TON/USDT Technical Analysis
On the TON side, the key recent development has been the Catchain 2.0 upgrade, which significantly improved network performance. With this update, block production times have been reduced and transaction flow has become faster. TON also continues to expand its use cases through its strong connection with the Telegram ecosystem, especially in mini apps and payments. In other words, the project is supported not only by expectations but also by concrete infrastructure improvements. That is why the strength of buyer interest behind the recent price move should be monitored carefully.
From a technical perspective, the long-standing falling wedge formation has reached its final stage. Price has been moving within this wedge for a while, and over the past two days, strong buying volume has pushed it back toward the upper trendline. This kind of move is often the final preparation phase before a breakout.
Currently, price is trading in the 1.35–1.40 range, which is a direct decision zone. The upper trendline passes through this region and has already been tested multiple times, weakening resistance. Because of this, the probability of a breakout is stronger than in previous attempts.
For confirmation, it is important to see price hold above this zone. Especially closes above 1.38–1.40 would completely change the structure and signal the end of the downtrend. In that case, the move would no longer be just a relief rally but could evolve into a new uptrend.
On the upside, the first target is the 1.58 level. Beyond that, the 1.73–1.81 range becomes relevant, and in the broader picture, the 2 dollar and above area comes into play.
On the downside, if a pullback happens before the breakout, the 1.26–1.28 range is the first support zone. Below that, 1.12 stands out as the main support. However, as long as the wedge structure remains intact, these pullbacks tend to act as buying opportunities.
- The 1.35–1.40 range is the key breakout zone
- Closes above 1.38 can start a trend reversal
- First target is 1.58, followed by the 1.73–1.81 range
- Medium-term potential extends toward 2 dollars and above
- 1.26–1.28 is first support, with 1.12 as the main support
These analyses do not provide investment advice and focus on support and resistance levels that are considered to offer short- and medium-term trading opportunities depending on market conditions. However, responsibility for execution and risk management lies entirely with the user. In addition, the use of stop loss is strongly recommended.
