 million in positions liquidated over the preceding 24 hours.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">The vote did not determine whether the bill would become law. Senators voted on a procedural step needed to advance its consideration. When that motion failed, the bill stalled in the Senate. <a href="https://apnews.com/article/e3caf262dc138147941787299e5f0a66" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" class="text-primary underline">According to AP</a>, all Democrats and four Republican senators voted against advancing it.</p><h2 class="text-left text-foreground text-3xl font-bold mb-3 mt-1">Why did the CLARITY Act stall?</h2><p class="text-left mb-4 ">The CLARITY Act aims to clarify when digital assets should be treated as securities or commodities. It also proposes a framework for dividing oversight of the crypto market between the SEC and the CFTC.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">Negotiations stalled over rules governing public officials’ financial interests in crypto businesses. Democratic senators argued that the bill’s ethics provisions did not do enough to address the crypto interests of President Donald Trump and his family.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">Republicans revised the text before the vote. The changes would have given state attorneys general more authority to enforce the ethics provisions, but they did not secure enough support. Banks’ objections to stablecoin rewards were another point of disagreement. The Senate could hold another procedural vote, although no date has been set.</p><h2 class="text-left text-foreground text-3xl font-bold mb-3 mt-1">Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP decline</h2><p class="text-left mb-4 ">Following the vote, Bitcoin fell roughly 3% and traded around $76,000. Ethereum dropped about 5% to $2,410. XRP lost nearly 10%, falling toward $1.30.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">Solana traded just above $97, while DOGE declined about 5%. The price moves showed that selling had spread across major cryptocurrencies.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">Bitcoin had already been falling before the vote, so the entire decline cannot be attributed to the result. Still, the bill’s failure to advance added uncertainty for a market awaiting clearer regulation.</p><h2 class="text-left text-foreground text-3xl font-bold mb-3 mt-1">JrKripto data shows $633 million in liquidations</h2><p class="text-left mb-4 ">According to <a href="https://jrkripto.com/tr/liquidation-data" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" class="text-primary underline">JrKripto’s liquidation data</a>, $633.1 million in crypto positions were liquidated over the preceding 24 hours. Long positions accounted for about $525.4 million, while short positions accounted for $107.7 million. Longs made up approximately 83% of the total.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 "> <figure class="my-6"> <img src="https://minio-api-1.jrkripto.com/blog/ekran-g-r-nt-s-2026-09-16-125150-0d5ab6bd.webp" alt="Ekran görüntüsü 2026-09-16 125150.png" width="auto" height="auto" class="w-full rounded-lg border" /> </figure> </p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">The data also showed $59.6 million in liquidations over the preceding 12 hours, $16.7 million over four hours and $2.1 million over one hour.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">Traders open long positions when they expect prices to rise. If prices move against them and their collateral becomes insufficient, exchanges may automatically close their leveraged positions. The concentration of long liquidations indicates that traders positioned for gains were hit harder during the decline.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">The 24-hour figure includes trading before the Senate vote, so it should not be read as the amount liquidated solely after the result. With the bill’s path forward uncertain, the market will watch for regulatory steps from the SEC and CFTC, as well as the Fed’s interest rate decision.</p>

16 Sep 2026
Critical Day for the CLARITY Act: US Senate Heads to a Key Crypto Vote

Critical Day for the CLARITY Act: US Senate Heads to a Key Crypto Vote

<p class="text-left mb-4 ">A critical day has arrived for the CLARITY Act, which could transform the legal framework governing the US cryptocurrency market. The Senate will vote on September 15 on whether to advance the bill.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">The procedural vote is expected to take place today at around 2:00 p.m. ET. The bill needs the support of at least 60 senators to move to the next stage.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">Republicans released a revised version of the bill ahead of the vote. However, Democrats continue to raise objections concerning its ethics provisions.</p><h2 class="text-left text-foreground text-3xl font-bold mb-3 mt-1">CLARITY Act received 126 changes</h2><p class="text-left mb-4 ">Senators Cynthia Lummis, John Boozman and Tim Scott said the latest text included 126 substantive changes requested by Democrats. The revisions focus on ethics rules, illicit finance and stablecoin rewards.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">The most notable change concerns the <a href="https://jrkripto.com/tr/analytics" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer" class="text-primary underline">crypto </a>investments of public officials. The new text would require political officials to divest significant financial interests in crypto companies.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">Officials would also have the option of transferring these assets into an independent blind trust. In addition, state attorneys general would receive the authority to file lawsuits over certain violations.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">Republicans argue that these revisions address most of the Democrats’ ethics concerns. However, Elizabeth Warren, the senior Democrat on the Senate Banking Committee, said the rules remain insufficient.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">According to Warren, the text contains loopholes that could allow political officials to profit indirectly from crypto ventures. Some Democrats are also concerned that the Justice Department could block lawsuits filed by state attorneys general.</p><h2 class="text-left text-foreground text-3xl font-bold mb-3 mt-1">Stablecoin rewards divide banks and the crypto industry</h2><p class="text-left mb-4 ">Another major dispute surrounding the CLARITY Act involves stablecoin rewards. Banking groups believe rewards offered by crypto companies could lead to deposit outflows.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">Banks argue that moving deposits to stablecoin platforms could reduce their lending capacity. Industry representatives have therefore called for broader restrictions in the bill.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">The revised text aims to address some of the banking sector’s concerns. However, US banking groups said the latest changes did not go far enough.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">The crypto industry opposes a ban on stablecoin rewards. Companies argue that sweeping restrictions could limit stablecoin adoption and competition in financial technology.</p><h2 class="text-left text-foreground text-3xl font-bold mb-3 mt-1">How would the CLARITY Act change the crypto market?</h2><p class="text-left mb-4 ">The CLARITY Act aims to clarify which US regulator has jurisdiction over different types of digital assets. The bill would redefine the division of responsibilities between the Securities and Exchange Commission and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">Network tokens that meet certain conditions could be treated as digital commodities instead of securities. These assets would therefore fall primarily under the CFTC’s oversight.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">However, selling tokens as part of an investment contract would not eliminate all SEC obligations. Issuers would still need to comply with certain disclosure and reporting requirements.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">The bill would also establish a federal registration system for crypto exchanges, brokers and dealers. It introduces new standards for protecting customer assets, preventing market manipulation and separating customer property during bankruptcy proceedings.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">Digital commodity platforms would also be treated as financial institutions under the Bank Secrecy Act. These companies would become subject to anti-money laundering, know-your-customer and due diligence requirements.</p><h2 class="text-left text-foreground text-3xl font-bold mb-3 mt-1">Vote could determine the bill’s fate</h2><p class="text-left mb-4 ">The House of Representatives passed the CLARITY Act in July 2025 by a vote of 294 to 134. However, the Senate’s revisions differ from the text approved by the House, meaning additional legislative steps will be necessary.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">If the Senate approves the legislation, both chambers will need to agree on the same text. The bill could then be sent to the president for approval.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">However, the September 15 vote does not represent final passage. Senators will first decide whether to move forward with debate on the legislation.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">A failed vote could make it difficult for lawmakers to reconsider the bill in 2026 due to the busy election calendar. The Blockchain Association, Crypto Council for Innovation and Digital Chamber have th</p>

15 Sep 2026
Standard Chartered Predicts 70-Fold Surge for ARB

Standard Chartered Predicts 70-Fold Surge for ARB

<p class="text-left mb-4 ">Standard Chartered has shared a highly bullish price forecast for Arbitrum’s native token, ARB. The bank expects ARB to reach $10 by the end of 2030.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 "><a href="https://jrkripto.com/tr/coin/arb" target="_new" rel="noopener" class="text-primary underline">ARB</a> was trading at approximately $0.13–$0.14 when the forecast was published. The bank’s target therefore points to potential growth of around 70 times from current levels.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 "> <figure class="my-6"> <img src="https://minio-api-1.jrkripto.com/blog/arbusdt-2026-09-15-16-14-59-8932ec02.webp" alt="ARBUSDT_2026-09-15_16-14-59.png" width="auto" height="auto" class="w-full rounded-lg border" /> </figure> </p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">Standard Chartered also believes ARB could outperform Bitcoin and Ethereum during the forecast period. The bank cited Arbitrum’s blockchain infrastructure for traditional financial institutions as a key source of growth.</p><h2 class="text-left text-foreground text-3xl font-bold mb-3 mt-1">Standard Chartered reveals its ARB targets</h2><p class="text-left mb-4 ">Standard Chartered did not limit its forecast to a single target for 2030. The bank’s year-end price projections are as follows:</p><ul class="list-disc list-inside my-4"><li>End of 2026: $0.50</li><li>End of 2027: $1.50</li><li>End of 2028: $3.50</li><li>End of 2029: $6.50</li><li>End of 2030: $10</li></ul><p class="text-left mb-4 ">Even the first target represents an increase of more than 280% from ARB’s price of approximately $0.13. However, the forecasts depend on Arbitrum strengthening its position in the institutional blockchain market.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">Geoff Kendrick, Global Head of Digital Assets Research at Standard Chartered, believes ARB is significantly undervalued. According to Kendrick, the ability to generate revenue will become increasingly important in the digital asset market.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">The bank expects Bitcoin to reach $500,000 over the same period. Its 2030 price target for Ethereum stands at $40,000.</p><h2 class="text-left text-foreground text-3xl font-bold mb-3 mt-1">Robinhood Chain could increase Arbitrum’s revenue</h2><p class="text-left mb-4 ">Robinhood Chain plays an important role in Standard Chartered’s bullish forecast. Robinhood’s network, which uses Arbitrum technology, launched on July 1.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">Under the Arbitrum Expansion Program, external chains pay Arbitrum 10% of their net protocol revenue. This allows Arbitrum to generate recurring revenue from networks that use its technology stack.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">According to the <a href="#" target="_new" rel="noopener" class="text-primary underline">report</a>, Standard Chartered estimates that fees received from Robinhood Chain could reach approximately $5 million in September. Robinhood Chain generated an average of $2.8 million in daily fee revenue during the first two weeks of September.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">According to the bank, Arbitrum’s total monthly revenue has risen to more than five times its level before Robinhood Chain launched. This early performance could encourage other traditional financial companies to adopt Arbitrum’s technology.</p><h2 class="text-left text-foreground text-3xl font-bold mb-3 mt-1">Tokenization market could support ARB</h2><p class="text-left mb-4 ">The tokenization of real-world assets provides another foundation for the forecast. Standard Chartered expects the tokenized asset market to reach $4 trillion by the end of 2028.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">The market currently stands at approximately $340 billion. The bank also forecasts that tokenized equities could grow into a $750 billion market over the same period.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">Arbitrum could benefit from this expansion due to its low transaction costs and connection to Ethereum. The early success of Robinhood Chain also supports the bank’s expectations for institutional adoption.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">However, the report highlights several risks. Slower-than-expected tokenization and competition from other blockchains could negatively affect the ARB targets.</p><p class="text-left mb-4 ">The ARB token also does not directly capture revenue generated by the network. Therefore, increased activity on Arbitrum may not lead to a proportional increase in ARB’s price.</p>

15 Sep 2026
Fed Rate Decision Looms: Three Scenarios for Bitcoin and the Crypto Market
Fed Rate Decision Looms: Three Scenarios for Bitcoin and the Crypto Marketabout 19 hours ago
Bitcoin ETF Flows Reverse: $450 Million Leaves Funds in One Day
Bitcoin ETF Flows Reverse: $450 Million Leaves Funds in One Dayabout 19 hours ago
CLARITY Act Stalls in Senate: $633 Million in Crypto Positions Liquidated
CLARITY Act Stalls in Senate: $633 Million in Crypto Positions Liquidatedabout 22 hours ago
Critical Day for the CLARITY Act: US Senate Heads to a Key Crypto Vote
Critical Day for the CLARITY Act: US Senate Heads to a Key Crypto Vote1 day ago
Standard Chartered Predicts 70-Fold Surge for ARB
Standard Chartered Predicts 70-Fold Surge for ARB2 days ago
Fed Rate Decision Looms: Three Scenarios for Bitcoin and the Crypto Market
Fed Rate Decision Looms: Three Scenarios for Bitcoin and the Crypto Marketabout 19 hours ago
Bitcoin ETF Flows Reverse: $450 Million Leaves Funds in One Day
Bitcoin ETF Flows Reverse: $450 Million Leaves Funds in One Dayabout 19 hours ago
CLARITY Act Stalls in Senate: $633 Million in Crypto Positions Liquidated
CLARITY Act Stalls in Senate: $633 Million in Crypto Positions Liquidatedabout 22 hours ago
Critical Day for the CLARITY Act: US Senate Heads to a Key Crypto Vote
Critical Day for the CLARITY Act: US Senate Heads to a Key Crypto Vote1 day ago
Standard Chartered Predicts 70-Fold Surge for ARB
Standard Chartered Predicts 70-Fold Surge for ARB2 days ago

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Cryptocurrency CalendarSeptember 17, 2026
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