TAO/USDT Technical Analysis
Bittensor is a project standing out at the intersection of cryptocurrency and artificial intelligence. The network completed its first halving in December 2025, cutting the new TAO supply entering the market by half. Events like this can theoretically support the price in the long term. In addition, institutional investment products such as the Grayscale Bittensor Trust have started to appear, putting TAO on the radar of not only retail investors but also large capital.
These fundamental developments indicate that TAO is not just an “AI-themed coin,” but an asset with growth potential supported by a new supply mechanism and increasing institutional interest.
Analyzing the chart on a daily time frame, we see that TAO is clearly moving within a descending channel. Following a strong sell-off, the price pulled back to the lower boundary of the channel and is currently trying to bounce from this area. However, every upward attempt has been met with selling pressure near the upper side of the channel, meaning the main trend is still bearish.
The $248–$250 zone is the first support area in the short term. Short-term bounce attempts should be considered normal as long as the price holds above this level, However, these moves should be seen as relief rallies, not a trend reversal. The most critical resistance lies at $278–$280 above. This area is both a strong horizontal resistance and the upper boundary of the descending channel. Rallies toward this zone may create short-selling opportunities within the current structure.
Selling pressure is likely to return, with a possible pullback toward $262–$255, and then $249–$245 if the price fails to break above $278–$280 and shows weakness there, The natural price action within the channel also supports this scenario.
The price needs to break above $288–$292 with strong volume and exit the channel for a bullish scenario to be taken seriously. Until this happens, the descending channel remains intact, and rallies are likely to be treated as selling opportunities. In summary, TAO is bouncing within a downtrend, but the overall structure has not changed. The $278–$280 zone is the key level that will determine the direction of this move.
These analyses, not offering any kind of investment advice, focus on support and resistance levels considered to offer trading opportunities in the short and medium term according to the market conditions. However, the user is responsible for their own actions and risk management. Morover, it is highly recommended to use stop loss (SL) during the transactions.
